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Morning Africa |
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0930-1500 KENYA TIME
Normal Board - The Whole shebang
Prompt Board Next day settlement
Expert Board All you need re an Individual stock.
The Latest Daily PodCast can be found here
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Macro Thoughts
I see the Euro retracing to at least 1.1760 after this Bounce.
Home Thoughts
The Little One was blowing Soap Bubbles in the Patio yesterday evening.
Hannah says to me [as a Bubble floats up]
Can You see Dora?
Yes I can.
The Next one
Can you see My Marriage? [As the next Bubble floats up]
Are you not a little Young?
Dad This is the Future. Anyway who was I getting married to?
She then went to Bed and I started reading a Salman Rushdie Critique
of the Wizard of Oz which was rather good. |
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Three days on: still no deal as talks hinge on voting reform Independent Law & Politics |
Nick Clegg and David Cameron were were still struggling to find common ground last night over the deal-breaking issue of reforming Britain's voting system as they sought an agreement that could forge the next government.
The Tory leader yesterday dangled the prospect of several cabinet jobs to the Liberal Democrats, but both sides believe a looser agreement is more likely as they edge towards a deal. Gordon Brown left Downing Street for an hour-long meeting with Mr Clegg as he manoeuvred to make him an offer should talks with the Tories collapse. But it could be the last roll of the dice for the Prime Minister, who consulted his most trusted allies yesterday over his own position.
A series of "back-channel" negotiations were taking place across the weekend between the parties. One source familiar with the discussions said a broad anti-Tory coalition was a serious option – but depended on Labour having a new leader. He said: "Propping up Gordon Brown would be toxic, but once he goes things become much easier. The arithmetic is very much possible."
"This [electoral reform] is virtually the only issue that will be at the forefront of any discussion with the Conservatives," one Liberal Democrat frontbencher told The Independent last night. "No substantial deal can be made that doesn't progress this issue. It's not going to be handed to us on a plate but it is something that we are intent on fighting for."
A senior Conservative said last night the two sides were still far apart on electoral reform, but insisted Mr Cameron believed the distance could be narrowed. He said: "David is negotiating in good faith – he is hungry for power and so are the people around him." |
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Message of ‘shock and awe’ sent to markets FT World Of Finance |
Germany, France and the eurozone’s 14 other countries early Monday morning delivered the “shock and awe” message to financial markets that had eluded them ever since the Greek debt crisis exploded last October.
In an initiative that far exceeded any measure announced by European governments over the past seven months, eurozone finance ministers committed their nations to a €500bn ($644bn, £436bn) emergency facility to protect the euro area from potential disaster. With the aid of a further €220bn from the International Monetary Fund, the total rescue package hit a massive €720bn.
“Technically, the programme will not be live as of midnight. You will need to go through the parliamentary procedures in the relevant member states. But the aim [was] to put this in place in time for the opening of Asian markets on Monday,” a diplomat said.
Conclusions
The GO MASSIVE Strategy. |
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Fed Restarts Currency-Swap Tool as Sovereign-Debt Crisis Flares Bloomberg World Currencies |
The U.S. Federal Reserve will restart its emergency currency-swap tool by providing as many dollars as needed to European central banks to keep the continent’s sovereign-debt crisis from spreading.The swaps with the European Central Bank, Bank of England and Swiss central bank will allow them to provide the “full allotment” of U.S. dollars as needed, the Fed said late yesterday in a statement in Washington. A separate swap line with the Bank of Canada will support as much as $30 billion, the Fed said, and the Bank of Japan said it approved reactivating its U.S. line. The swaps were authorized through January 2011.
“If there is one thing the Fed doesn’t like, it is systemic risk,” said Torsten Slok, an economist at Deutsche Bank AG in New York. “Early signs of systemic risk were brewing in the financial system last week, and if policy makers had not taken action this weekend, then this would also have been a threat to the U.S. financial system.”
The London interbank offered rate, or Libor, for three- month loans climbed 5.5 basis points to 0.428 percent on May 7, the highest level since Aug. 17, according to data from the British Bankers’ Association. It was the biggest increase since Jan. 16, 2009, and the 13th straight gain.
Fed officials aren’t sure what the immediate demand will be for dollars or how much the U.S. central bank’s balance sheet will grow from its current level of $2.33 trillion. The ECB said its first offering will take place tomorrow. The prior incarnation of the swaps peaked at $583.1 billion in December 2008, with deals encompassing 14 other central banks.
Conclusions
The Free Money Strategy. |
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Qatar’s Harrods Purchase Bloomberg Retail & Manufacturing |
Qatar’s agreement on May 8 to buy London’s best-known store from the family trust of Mohamed Al-Fayed is the biggest deal in U.K. retailing since the 11.1 billion-pound takeover of Alliance Boots Plc in 2007, Bloomberg data show. There were about $1 billion of transactions in all of 2009.
Al-Fayed had owned Harrods since 1985. The landmark store in Knightsbridge, which opened in 1849, counted Sigmund Freud and Oscar Wilde among customers, and sells goods from Christian Dior fashions to gold bars.
Harrods has more than 1 million square feet of selling space and its flagship store is located in one of the world’s most expensive areas of real estate.
Harrods is “the sort of asset people would have expected them to have bought,” said Andy Wade, a retail analyst at Numis Securities in London. “It’s an iconic asset, a trophy asset, it’s an asset with a property angle.” |
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Raising the 'Flag'—and the Auction Stakes Misc. |
Prices for new art fell sharply during the recession, but collectors are still willing to pay top dollar for iconic works by postwar masters like Jasper Johns. On Tuesday, Christie's expects to kick off New York's week-long series of contemporary-art auctions by selling the artist's "Flag," (shown here) for at least $10 million. |
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High-tech gadgets woo the super-rich The Times Information & Communication Technology |
One of the carefully arranged books on the coffee table bears the title Luxury Toys. But Ron Pratt, of Oakhurst Property Developments, needs no cue to display the technology that his company has installed in its latest luxe Knightsbridge apartment. He presses the buttons on a remote control and the flames spring up from the fire, the blinds close and the TV emerges from the cupboard. When the water from the kitchen tap becomes hot, a light turns the top part of the flow from blue to red. |
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Commodity Markets at a Glance WSJ Commodities |
By the early Asian afternoon, Gold for June delivery was down $13, or 1.1%, to $1,197.40 an ounce on Globex, after touching an intraday low of $1,196.10 in electronic trading.The contract on Friday settled $13.10 higher, or 1.1%, at $1,210.40 an ounce. That was a five-month high for the metal, and futures prices were closing in on the Dec. 3 all-time settlement record of $1,217.40 an ounce, with prices buoyed by the potential for a European debt crisis. |
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Live Crude Oil chart 77.20 Last Commodities |
Crude for June delivery, the most active contract, climbed $1.75, or 2.3%, to $76.86 a barrel on Globex after tapping an intraday high of $76.91 in electronic trading.June crude on Friday lost $2, or 2.6%, to settle at $75.11 in New York. That's its lowest price since mid-February, when prices dropped to a little above $74 a barrel, according to FactSet Research. The contract tallied a 13% loss for the week. See Friday's Futures Movers. |
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The African Century Africa’s youth: an energy to liberate or detonate Ken Wiwa Africa |
This year, the World Cup of soccer will be held on African soil for the first time and 17 African countries celebrate the 50th anniversaries of their independence. These festivals of nostalgia could heighten a collective anxiety among Africans my age, about being remembered as a lost generation. In many countries, the leaders and their cronies – Libya’s Moammar Gadhafi, Zimbabwe’s Robert Mugabe, Senegal’s Abdullah Wade – have been in power ever since those days of liberation.
Only last year, Gabon’s Omar Bongo died with his presidential boots on at the age of 73. He had been in charge of the central African country for 41 years. By the time my cohort has wrested power from these reluctant fathers, we may no longer be relevant.
Another generation is being mass-produced, surfing on a wave of technological advance, presenting a demographic time bomb that threatens to detonate everything that has gone before them. But where, I wonder, are the younger, vibrant leaders who can harness the energy of Africa’s increasingly youthful, urban and restless societies?
It was not always like this. If I rewind the Pathé Newsreels of African history, I see young Turks such as, yes, Moammar Gadhafi and Robert Mugabe, not to mention the likes of Patrice Lumumba (Congo), Kwame Nkrumah (Ghana), Jomo Kenyatta (Kenya) and Steve Biko (South Africa). There they are, all in their 20s and 30s, daring to stand up to the old order, leading their countries out of the bondage of colonialism, rejecting their parents’ institutionalized passivism and mobilizing moral outrage to separate from a Europe exhausted by the Second World War.
Social media have enabled us to bypass the limitations and biases of traditional media. Here in Nigeria, websites and blogs such as SaharaReporters.com routinely publish stories no newspaper would have printed in the past. As they are everywhere else, the old orders are struggling to contain the shifting shape of this irreverent new movement.
The question I keep asking myself is how these cultural networks will engage with the old political order. Do any of my colleagues in government have the vision and conceptual tools to channel this youthful energy to the common good?
The continent is vast, rich in contradictions, complex yet simple. It is black and white, rich and poor, Muslim and Christian, north and south. It is a place that invites but defies stereotyping. As we like to say here, what you see is what you don’t get. Whether it can fulfill the claims of its boosters, only time can tell. What could be decisive is whether Africa’s leaders, new and old, learn to see the burgeoning young population as a challenge and opportunity, to be mobilized for nation building and economic success, rather than as a threat to self-serving elites.
Author Ken Wiwa is an aide to the President of Nigeria.
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Absa Group Plans IPO for Tanzania’s National Bank of Commerce Bloomberg World Of Finance |
Absa Group Ltd., the South African bank controlled by Barclays Plc, plans to hold an initial public offering for its 55.5 percent-owned National Bank of Commerce Ltd. in Tanzania and list it on the Dar es Salaam exchange.
The IPO would dilute the Tanzanian government’s stake and is subject to regulatory approvals, Absa Chief Executive Officer Maria Ramos said in an interview in Dar es Salaam last night. The listing, which should take place this year, will leave Absa with a 55 percent stake in the lender, she said.
“We are very keen on Nigeria,” Ramos said. The lender, which didn’t register with the Central Bank of Nigeria to examine buying a stake in one of the country’s 10 rescued banks, sees the West African country as the “obvious” place to go, and Ramos said it remains “on the radar screen.”
Absa said on Feb. 16 that full-year profit in 2009 fell 36 percent after bad debts surged and it lost money on equity investments. In the first half of 2010, the company’s asset growth has been “pretty muted,” Ramos said, adding that bad retail loans may have peaked, while corporate bad debts may only start to decline after mid-year. |
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The pirate sector FT Africa |
Modern piracy is a serious problem, costing shipping an estimated $150m in 2008, according to Pirates of the 21st Century. Yet the threat is minor compared to the past. In Somalia, in 2008, there were an estimated 300 sailors being held hostage. In contrast, Algiers, hub of Mediterranean brigandage, held tens of thousands of captive Europeans in the 17th century.
“Our fish were all eradicated, so we can’t fish now, so we’re going to fish whatever passes through our sea because we need to eat,” a Somali pirate is quoted as saying in Pirates of the 21st Century. Somalia’s coastline fell prey to overfishing and illegal toxic dumping by foreign corporations following the state’s collapse in the civil wars of the 1990s. “Piracy will not stop unless we get a government,” another pirate says.
Pirates of the 21st Century lacks first-hand reportage or serious analysis. Nonetheless, a sense emerges of the organised nature of modern piracy. In Somalia, for example, gunmen are often former militia men. The men piloting the fast dirigibles used to board cargo ships tend to be fishermen. One 350-strong gang of Somali pirates nicknamed the “Coast Guard” allegedly has a kind of IT department handling the global positioning (GPS) and communications systems.
In 2009 the average ransom of a Somali-hijacked vessel was $2m. When four pirates seize control of Phillips’ cargo ship off the Horn of Africa, as recounted in A Captain’s Duty, they whoop with delight about having sprung a US-flagged ship. Jackpot!
Several of the piracy victims in Pirates of the 21st Century deride their attackers as “paranoid druggies” and “unsophisticated hoodlums”. Others, such as Capt Phillips, are struck by their orderliness. Treatment of hostages varies too. The crew of a French luxury yacht discovered their captors had a good conduct manual on how to seize a foreign vessel and spoke of being made to feel “relaxed and cheerful”. The pirates even invited them to a barbecue.
Hostile to traditional hierarchies, stateless, highly mobile, ruthlessly acquisitive, they signalled the emergence of a certain type of modern consciousness. No wonder they fascinate us: in them we see a glimmer of ourselves. |
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KenolKobil’s Sh4.6bn setback Nation N.S.E Equities - Industrial & Allied |
KenolKobil has suffered a setback in its compensation case against Kenya Pipeline Company Ltd, which might dent its revenue projections for the year.The High Court dismissed an application by the oil marketer to have the pipeline company’s appeal against an arbitration court’s Sh4.6 billion award struck out. “I come to the conclusion that the application before me is incompetent. It is accordingly dismissed with costs,” Lady Justice Hannah Okwengu, said about KenolKobil’s application in her 19-page ruling on April 20 this year.
On December 10, 2009, arbitrator Ahmednasir Abdullahi, ordered KPC to pay KenolKobil Sh4.6 billion for contravening a transportation and storage agreement. Mr Abdullahi explained that the award was damages for loss of consumer goodwill, cost of public relations, marketing campaign and loss of financial goodwill.
KenoKobil had factored the award in its 2010 revenues, which it hoped would boost its balance sheet if awarded in its favour. Mr Abdullahi, a former Law Society of Kenya (LSK) chairman, ruled that the State corporation breached the transportation and storage agreement by allowing the collapsed Triton Petroleum to use its facility, Kipevu, in Mombasa, as a warehouse. |
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N.S.E Today |
The Bourse turned defensive as Regulator Risk [previously at 0] started to be priced into Safaricom. Confidence is as fragile as an Egg and If Folks want to jump up and down they will not make an Omelette but a Mess. Safaricom is the biggest Counter at the Bourse and therefore utterances from the Regulator might have an outsize impact on the Bourse as a whole and the eventual Resuscitation or not of the GOK IPO Pipeline. With 40% of Turnover at the Bourse driven by Foreigners, the recent news Flow is alarming many of them.
The NSE20 fell back 40.27 points to close at 4237.35. The NASI was down 1.07 points at 90.11. Market Cap was 1.049263 Trillion versus 1.06171 Trillion. Equity Turnover was 244.195m versus 453.779m. |
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N.S.E Equities - Agricultural |
Kakuzi traded 3,000 shares higher at 80.00. Rea Vipingo traded 5,600 shares to close firmer at 19.20. Sasini closed firmer at 15.40 and traded 167,200 shares.
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N.S.E Equities - Commercial & Services |
SAFARICOM
shares volume 8.515,000 avg price 5.77 Closing Price 5.75 -2.54% high price 6.00 low price 5.60 last price 5.75
Conclusions
Safaricom was the most active Counter and the price began to feel some backlash from the ongoing Contretemps between the CCK and Safaricom, the merits or demerits of which I discussed here http://bit.ly/9zaDNS . Safaricom traded a 5.60-6.00 range and eased 2.54% to close at 5.75. Safaricom traded 7.708m shares worth 44.544m.
Kenya Airways was the 2nd most active counter closing unchanged at 56.00. Kenya Airways traded a 56.00-57.00 range and 662,700 shares worth 37.173m.
Car and General rallied a further 9.18% to close at 53.50. Car and General traded a 1,000 shares. Car and General has returned 78.687% over 12 months and trades on an unexacting PE of 5.568 and has rallied sharply over the last few Sessions.
Car and General share price data from www.rich.co.ke http://bit.ly/ato90s
Par Value: 5/- Closing Price: 49.00 Total Shares Issued: 22,279,616 Market Capitalization: 1,092M EPS: 8.80 PE: 5.568
CMC Holdings firmed 1.11% to close at 13.65 and traded 23,100 shares. There has been a strong mopping up Exercise which started at the time of the Profits warning and when the share price was at 10.00.
Nation closed 4.17% lower at 138.00 and traded a 137.00-139.00 range and 13,100 shares. Nation trades on a trailing PE of 18.701 which is not inexpensive. Standard traded 700 shares at 41.00.
Access Kenya closed 5.479% weaker at 17.25 and traded shares as low as 16.60. Access Kenya traded 135,600 shares with a 3-1 Supply versus Demand Imbalance.
Scangroup was unchanged at 32.50 and traded a 33.00 session high and 48,500 shares. It looks well underpinned post Ogilvy especially as it will now pop up on a lot of Africa Fund Managers's screens given its expanded SSA Footprint.
TPS Serena traded 14,000 shares all at 63.00 +3.28%.
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N.S.E Equities - Finance & Investment |
Equity Bank was unchanged at 19.05 and traded a 18.90-19.20 range and 483,900 shares. It is well underpinned post the 1st Quarter 2010 Earnings report and Inflection. KCB fell 6.74% to close at 20.75 and traded a 20.25-22.50 range and 535,400 shares. Barclays Bank was unchanged at 58.00 and traded a 57.00-59.00 range and 156,300 shares. COOP Bank was unchanged at 12.00 and traded a 12.00-12.30 range and 575,200 shares. Stanchart was marked down 1.96% to close at 200.00 on low volume of 7,600 shares.
CFC StanBic closed 1.53% stronger at 49.75 and traded 57,400 shares. DTB bounced a shilling to close at 86.50 and traded 7,300 shares. HFCK was unchanged at 22.50 and traded 24,000 shares. NBK eased 25 cents to close at 42.75 and traded 12,900 shares. NIC shaved off 25 cents to close at 38.75 and traded 8,500 shares.
Centum was unchanged at 18.70 and traded 78,500 shares.
Kenya Re was unchanged at 13.20 and traded 157,900 shares. Jubilee closed 2.86% lower at 175.00 and traded 600 shares. PanAfric traded 1,500 shares at 56.00. |
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N.S.E Equities - Industrial & Allied |
Kenolkobil was the 4th most active Counter and slumped 9.226875% to close at 93.50. Kenolkobil traded a 93.00-95.00 range and 155,000 shares worth 14.527m. The Newspapers carried a report that Kenolkobil's claim against the KPC had been thrown out and this sent the price limit down most of the session until the End where it ticked up to trade 95.00. Total firmed 3.36% to close at 30.75 and traded 6,100 shares.
Mumias Sugar was the 3rd most actively traded Counter at the Bourse. Mumias Sugar eased 0.74% to close at 13.50 and traded a 13.50-13.70 range and 1.33m shares. Mumias was at 13.70 session highs into the close.
KPLC firmed 1.1% to close at 184.00 and traded a 182.00-189.00 range and 25,900 shares. KENGEN was marked down 1.18% to close at 16.80 and traded 131,000 shares. Cables fell 2.27% to close at 21.50 and traded 26,000 shares.
EABL was unchanged at 170.00 and traded 11,700 shares.
Bamburi eased 1.06% to close at 186.00 and traded 1,300 shares. ARM was unchanged at 115.00 and traded 3,600 shares. Portland traded 500 shares at 110.00 +0.92%.
BOC Gases traded 5,100 shares and closed at 134.00 -0.57% Carbacid did not trade.
BAT did not trade. Crown Berger closed at 34.75 and traded 5,100 shares. Eveready closed 2.10% easier at 4.65. Sameer retreated 3.08% to close at 9.15 on 172,600 shares. Unga closed firmer at 12.40 and traded 34,800 shares.
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