|
Thursday 21st of February 2019 |
Morning Africa |
Register and its all Free.
If you are tracking the NSE Do it via RICHLIVE and use Mozilla Firefox as your Browser. 0930-1500 KENYA TIME Normal Board - The Whole shebang Prompt Board Next day settlement Expert Board All you need re an Individual stock.
The Latest Daily PodCast can be found here on the Front Page of the site http://www.rich.co.ke |
read more |
|
Reductionists think that they are playing a game of telephone: as the message of reality travels upward, from the microscopic to the macroscopic scale, it becomes garbled, and they must work their way downward to recover the truth. @NewYorker Africa |
Whether these researchers are on the right track or not, the web of explanations of reality exists. Perhaps the most striking thing about those explanations is that, even as each draws only a partial picture of reality, they are mathematically perfect. Take general relativity. Physicists know that Einstein’s theory is incomplete. Yet it is a spectacular artifice, with a spare, taut mathematical structure. Fiddle with the equations even a little and you lose all of its beauty and simplicity. It turns out that, if you want to discover a deeper way of explaining the universe, you can’t take the equations of the existing description and subtly deform them. Instead, you must make a jump to a totally different, equally perfect mathematical structure. What’s the point, theorists wonder, of the perfection found at every level, if it’s bound to be superseded?
|
read more |
|
In most cases the desire to control the internet is rooted in governments' determination to control the political narrative. @qzafrica Africa |
Already in 2019 there have been shutdowns in Cameroon, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Congo Brazzaville, Chad, Sudan and Zimbabwe. Last year there were 21 such shutdowns on the continent. This was the case in Togo, Sierra Leone, Sudan and Ethiopia, among others. The internet is seen as a threat because it disrupts older forms of government political control, particularly the control of information. The stranglehold on the production and dissemination of information has always been an invaluable political tool for many African governments. The loss of this control, at a time when the media has brought politics closer to the people, presents governments with a distinctly unsettling reality. Social media, for example, inherently encourages political indiscipline and engenders the production and circulation of alternative political narratives.
|
read more |
|
Be Careful What You Wish for: Strongman Exit Can Leave Chaos @bpolitics Africa |
When Zimbabweans celebrated after the military toppled Robert Mugabe in late 2017, few could have foreseen that just over a year later their economy would be collapsing and soldiers would be on the streets. It’s a scenario that’s played out all too often when a strongman who has ruled for decades leaves the stage. For almost all of Mugabe’s nearly four decades in charge, his decisions were unquestioned, and his ruling Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front’s grip on power rarely wavered. By replacing him with Emmerson Mnangagwa, the military won a factional battle within ZANU-PF, weakening it, and sidelined the once-powerful police force and secret service that were key Mugabe allies. “The glue it had in the past 38 years, that cohesive, forced consensus under Mugabe -- it’s gone,” Tendai Biti, a senior leader of the opposition Movement for Democratic Change, said in an interview in Johannesburg. What’s happening today in Zimbabwe echoes the experiences of other African countries and bears similarities with the chaos currently taking place in Venezuela, six years after the death of Hugo Chavez. In Ivory Coast, Felix Houphouet-Boigny’s 1993 death in office triggered a power struggle over succession and ultimately a civil war that divided the country in two for almost a decade. Somalia hasn’t been a functioning state since Siad Barre was toppled in 1991, and in Congo the overthrow of Mobutu Sese Seko after 32 years in power sparked the world’s most deadly conflict since World War II. In Burkina Faso, the intelligence services fell apart with the ousting of strongman Blaise Compaore, making the country a target of jihadist attacks. To be sure, there are political differences between West and southern Africa. In the south of the continent most countries, including Zimbabwe, are governed by parties formed during the liberation struggle against white rule. In West Africa, power is often concentrated in the hands of one dominant character who maintains control by weakening state institutions, making those nations even more vulnerable to disruption when they’re gone. “There’s usually one conductor playing the orchestra,” Vincent Foucher, a research fellow at the National Center for Scientific Research in Bordeaux, said of West Africa. “Once the leader is out, his political party is completely weakened because there is no ideology that keeps it together.” In addition to the West and central African nations that have fallen apart following the departure of long-term leaders, others may follow. Paul Biya has been in charge of Cameroon for almost 37 years and the country is riven by a separatist insurgency that’s left the ruling elite increasingly divided. Politicians in Gabon are jockeying for power in the absence of President Ali Bongo, who suffered a stroke in October last year and has been recovering in Morocco. In Equatorial Guinea, Teodoro Obiang Nguema has presided over a kleptocracy since 1979. For Zimbabwe the outlook is dire. A currency shortage means it can’t afford essential imports, factories are closing and protests over a more than doubling of fuel prices last month were crushed, with at least 17 people killed. Teachers were intimidated by the military in a subsequent strike and soldiers are a common sight in buses, gas stations and supermarkets. “There have been several confirmed reports of extra-judicial killings, allegations of rape and torture,” said Fadzayi Mahere, a lawyer who ran as an independent in last year’s elections. “The military seems to want its pound of flesh for its role in removing Mugabe.” Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube says the government is moving as quickly as possible to revive the economy. Nick Mangwana, Zimbabwe’s secretary for information, said that since Mugabe’s exit media freedom has improved and cabinet has approved the rescinding of a much maligned act that hindered reporting on the government. “With the situation we inherited, it was also going to be a tough struggle,” Ncube said in a statement. “The process of restructuring, reforming and rebuilding our economy is just beginning. But the train has left the station and we are moving firmly in the right direction.” Even so the situation is complicated by the tensions between the police and the army, open divisions within the ruling party and rumors of strains between Mnangagwa and his deputy and former armed forces commander, Constantino Chiwenga. Mnangagwa retired four generals this week while Chiwenga was hospitalized abroad for an undisclosed ailment, in what has been seen as an attempt to boost his hold over the military. Yet the ruling party is unlikely to be dislodged easily. Mnangagwa is a former spy chief who takes pride in his nickname the “crocodile,” with his office sporting a mug themed on the reptile. “Zimbabwe has a long tradition of political violence, and Emmerson Mnangagwa is a very, very old crocodile who’s always been at the center of that,” Foucher said. “Even though Mnangagwa has presented himself as a moderate, it’s clear that he wants to hold on to power.” That hasn’t eased the chaos. Communications officials often contradict each other, and Mnangagwa has twice condemned violence by his own military. “You don’t have evidence that this is a government that can actually make decisions, whereas under Mugabe you had no doubt who was in charge,” Biti said. “It’s a fragility that I’ve not seen before. The state is in a permanent state of paranoia. That’s why they are putting soldiers on the street picking up people.”
|
read more |
|
Zimbabwe Devalues Its Quasi-Currency in FX Regime Overhaul @economics Africa |
Zimbabwe’s government dropped its insistence that a quasi-currency known as bond notes are at par with the dollar as it overhauled foreign-exchange trading and effectively devalued the securities. The measures are a step toward trying to create a new currency and stabilize Zimbabwe’s economy, which has been plunged into crisis as a shortage of foreign currency stoked the fastest increase in consumer prices in more than a decade and caused shortages of food, fuel and medicine. Zimbabwe abandoned its own currency in 2009 after inflation spiraled to 500 billion percent, allowing the use of the U.S. dollar and other units as legal tender. Bond notes were introduced in 2016. The central bank will immediately establish an interbank foreign-exchange market in which the bond notes will be denominated as electronic money known as RTGS dollars, Governor John Mangudya said at a briefing Wednesday in the capital, Harare. While the government has previously insisted that bond notes and RTGS dollars are worth the same as U.S. dollars, the units currently trade at between 3.66 and 3.8 to the dollar respectively on the black market. Denominating bond notes as RTGS dollars will “establish an exchange rate between the current monetary balances and foreign currency,” Mangudya said. “The new framework is set to bring certainty, predictability and functionality to the economy’s foreign-exchange market.” The announcement amounted to an effective devaluation, Harare-based economist John Robertson said. “He didn’t mention it by name, but they have devalued it,” he said. “We should now see a convergence of a stable rate going forward. Buyers and sellers will now need to meet and agree on a rate.” RTGS dollars would be used by all entities including the government to price goods and services The use of RTGS dollars would eliminate the existence of a multi-pricing system; prices should either remain at their current levels or decline “in sympathy with the stability in the exchange rate” The central bank has arranged “sufficient lines of credit” to enable it to maintain foreign currency to underpin the exchange rate Foreign currency from the interbank market will be used for foreign-payment invoices “It is a small but key step that will support a long road of reforms needed to bring transparency and clarity to the country’s monetary system,” said Chiedza Madzima, a senior analyst at Fitch Solutions in Johannesburg. The refusal by foreign traders to accept bond notes as legal tender resulted in payment problems for companies such as gold miners and grain millers and exacerbated shortages of raw materials. Shops also charged customers different prices depending on which unit they used to pay, offering discounts as high as 70 percent to those who used real U.S. dollars. The central bank measures are a step toward Zimbabwe reintroducing its own currency, Secretary for Information Nick Mangwana said by phone. Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube has said he wants a new currency introduced within a year. “The move is largely constructive as the government now officially recognizes that U.S. dollars and RTGS$ are not at parity,” Neville Mandimika, an analyst in Johannesburg at FirstRand Ltd.’s Rand Merchant Bank, said in response to emailed questions. “The introduction of a Zim dollar will be just in name, but the RTGS$ is essentially the Zim dollar.” Ncube has given few details on plans for the new currency, beyond that the central bank was building reserves, which currently cover barely two weeks of imports. He’s also trying to restructure billions of dollars of defaulted multilateral debts so that Zimbabwe can obtain new international loans. While a new currency is possible, it’s likely to behave the same way bond notes and RTGS dollars did, said Steve H. Hanke, a professor of applied economics and expert on hyperinflation at Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore. Both units depreciated against the dollar after their introduction. “It would sink like a stone,” he said. “They have created such a mess with the bonds and RTGS dollars. What they should do is get this cancer out of the system.”
|
read more |
|
08-OCT-2018 :: Government's "Voodoo Economics" Africa |
There are $9.3 billion of Zollars in banks compared to $200 million in reserves, official data showed, a mis- match that creates a premium for the U.S. dollar and fans the black market. On the black market, the premium for the U.S. dollar spiked to a new record on Saturday, reaching 165 percent from 120 percent on Monday, traders said that means buying $100 in cash via a bank transfer cost $265, up from $220 earlier this week. The Government’s ‘’Voodoo Economics’’ where it spent $1.3b pump-priming the economy ahead of the election [money it did not have] was the straw that broke the camel’s back.
|
read more |
|
21-JAN-2019 :: The Point I am seeking to make is that There is a correlation between high Inflation and revolutionary conditions Africa |
The Point I am seeking to make is that There is a correlation between high Inflation and revolutionary conditions, Zimbabwe is a classic example where there are $9.3 billion of Zollars in banks compared to $200 million in reserves, official data showed. The Mind Game that ZANU-PF played on its citizens has evapo- rated in a puff of smoke. President Mnangagwa was cavorting around the World with his scarf [As violence unfolded on the streets, Mnangagwa traveled to Russia. He’s also scheduled to visit Kazakhstan, Belarus and Azerbaijan before flying to the World Economic Forum in Davos] at the very moment that his Citizens like Roberto Durán II in his fight with Sugar Ray Leonard turned away from Leonard towards the referee and quit by apparently saying, “No más” (Spanish for “No more”).
The Petrol price hike was the proximate cause and ‘’ignited the already dry tinder on the ground’’ [Piers Pigou International Crisis Group]
|
read more |
|
.@BarrickGold's Cost of Doing Business Could Shoot Up With @AcaciaMining Deal Africa |
A deal that would see Barrick Gold Corp. split returns from its Tanzanian unit with the government could have ramifications for its negotiations with other countries, including Papua New Guinea and Democratic Republic of Congo. The Toronto-based miner’s long-term license to operate its mine in Papua New Guinea is due for renewal this year. The question is whether officials there, and in other countries where the global miner operates, will push for a similar arrangement as resource nationalism continues to gain traction around the world. The largest gold miner may already be trying to get ahead of that tide in PNG. Chief Executive Officer Mark Bristow met last week with government officials about extending its license for the Porgera mine, Barrick’s joint venture with Zijin Mining Group Co. Executive Chairman John Thornton had said previously that Barrick may one day sell its remaining 47.5 percent stake to Zijin. But since taking Barrick’s reins in January, Bristow has backpedaled on that. The miner issued a statement this week calling Porgera a long-term asset for both companies. It then added that, without an extension to its mining lease, it would be “difficult to justify” the significant capital investments the mine requires. Elsewhere, Bristow has also hit the ground running. The company has already reached out to the new government in the Democratic Republic of Congo, after President Felix Tshisekedi was sworn in late last month. Barrick, and other miners, have been pushing for changes to the country’s mining code, but so far have been rebuffed. The country’s mines minister said earlier this month the rules won’t be reopened.
|
read more |
|
Zambian Central Bank Mulls China Debt Swap to Build Reserves. @economics Africa |
The Bank of Zambia is considering asking China to convert its dollar loans to the southern African nation into renminbi, as it seeks to build foreign-currency reserves that have plunged to the lowest level this decade, Governor Denny Kalyalya said. The bank is “looking for ways how we can maybe get some swap arrangements,” he told reporters Wednesday in Lusaka, the capital. “If it can be denominated in renminbi, that could also mitigate the need to get dollars. Right now that debt is also serviced in dollars.” Zambia’s external debt almost doubled to $9.5 billion in September from $4.8 billion in 2014, as the government built hundreds of kilometers of roads, power plants and airports. The cost of servicing foreign loans this year is equivalent to about 90 percent of the nation’s international reserves, according to Renaissance Capital. To help repair them, the central bank has engaged the government on debt contraction and the rate at which it’s drawing down reserves to service loans, he said. The Bank of Zambia is also in talks with gold producers to add the metal to its reserves portfolio, according to Kalyalya. “We are not sitting idle and just watching the reserves go down,” he said.
|
read more |
|
DTB official charged in Dusit attack case Business Daily Kenyan Economy |
A bank manager suspected of facilitating the financing of the dusitD2 hotel attack which left 21 people dead, via huge M-Pesa transactions, was Wednesday charged in court. Sophia Njoki Mbogo, a DTB Eastleigh branch manager, appeared before Chief Magistrate Francis Andayi and pleaded not guilty to three offences. Ms Mbogo was charged with failure to report suspicious activity regarding proceeds of crime and anti-money laundering, aiding and abetting commission of a terrorism Act, as well as failure to report a suspicious transaction amounting to Sh34.7 million.
|
read more |
|
28-JAN-2019 :: "I used to think it was possible for an artist to alter the inner life of the culture. Now bomb-makers and gunmen have taken that territory," Don DeLillo, Mao II. Kenyan Economy |
Don De Lillo wrote about this about Terror ‘’Terror’s response is a narrative that has been developing over years, only now becoming inescapable. It is our lives and minds that are occupied now. This catastrophic event changes the way we think and act, moment to moment, week to week, for unknown weeks and months to come, and steely years. our world, parts of our world, have crumbled into theirs, which means we are living in a place of danger and rage’’ “I used to think it was possible for an artist to alter the inner life of the culture. Now bomb-makers and gunmen have taken that territory,” Don DeLillo, Mao II. The truth of the matter is more people die on the roads everyday. Terror is a mind game. The response was professional and effective. The city moved forward. I extend my condolences to all who lost their li- ves. A lot now depends on whether this was a one off or not.
|
read more |
|
|
|
|