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Friday 13th of February 2015 |
Morning Africa |
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The Latest Daily PodCast can be found here on the Front Page of the site http://www.rich.co.ke |
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My Favourite Robert Frank Photograph remains Africa |
Jack Kerouac described this Photograph as follows
In his introduction to The Americans, Kerouac describes this photograph as "a long shot of night road arrowing forlorn into immensities and flat of impossible-to-believe America in New Mexico under the prisoner's moon."
“the only people for me are the mad ones, the ones who are mad to live, mad to talk, mad to be saved, desirous of everything at the same time, the ones who never yawn or say a commonplace thing, but burn, burn, burn like fabulous yellow roman candles exploding like spiders across the stars.” ― Jack Kerouac, On the Road
“There was nowhere to go but everywhere, so just keep on rolling under the stars.” ― Jack Kerouac, On the Road
“The air was soft, the stars so fine, the promise of every cobbled alley so great, that I thought I was in a dream.” ― Jack Kerouac, On the Road:
“What is that feeling when you're driving away from people and they recede on the plain till you see their specks dispersing? - it's the too-huge world vaulting us, and it's good-bye. But we lean forward to the next crazy venture beneath the skies.” ― Jack Kerouac, On the Road
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7 JAN 13 :: :On the Road Africa |
My Christmas holiday ritual is to jump into a car and take the family down to the Coast. The Nairobi-Mombasa road arrows ‘into immensities and is ‘impossible-to- believe.’ It retains a near mystical hold on my imagination and connects me to my childhood and beyond.
Dad used to once own an Alfa Romeo [of which there were only three then in the country] and my pilgrimage along that road started then, when we used to come from Mombasa. Now, of course, we set off from Nairobi but the road still has its hold. The landmarks still reach out to me.
This time we were swarmed by doves near Emali which was breathtaking. There is still the eerie and de- serted very Oscar Niemeyer building which might have been a petrol station with a restaurant. We stopped at Makindu which is like being teleported to Amritsar and on New Years day was packed to the rafters.
We always stop at Mackinnon road where there is a shrine which houses the tomb of Seyyid Baghali, a Pun- jabi foreman at the time of the building of the railway who was renowned for his strength.
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Kiev’s Bloody War Is Backfiring Law & Politics |
Poroshenko’s military mobilization is due not only to numerous setbacks in the east – Ukrainian troops are being pushed back on all fronts by highly motivated rebels defending their own towns and villages – but also because thousands are deserting, throwing down their arms and fleeing to Russia. In response, the Ukrainian parliament has passed a law authorizing local commanders to shoot deserters on the spot.
Conclusions
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(From left) Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier of Germany, Chancellor Merkel, President Hollande, and Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius of France make a statement to the media following peace talks on Feb. 12, 2015 in Minsk, Belarus. Law & Politics |
Former Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili, whose country was invaded by Russia in 2008, revealed to an audience of Ukrainians what Vladimir Putin thought of their nation.
“I had 36 meetings with Putin,” Saakashvili said in a visit to the Ukrainian city of Lviv in August, five months after the annexation of Crimea. “At almost each one he repeated that Ukraine is not a real state but Russian territory. He will go as far as he is allowed.”
“Putin has much more at stake,” said Dmitri Trenin, director of the Moscow Carnegie Center. “Putin’s will and Russia’s willingness to suffer for a cause is his asset.”
@FortuneMagazine Eurozone, Greece still deadlocked (despite killer fashion statements) pic.twitter.com/YZe0P7i66K
Saudi Arabia's Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Nayef (L) arrives with his uncle King Salman (R) to greet U.S. President Barack Obama at King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh, January 27, 2015. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/02/12/us-saudi-succession-sudoku-insight-idUSKBN0LG0F920150212
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EABL reports H1 PAT +11.079% here Kenyan Economy |
Par Value: 2/- Closing Price: 326.00 Total Shares Issued: 790774976.00 Market Capitalization: 257,792,642,176 EPS: 8.83 PE: 36.920
EABL reports Interim results First Half Revenue 34.768b versus 31.858b +9.1342% First Half Cost of Sales [17.657b] versus [16.127b] +9.487% First Half Gross Profit 17.111b versus 15.731b First Half Selling and Distribution Costs [3.188b] versus [3.047b] +4.6275% First Half Administrative expenses [4.397b] versus [4.507b] -2.4406% First Half other Expenses [536m] versus [50m] First Half Operating Profit 8.990b versus 8.127b First Half Net Finance Costs [2.187b] versus [1.923b] +13.72% First Half Profit after Tax 4.622b versus 4.161b +11.079% First Half Earnings Per Share 5.23 versus 4.99 +4.809% Interim Dividend 1.50 per share unchanged EABL borrowings +5.5b in H1
Tweets from the Earnings Release Media Briefing
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Falling crude price hits exploration prospects for east Africa February 12, 2015 9:34 am @FT @KatrinaManson Kenyan Economy |
Launching a university course to train future oil executives looks bold given the crash in global crude prices but Kenya is not counting itself out of the energy race yet.
“Bust cycles are the time to prepare the [industry] backbone,” says Sumayya Hassan-Athmani, chief executive of the National Oil Corporation of Kenya, which on Tuesday launched a course to run at Nairobi’s Strathmore University, to expand the “fairly small” pool of oil and gas talent in Kenya.
Hopeful investors have billed east Africa as the world’s most promising frontier for oil and gas exploration for the past 10 years and there was good reason for their optimism: 2.3bn barrels of recoverable oil have been discovered in Uganda and Kenya; more than 50 trillion cubic feet of natural gas in Tanzania.
But despite the first oil discovery in east Africa nine years ago, none of it has been commercially developed for export, no infrastructure exists to transport the waxy crude from remote drill sites and regional oil executives are a rare species.
Now, before the region has sold a single drop of oil, the collapse in global prices threatens the industry before it has even got going. With exporters planning to delay production until prices rise, Kenya’s institute of economic affairs warns that the country could lose $720m in annual revenues for every year of delayed output.
The UK’s Tullow Oil — the most bullish of east Africa’s explorers which dominates the hunt for oil in Uganda, Kenya and Ethiopia and is the only company to find any thus far — said on Wednesday it would reduce its rig count in Kenya from four to one this year, reversing plans to ramp up discoveries and get to production point, and payday, as fast as possible. Tullow has delayed what investors call the “final investment decision” nearly two years, to late 2016, despite sitting on billions of barrels of reserves. The region’s first oil exports are now unlikely until 2020 at the earliest.
Paul McDade, Tullow’s chief operations officer, told the Financial Times that the company plans to make “an orderly closure” but would not reveal likely job loss figures until it first speaks to its own workers.
“We will gradually wind them [three rigs] down throughout the year; we’ve still allocated significant capital to Kenya [and plan to] continue exploration at a more modest pace as you’d expect with the oil price,” Mr McDade said.
“The oil price is affecting everybody as explorers cut back on work,” said one oil driller.
Junior companies with licences for the region’s little-explored oil blocks may also come unstuck by failing to meet investment commitments required by their contracts with government.
“Investor sentiment is down and smaller guys are starting to look to ask government for an extension to their work programmes because they can’t afford to meet them,” said a block holder who did not want to be named.
“There are a number of companies who have never had the amount of money they’ve needed from day one in east Africa — a lot of smaller companies who are just trying to look to flip the asset and sell chunks of the licences — they’re hoping to hell that the crude price rebounds.”
Production is also held back by the absence of any means of export. Drawn-out talks over a regional export pipeline — for years strongly resisted by Uganda which favoured a large domestic refinery — are only now gathering pace.
Toyota Tsusho, the trading arm of the Japanese carmaker newly mandated by Nairobi and Kampala as consultant for the pipeline, is expected to deliver its assessment of twin options for a 1,300km route from landlocked Uganda and Kenya’s remote northwest by April. One version runs through Kenya to an as yet undeveloped port at Lamu, a proposal favoured by Nairobi, while the second runs south across the country, to Mombasa port, which Tullow says “could be much more cost effective”.
Either way, the three-year building project will cost about $4bn. It is unclear who will fund the new pipeline, particularly if low prices persist.
Tullow says it will wait for the pipeline and has no plans to export in piecemeal fashion in the meantime, via alternatives such as trucking: “We’ve got to dovetail it all together . . . it means the cash will come later.”
That is a blow for regional governments counting on oil windfalls to boost budgets and fund multibillion-dollar infrastructure projects including road, rail and ports.
“With the oil price drop you’re not going to see the pipeline built [for a while]: the whole infrastructure thing might have to be rethought a little bit,” said David Cowan, Africa economist at Citibank.
“All these governments are going to have to rethink their resource policy in light of a lower oil price and they haven’t done it yet.”
Conclusions
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17-NOV-2014 :: Dwindling Oil Fortunes Not Good For Kenya Kenyan Economy |
My concern at this moment is this: We are necessarily placing a big bet on oil and gas and cementing our position as the pivot (the energy conduit and route to the sea] state for this region. Now go take a look at the price of oil. Its been slammed from above a $100 a barrel to below $80. There is an outside chance that we can break down to $50 a barrel. T
The share prices of the oil companies (Tullow Oil is down 45.84 per cent since the start of the year and Africa Oil is negative 60.67 per cent over the same period) have cratered. The markets are signaling loud and clear that the economics have changed and how. Both Tullow Oil and Africa Oil are exploration companies. They find the oil and then they typically go and find a big major with deep pockets to exploit the oil. It is imperative that we see the majors step in, otherwise the can will get kicked down the road.
The consequential effects on our economy of the can being kicked down the road are not good, not good at all.
Our policy-makers need to react real quick to the new normal.
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What makes Nairobi Africa's 'most intelligent' city @CNN Kenyan Economy |
For a second year in a row, Kenya's busy capital city of Nairobi has been named the most intelligent city in Africa -- failing, however, to make it to the world's top seven finalists.
According to the Intelligent Community Forum, "intelligent communities" are those that have taken "conscious steps" to create an economy that can prosper in the "broadband economy." The group has recently released its latest rankings, recognizing the achievements of communities that have built inclusive, prosperous economies on a basis of information and communication technologies.
Nairobi was the only African city to appear on their shortlist of 21 hubs throughout the world for 2015.
Intelligent Community Forum co-founder Robert Bell says: "We see a strong foundation being put into place [in Nairobi]: sensible, pro-growth government policy, a more diversified economy, and an innovation ecosystem of startups, international companies and universities.
"Nairobi certainly has the opportunity to build an exciting future for its citizens, businesses and institutions."
The Kenyan capital, however, didn't make it to the next round that will see seven communities around the world contesting in June for the 2015 Intelligent Community of the Year award -- in alphabetical order, the 2015 Top7 Intelligent Communities were Arlington County (U.S.), Columbus, (U.S.), Ipswich (Australia), Mitchell (U.S.), New Taipei City (Taiwan), Rio de Janeiro (Brazil) and Surrey (Canada).
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01-FEB-2012 :: My Extraordinary Experience At The @NorfolkFairmont Mara' Part 1 Kenyan Economy |
We were not going as far as that; only two days’ journey in the ox-cart to a bit of El Dorado my father had been fortunate enough to buy in the bar of the Norfolk Hotel from a man wearing an Old Etonian tie,” so says Elspeth Huxley’s The Flame Trees of Thika which is a beautiful and lyrical book.
Mount Kenya Safari Club in Nanyuki (founded 1959) became a mecca for the international jet set. The property sits on the slopes of Mt Kenya. I have sat at the bar and half expected William Holden or Adnan Khashoggi to pop in. My most intense memory is of discovering a complete film studio on the grounds, and walking around in the evening light alone.
However, this time I was set to visit the Fairmont Mara Safari Club.
There are two Africas now. The average age in Sub African Africa is 20. These folks are all connected, surfing the now in a way that is breathtaking. I work not more than 10 minutes walk from the Norfolk. It is urban, highly aspirational, tech savvy (after all, Kenya was the laboratory that gave birth to the mobile money sensation M-Pesa], it’s a hub. The traffic can be frightful but it’s on the move. Nairobi has an edginess which can become very intense. And as the year was ending, I really wanted to step off the train. I wanted to feel a different, more ancient African pulse. We had been to the Fairmont Mara five years ago. I did not take the ‘ox-cart’ but an aeroplane from Wilson. The airport was once located on the outskirts of Nairobi but today it is in the city. It is very retro and has a style from a bygone era, which is to be treasured in this 21st Century of ours. I find Wilson Airport like a magic portal to another world.
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