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Tuesday 26th of February 2013 |
Morning Africa |
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If you are tracking the NSE Do it via RICHLIVE and use Mozilla Firefox as your Browser. 0930-1500 KENYA TIME Normal Board - The Whole shebang Prompt Board Next day settlement Expert Board All you need re an Individual stock.
The Latest Daily PodCast can be found here on the Front Page of the site http://www.rich.co.ke |
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Kenya Inc. Manifestoes, Dreams and Real Life The Star Africa |
Of Course, I would like to drive a very Fast Car like a Maserati, have my own Private Plane on Stand By, a bevy of Dolly Birds [no Disrespect intended I am a fanatical Feminist] to cater to my every whim, The Finest Champagne at my Elbow and a Bank Account whose complexity was around computing the number of zeros after the 1. I have met several Folks, who exist in that Ultra Net Worth Stratosphere, one of whom parked his $70m Jet at Wilson Airport until I said, By The Time We return from Lamu, Your Plane might be in Mogadishu! I would like to exist at 35,000 Feet and whilst we are compiling My Wish List, I would like to be returned to my Twenties with the Knowledge I have now so i could savour and get intoxicated on Life because Life is so fleeting and such a Precious Gift.
We sit on the Cusp of a Break Out Moment. We cannot afford to fail.
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The spokesman for Italy’s Democratic Party candidate Pier Luigi Bersani said projections of the election results “show a risk of ungovernability.” Law & Politics |
Messy Italian Election Shakes World Markets WSJ http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323384604578325992879185934.html
Democratic Party's Pier Luigi Bersani appeared to have gained a razor-thin victory in the lower house of parliament over the center-right coalition headed by Mr. Berlusconi—29.6% to 29.2% with 99.9% of the ballots counted. By leading the vote count in the lower house, the Democratic Party will automatically get the majority of seats and, therefore, will likely receive the mandate to form a government.
The Senate, however, appeared headed for political impasse. The Democratic Party was the leading vote-getter in the upper house as well, by less than one percentage point. But its 31.6% result fails to provide its coalition with a majority to pass legislation. If a new government isn't able to guarantee clear parliamentary support, Italians could return to the polls within months.
"Whoever thought Berlusconi was finished will have to think again," said Angelino Alfano, the head of People of Freedom, the conservative party founded by Mr. Berlusconi.
"The cost of austerity led to an electoral rebellion," said Enrico Letta, deputy head of the Democratic Party. "This is a complex situation to live and manage."
The apparent stalemate reflects the groundswell of support for former comedian Beppe Grillo's Five-Star Movement. His throw-the-rascals-out platform drew enough voters to give it nearly as many votes as Italy's mainstream coalitions—25.6% in the lower house at the latest count, making it the single largest party in that house.
Messrs. Grillo and Berlusconi both gave voice to Italian anger over tax increases and pension cuts introduced by the emergency government of Mario Monti, whose own Civic Choice coalition ended up with about 10% of the national vote in both houses, according to the unofficial results.
"The big difference between Italy and Portugal or Greece is size. Political instability or uncertainty in the euro-zone's third-largest economy will have negative systemic consequences for everyone else," said Sony Kapoor.
Italians poured their disaffection into a bucket of votes for Mr. Grillo. The former comedian isn't himself actually planning to be a member of parliament, but has named a slew of candidates—including many 20-somethings who have never been in politics—to take his party's seats.
"We precisely laid the bases for Italy's reform and therefore to allow the inevitable travails of elections to occur in the most tranquil context possible," Mr. Monti said, adding that his government would "watch over the aftermath of elections."
Conclusions
"The situation looks ungovernable, and that's the worst outcome you can imagine," said Guido Rosa, president of the Italian Foreign Bank Association.
I used to trade Italy in the 1990s and we appear to have returned to that Period when Governments would fall in less than a Year.
Essentially The Markets have had to re price the Euro Tail Risk higher.
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By the third quarter of last year, U.S. household debt payments were 10.6 percent of their after-tax income Reuters International Trade |
By the third quarter of last year, U.S. household debt payments were 10.6 percent of their after-tax income, the lowest ratio since 1983 and down from a record high 14.1 percent in late 2007.
U.S. economist Milton Friedman once observed that a recovery from recession is like plucking a guitar string: The harder the economy is pushed down, the faster it snaps back.
The pace of auto sales in January would have Americans buying 15.3 million vehicles a year, just below pre-recession levels. In 2012, auto sales were the highest in five years.
Steam is also gathering in the housing market. Home builders large and small are reporting big gains in new orders as prices rise and the supply of homes on the market dwindles. In January, the inventory of existing homes fell to a 13-year low.
The next few months could nevertheless be rough.
Executives from retail giant Wal-Mart and restaurant companies such as Olive Garden owner Darden Restaurants warned last week that higher taxes have hurt customers' spending power.
The scheduled federal budget cuts already have government agencies planning to slash the workweeks of hundreds of thousands of workers. This could shave half a percentage point from economic growth in 2013, and gross domestic product is seen growing just 2 percent in the full year.
After years in which the lingering effects of the housing bust dampened the recovery, the guitar string is starting to make a more familiar sound.
Conclusions
Increasingly The Patient is stirring.
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Commodity Markets at a Glance WSJ Commodities |
Crude Oil 3 Month Chart INO 92.43 Last http://quotes.ino.com/charting/index.html?s=NYMEX_CL.J13.E&v=d3&t=c&a=50&w=1
WTI for April delivery dropped as much as $1.19 in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange and was at $92.55 at 11:46 a.m. Singapore time. Futures declined as much as 1.3 percent to $91.92 a barrel, the lowest intraday price since Jan. 4
Iran, which is under a Western embargo on its oil exports, will meet the U.S., China, France, Germany, Russia and the U.K. today in Almaty, Kazakhstan, after an eight-month lull.
Conclusions
Triple Digits resisted the Advance and Crude has turned much softer. The Stronger Dollar has also taken the Froth off.
Gold 3 Month Chart INO 1592.50 Last http://quotes.ino.com/charting/index.html?s=FOREX_XAUUSDO&v=d3&t=c&a=50&w=1
Gold has dropped 4.8 percent this year.Gold for April delivery traded at $1,596.10 an ounce on the Comex at 11:36 a.m. in Singapore, poised for a fifth monthly drop in what would be the worst run since 1997. Holdings in ETPs, also known as exchange-traded funds, fell to a five-month low of 2,536.289 metric tons yesterday and have shrunk 2.9 percent this month, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Gold futures fell to $1,554.30 on Feb. 21, the lowest since June 29.
Conclusions
Increasingly The Talk is of a Market Turning Point.
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Zanzibar church killing mars music festival promoting religious tolerance Guardian Africa |
Beneath a starry sky and between the twin turrets of the 18th-century Old Fort on Stone Town's seafront, one of Africa's most prestigious and amiable music festivals, Sauti za Busara – "sounds of wisdom" in Swahili – was celebrating its 10th anniversary.
Its director, Yusuf Mahmoud, addressed the cosmopolitan crowd that had come to hear musicians from Mali and Senegal, Zimbabwe, Ghana and Tanzania. "Breaking down barriers between Muslims and Christians, black and white" was a major purpose of the festival, Mahmoud explained. His call for music to promote harmony was greeted with loud applause.
But before the four-day festival had concluded earlier this month a Catholic priest had been murdered and a church has since been torched in what are just the latest examples of similar attacks on the holiday island.
Father Evarist Mushi, 55, was shot dead in the early hours of 17 February in Mtoni, near Stone Town. Two days later, a security guard at the Pool of Siloan church was attacked by three men and the building set on fire. It was the second such attack on the church and the 26th on religious institutions in recent years.
Conclusions
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Charges facing Kenyatta cast shadow over Kenya election FT Kenyan Economy |
Uhuru Kenyatta describes facing charges of crimes against humanity while running for Kenyan president as “a personal issue”.
Mr Kenyatta is indicted at the International Criminal Court over his alleged role in Kenyan election violence five years ago that killed more than 1,100, displaced 660,000 and sent the economy into a tailspin. He has pleaded not guilty. His trial, due to start at The Hague in April, will likely clash with the date of a second-round runoff vote that seems likely, given that polls put him neck and neck with rival Raila Odinga, the prime minister.
While the case makes it harder for diplomats and donors, who can only meet ICC indictees under restricted circumstances, to work in Kenya, the more immediate question is whether the charges will make it harder for voters to back Mr Kenyatta in a tight March 4 election.
The trial has become one of the most divisive issues in the campaign. Mr Odinga has said it would not be possible for Mr Kenyatta to run the “government by Skype” while he attends his trial in The Hague. The prime minister’s team, which commissions its own private opinion polls, said the ICC was putting off voters in Mr Kenyatta’s central Kenyan heartland.
“A quarter of their own voters think it’s a problem, that it will have a negative economic impact,” an Odinga adviser said.
Many fear that if Mr Kenyatta won the election and refused to attend the trial other countries could take actions, ranging from diverting aid and investment to sanctions that would render the regional hub a pariah state.
“Choices have consequences,” US assistant secretary of African affairs Johnnie Carson repeatedly told Kenyans this month, without elaborating. Analysts said his comment was a deliberate attempt to row back from a statement by Barack Obama, who said this month the US was a strong friend to Kenya and voters were free to choose their leader. Mr Kenyatta’s team interpreted the US president’s comments as being supportive of them.
A western diplomat said if Kenya refused to co-operate with an ICC arrest warrant for Mr Kenyatta then all financial transactions through government could be submitted to checks to determine that beneficiaries were not indictees. “It’s not even a threat, it’s what we are bound to as our legal obligation,” the diplomat said
Many voters in central Kenya said the ICC case would not make a difference to them. The latest opinion polls suggest that Mr Kenyatta has overtaken Mr Odinga’s initial lead in the race.
“Kenyans in their mind have already voted: this country can stand on its own,” said Simon Kimutai, chairman of the Matatu [minibus taxi] Owners’ Association at a rally in Kasarani, north of Nairobi, where Mr Kenyatta implored the country’s half a million transport workers to come out and vote.
Mr Kenyatta’s campaign team at first tried to ignore the ICC case but has since sought to use it to his advantage. When diplomats voiced concerns about the consequences of electing an indictee, Mr Kenyatta’s team complained of neocolonial western political interference.
Newspaper columnists have accused diplomats of behaving like “bwana” – the Swahili word for “Mister” that implies the arrogance of colonial rule. The head of the civil service condemned outsiders for their “attempt to dictate to Kenyans who to elect”.
A paper from the UK’s Chatham House think-tank said this month “Kenyatta and [William] Ruto [presidential running mate also indicted at the ICC] have both gained popularity since the ICC’s charges against them were announced”.
Sam Ongeri, foreign minister and a supporter of Mr Kenyatta’s jubilee coalition accused diplomats of “an orchestrated attempt by a number of you to influence the way Kenyans conduct their forthcoming elections”.
A well-informed political observer said: “The ICC is the making of Uhuru as president – without the ICC, Uhuru is a very anaemic personality.”
In the face of fears that an indicted president could affect the country’s creditworthiness and ability to borrow on international markets, Mr Kenyatta’s camp insisted that the country’s economic future was bright. Supporters cited forecasts from the International Monetary Fund that growth will rise to 5.8 per cent this year, if elections go smoothly.
“The economic experts are saying one thing, the ambassadors another,” a member of his campaign team said.
Mr Kenyatta’s team has submitted applications to move the trial to Arusha in Tanzania, which it says is “a 20-minute ride by private jet”, and to conduct proceedings by video link. This would make it easier to work as president and attend trial.
@BarackObama's Message to Kenyan People and a Tsunami of Messaging The Star http://www.the-star.co.ke/news/article-106891/obamas-message-spurs-mixed-reactions
Habari Yako started President @BarackObama 's Message to the Kenyan people delivered via a Podcast, earlier this week. The President continued to say ''The choice of who will lead Kenya is up to the Kenyan people. The United States does not endorse any candidate for office, but we do support an election that is peaceful and reflects the will of the people.''
And then signs off in his inimitable style with ''And I say to all of you who are willing to walk this path of progress-you will continue to have a strong friend and partner in the United States of America. Kwaheri.''
Coincidentally and on the very same Day, The British High Commissioner to Kenya Dr. Christian Turner said:'“The UK will remain impartial. What is important to us is not who wins the general election but how he wins the polls” and then via Twitter reiterated that ''Whoever wins election, ongoing Kenyan co-operation with ICC essential.''
And Then on Friday Johnnie Carson the assistant secretary of the Bureau of African Affairs on US--Africa foreign policy weighed in:
"Choices have consequences, We live in an interconnected world and people should be thoughtful about the impact that their choices have on their nation, on the region, on the economy, on the society and on the world in which they live. Choices have consequences.”
Carson Speaking to Kenyan journalists from Washington via video link warned that as much as the general election is a Kenyan affair, its outcome will have implications since a president "must work with the international community."
The French Ambassador to Kenya Etienne De Poncins added on Friday that: "France will stick to the EU stand to respect the ICC, and the member countries in relation to ICC suspects."
What is an absolute truth is that Kenyans have the absolute right to vote for whomsoever we wish to vote for.
Now how do we parse this deluge of comments? We self-referred ourselves to The ICC with our mantra 'Don't be Vague Let's go to The Hague.' So the idea that this is an evil conspiracy hatched outside Kenya does not stack up. We self-selected the ICC. Interestingly, the myth around the ICC has consolidated the vote on a tribal basis.
And the messages we heard last week from our western partners has only consolidated it further. In fact, it's very counter intuitive but commentary from the West has actually snagged votes for Uhuru Kenyatta and William Ruto and my analysis now shows they have a shot at taking this lock, stock and barrel in the 1st Round,
The sanctions risk is [in my view] only triggered if having won the popular mandate the newly minted President and his deputy decide to skip the ICC process. And whilst many folks tend to pose the question back to me 'Would You go, Aly-Khan?'
I will take Mr Kenyatta at his word. He wins big and confounds everyone by making his way to the Hague.
By way of contrast, China had already stated the following “No matter who is elected, the Chinese Government is willing to work with the Kenyan Government,” said Chinese Embassy to Kenya chief of communications and public affairs Shifan Yu.
It is clear that China is willing to work with whomever and that can be taken to the bank. President Omar Al-Bashir has been relying on China's guarantee for quite a while now. It has not been a road strewn with scented rose petals for Khartoum, however.
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If Raila Odinga wins Kenya's elections, Britain's interests are secure, but if Uhuru Kenyatta wins...Independent Kenyan Economy |
Uhuru Kenyatta's first official act as Kenyan president, if he is sworn in on 10 April, will be to appear in The Hague the following day to face charges of crimes against humanity. The son of Jomo Kenyatta – the country's first leader after independence – he denies the charges, but the legal process is expected to take years, creating alarm and uncertainty over what is going to unfold in one of Britain's main allies in Africa.
The British Government faces a conundrum: it could continue its current policy of having nothing but the "most essential" contact with a political leader facing such serious charges, but at what cost to UK trade and security?
Britain's critical strategic alliance with Kenya extends not only to trade and to aid distribution across East Africa, but also to ever-closer military and security links. Kenya is the centre for security operations by the UK and the West against the Islamist al-Shabaab group in neighbouring Somalia, a country which the head of MI5, Jonathan Evans, has described as second only to Pakistan as a destination for extremist British Muslims.
The British military teams sent to train Somali forces (as part of the strategy to build up security in countries facing insurgencies) will have their logistical support base in the country. One of the British Army's main exercise areas overseas is also in Kenya and is used by brigades in preparation for deployment to Afghanistan.
Kenya is the hub of British aid programmes for neighbouring countries. Trade between the two nations grew to £1bn last year and the UK is the largest single foreign investor with projects totalling £2bn and around 70 companies involved.
Mr Kenyatta has warned that any sanctions by the UK or the West would persuade a government run by him to turn to other international partners – especially the Chinese, whose influence across Africa is growing rapidly.
There is widespread trepidation that like the last Kenyan elections, those this March will also be mired in strife. There are reports of arms being stockpiled and inflammatory rhetoric along tribal and sectarian lines. The risk of violence is "perilously high", a report by Human Rights Watch has warned. There have been a series of attacks among rival groups, with seven people shot dead last week at a mosque in north-eastern Kenya near the Somali border.
Wide-ranging reforms have been carried out at the instigation of the US and the UK. However, in this febrile and politically charged climate, Britain has been accused by Mr Kenyatta's followers of arrogance and interference. A part played by the UK's Department for International Development in voter registration has been portrayed as part of a plot to manipulate Kenya's polls.
A legal attempt to stop Mr Kenyatta from running in the elections was thrown out by a Nairobi court. He currently narrowly trails Raila Odinga, the current Prime Minister – portrayed as the West's sponsored candidate – by 45 per cent to 43 per cent in the polls. The contest is widely expected to go to a second round of voting after an indecisive first round on 4 March.
Mr Kenyatta has insisted he will appear before the International Criminal Court (ICC). But he said: "If Kenyans do vote for us, it will mean they themselves have questioned the process that has landed us at the International Criminal Court. But that does not mean that we will cease to co-operate because as I have said most importantly we understand and recognise the rule of law and we will continue to co-operate as long as we are signatories to the Rome Statute."
The US government and a number of European governments have made public pronouncements urging people to desist from violence and warning of the difficulties that will be caused if Mr Kenyatta is elected.
When the UK High Commissioner, Christian Turner, stressed that the UK will have minimal contact with anyone indicted by the ICC, it was seized as an example of colonial hubris. Mr Kenyatta said: "In fact the negative impact is on the British. Kenyans are showing they are not keen on foreigners telling them what to do. His remarks helped us out. Many countries are willing to deal with Kenya. We have a good relationship with China, and when one door closes another one opens."
Peter Cheboi, a political scientist, pointed out that any impression of interference by Britain and the West could backfire. "There could be a backlash against people of European descent."
Conclusions
The United Kingdom has deep embedded Ties with Kenya. Kenya remains the Anchor Stake in the Region and the Geopolitical Pivot. The Situation is now fast moving and fluid and requires a nuanced approach. United Kingdom Companies [Diageo PLC, Barclays PLC, Vodafone to name 3 but There are plenty more] represent over 50% of the Market Capitalisation of the Nairobi Securities Exchange. The Economic value of that Stake alone is around $7.5b. The Military Relationship is a National Interest for both Countries. The Oil and Gas is set to be a c21st Energy Prize. An ideological Position is set to trumped by one that considers RealPolitik. To lose Kenya to China, at this juncture makes zero sense given that We are seeking to promote Democracy. Where the Election is free and Fair [and I have no reason to believe it will be any other way] then it behoves Her Majesty's Government to deal with the properly elected Government. It now looks like an Increasing Certainty that The next Government will be led by Mr. Kenyatta. Mr. Kenyatta has made numerous pledges that he will cooperate with the ICC. He has to be taken at his Word. Aly-Khan Satchu http://www.rich.co.ke
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East African Cables releases FY 2012 PAT +65.8755% Earnings here +14.957% 2013 Kenyan Economy |
Par Value: 0.50/- Closing Price: 13.45 Total Shares Issued: 253130000.00 Market Capitalization: 3,404,598,500 EPS: 1.74 PE: 7.72
FY Earnings through December 2012 versus FY Earnings through 2011 Turnover 4.300608b versus 4.971665b -13.497% Net Finance Costs [22.14m] versus [112.145m] -80.2577% FY PBT 753.243m versus 464.756m +62.072% FY PAT 522.060m versus 314.730m +65.8755% FY EPS 1.74 versus 1.15. +51.3043% Revaluation of Property of Equipment 494.164m versus 0.00 Final dividend of 0.60 shillings per share [in addition to an interim dividend of 0.40 shillings] versus 0.80 in 2011
Company Commentary
"The growth in earnings was driven by increased export sales, production efficiency, cost reduction, more stability in the regional currencies and improved profit from our subsidiary in Tanzania," the company said on Monday.
Strong Results. Finance Costs considerably reduced. Turnover down -13.497% however.
Uchumi H1 PBT -35.406% Earnings here +1.308% 2013 http://www.rich.co.ke/rcdata/company.php?i=MTM%3D
Par Value: 5/- Closing Price: 19.60 Total Shares Issued: 265430000.00 Market Capitalization: 5,202,428,000 EPS: 1.03 PE: 19.029
H1 Ended 31st December 2012 versus 31st December 2011 Net Sales 7.588712b versus 7.503674b Gross Profit 1.476017b versus 1.381114b Other Income 213.198m versus 146.991m Operating Expenses [1.547145b] versus [1.310099b] Profit From Operating Activities 142.070m versus 218.006m H1 PBT 131.934m versus 204.253m -35.406% H1 PAT 0.50 versus 0.77 -35.064% Cash and Cash Equivalents at End of Period [327.242m] versus 208.64m
Conclusions
They are evidently investing in the Roll Out. I remain of the View We will see 25.00 after the Rights Issue.
Jonathan Ciano Uchumi CEO @ Ambassador of Belgium 105 Days ago http://www.twitpic.com/a3heab
East African Portland Cement H1 Earnings here +17.948% 2013 http://www.rich.co.ke/rcdata/company.php?i=MzM%3D
Par Value: 5/- Closing Price: 46.75 Total Shares Issued: 90000000.00 Market Capitalization: 4,207,500,000 EPS: -9.09 PE: -5.143
H1 Earnings through 31st December 2012 versus H1 through December 2011 H1 Revenue 4.549385b versus 4.952435b Cost of Sales [3.204266b] versus [4.062310b] Gross Profit 1.345119b versus 0.890125b Other Operating Income 42.447m versus 5.443m Admin and Selling Expenses [1.000298b] versus [1.126259b] H1 PBT 376.52m versus [247.201m] H1 PAT 327.193m versus [376.634m] H1 EPS 3.63 versus [4.18] Forex Gain of 145m. [They have a Yen Loan and therefore should be Cheerleaders of Abenomics]
Conclusions
Strong Turn Around Results. They booked a Forex Gain via a Yen Loan that is on the Books and therefore They must be cheerleaders of Abenomics.
Brace for higher power bills as State now supports new tariffs Nation http://www.nation.co.ke/business/news/Brace-for-higher-power-bills-as-State-now-supports-new-tariffs/-/1006/1704802/-/bbqqor/-/index.html
The government has thrown its weight behind Kenya Power’s intention to increase electricity tariffs starting next month, saying the increment will raise finances required for construction of new energy generation plants.
“Consumers should bear with us for the next five to six years, after which the tariff will come down substantially,” said Mr Nyoike.
However, the commercial sector, represented at the forum by the Kenya Private Sector Alliance (Kepsa) and the Kenya Association of Manufacturers (KAM), strongly opposed the intended increment, saying the move would impact negatively on the competitiveness of Kenya as an investment destination.
In a letter to ERC, the power supplier is seeking the nod to implement an upward tariff review that will increase the prevailing electricity bills for consumers.
If effected, the fixed charge is poised to jump to Sh200 from the current Sh120 starting next month and further to Sh250 in July. It would then jump to Sh300 by 2016.
Conclusions
Some Thoughts from Someone who should know
1. KPLC pays 12b to on 4.5% of total energy bought by KPLC which has been going on for 6 years.
2. KENGEN supplies 74% energy and costs kplc 29b per year.
3. KPLC generated Ksh 12B net cash last year, spent 31b in buying cables and spares, enough for next 2 to 3 years. Reason is......
4. KPLC Staff costs increased 55% over last 4 years, 11b per year whilst staff reduced from 11,000 to 10,000.
7. KPLC can reduce transmission losses from 17% to 12%, and save further 5b.
Kenya to issue geothermal bonds Project Finance International http://www.pfie.com/kenya-to-issue-geothermal-bonds/21070521.article
The Kenya Electricity Generating Company (KenGen) is planning to use asset-backed securities to raise over Sh30bn (US$342m) through a 20-year bond for its geothermal expansion plans. It plans to use pre-drilled steam as collateral to raise capital from the markets. The money will be used to build power plants and the revenue from the sale of power will pay down the debt. KenGen needs about US$5bn in the next five years to double current total capacity to 3,000MW. It expects approval for the bond issue from regulator Capital Markets Authority in a few months.
Kenya Electricity share price data here +22.727% in 2013 http://www.rich.co.ke/rcdata/company.php?i=Mzc%3D
Par Value: 2.50/- Closing Price: 10.80 Total Shares Issued: 2198361344.00 Market Capitalization: 23,742,302,515 EPS: 1.29 PE: 8.372
Geothermal OlKaria IV Kenya Twitpic http://www.twitpic.com/ab4dxw
Kenya Shilling versus The Dollar Live ForexPros http://j.mp/5jDOot
Nairobi All Share Bloomberg +10.605% in 2013. http://www.BLOOMBERG.COM/quote/NSEASI:IND
Nairobi ^NSE20 Bloomberg Year To Date: +8.00% http://j.mp/ajuMHJ
Every Listed Share can be interrogated here http://www.rich.co.ke/rcdata/nsestocks.php
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N.S.E Today |
The Nairobi All Share turned 0.27 points higher to close at 105.19. The Nairobi All Share rallied 15.433% from the Start of the Year through Feb 13th. Feb 13th through this Mornings Opening the Nairobi All Share corrected 4.1826% lower. The Market has been in a Bull Move since May 2012 and corrections have been shallow since that Time. The Correction in a Bull Trend looks complete. The Equity Market would prefer a Clear Winner in Round 1 and has substantial Head Room of about 30-35% in the Event of such an Outcome. A Second Round situation would be tolerable in the Event it is well behaved and we do not revisit the 2007/2008 Violence Levels. The Nairobi NSE20 firmed 5.54 points to close at 4469.19. The Nairobi NSE20 is +8.129% this Year and 179 Points below its 27 Month Closing High from Feb 13th. Kenya Commercial Bank rallied 6.081% to close at 39.25 to set a Fresh All Time Closing High. Kenya Commercial Bank is +31.932% in 2013. Diamond Trust Bank set a Fresh All Time High. National Bank closed at a 5 Year Low.
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N.S.E Equities - Commercial & Services |
Safaricom closed unchanged at 5.65 but the Weighted Average was 5.69 and signalling a Bias Higher. Safaricom was trading at 5.70 +0.88% at the Finish Line. Safaricom traded 3.609m shares worth 20.521m.Safaricom had Unserviced Buy Side Interest for 740% more shares than were traded during the Session, at the Closing Bell. Safaricom is +11.8811% in 2013 and 2.586% below its August 2010 Closing High of 5.80 reached on the 9th of January.
ScanGroup traded 4th at the Securities Exchange. ScanGroup closed unchanged at 71.00 and was trading at 71.50 +0.7% at the Closing Bell. ScanGroup traded 253,400 shares worth 17.991m and will be releasing FY Earnings this week. ScanGroup is +3.649% in 2013, trades on a Trailing PE of 27.843 and sits 4.666% below an All Time Closing High of 75.00 reached on February 11th this Year. ScanGroup has been surfing the Increased Multinational Spend across SSA to good effect.
ScanGroup share price data here +3.649% 2013 http://www.rich.co.ke/rcdata/company.php?i=MTE%3D
Uchumi retreated 1.808% to close at 19.00 and traded 27,700 shares.
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N.S.E Equities - Finance & Investment |
Kenya Commercial Bank was the most actively traded share at the Securities Exchange ahead of its FY Earnings Release on Thursday. Kenya Commercial Bank rallied 6.081% to close at 39.25 which is a Fresh All Time Closing High. Kenya Commercial Bank traded an Intra Day and all time Intra Day high of 39.50 +6.756% on the Day. Kenya Commercial Bank traded 8.445m shares worth 333.022m, which was 55.915% of the Total Volume traded at the Exchange. Kenya Commercial Bank has rallied +31.932% in 2013 to this All Time High. Kenya Commercial Bank trades on a Trailing PE of 10.466 ahead of the FY Earnings Release, accelerated Q3 2012 PAT +45.665% and trades on a Price to Book of 2.2808. Today was the 3rd busiest Session for KCB in the last 5 Months.
Kenya Commercial Bank share price data +31.932% 2013 All Time High http://www.rich.co.ke/rcdata/company.php?i=MjE%3D
The CEO @JoshuaOigara @KCBGroup http://www.twitpic.com/bsb47x
Diamond Trust Bank improved 0.71% to close at 141.00 where 100,700 shares worth 14.198m were traded. Diamond Trust has closed at a Fresh All Time High and is +22.6086% in 2013.
Diamond Trust Bank share price data here +22.6086% 2013 http://www.rich.co.ke/rcdata/company.php?i=MTY%3D
Barclays Bank closed unchanged at 16.25 and traded 1.774m shares worth 28.854m. Barclays Bank trades on a PE of 10.093 and released FY Earnings where FY Profit After Tax expanded +7.741%. The Final Dividend Pay Out of 70 cents a share and worth 4.3076% of Yield is undergirding the Price.
Standard Chartered closed unchanged at 265.00 and traded 53,700 shares worth 14.274m. Standard Chartered is +11.32% in 2013 and has corrected 4.676% off a 30 Month Closing High of 278.00 reached on 14th through 18th February. Standard Chartered trades on a Trailing PE of 13.418 and accelerated Q3 PAT +66.622%, hence the Forward looks plain compelling.
Standard Chartered share price data here +11.32% 2013 http://www.rich.co.ke/rcdata/company.php?i=MjU%3D
COOP Bank firmed 0.7633% to close at 13.25 and traded 320,000 shares ahead of its FY Earnings Release this week. Equity Bank closed unchanged at 26.75 and traded 155,400 shares.
Housing Finance rebounded 2.79% to close at 18.40 and traded 54,200 shares. National Bank slumped 7.262% to close at 16.60 and traded 171,200 shares. National Bank is -3.768% in 2013 and this is a 60 Month low previously reached on the 19th of December last Year.
Pan Africa Insurance Holdings firmed 2.59% to close at 49.50 and traded 109,800 shares. Pan Africa Insurance released Strong FY Earnings. Pan Africa is +22.981% in 2013.
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N.S.E Equities - Industrial & Allied |
EABL traded 2nd at the Exchange and eased 0.3571% to close at 279.00 and traded 376,000 shares worth 105.277 following on from yesterdays Banner Session where EABL traded 3.153m shares. EABL has corrected 11.428% since closing at an All Time High of 315.00 on the 13th of February and ahead of its H1 Earnings Release. EABL is +5.283% in 2013.
EABL share Price data and H1 Earnings Release here +5.283% 2013 http://www.rich.co.ke/rcdata/company.php?i=MzQ%3D
A Post H1 Earnings Release Interview with Devlin Hainsworth EABL http://www.rich.co.ke/rctools/richtvi.php
KenGen rebounded 7.407% to close at 11.60 and was trading at its Daily Limit of 11.85 +9.72% at the Closing Bell. KenGen traded 646,700 shares. KenGen had reacted 7.296% lower over the previous 2 Sessions after the Announcement that it would issue a 30b Shilling 20 Year Geothermal backed Bond shook up Equity Holders, unnecessarily in my opinion. KenGen is +31.181% in 2013.
Kenya Power KPLC which is seeking a Tariff Increase as we speak and meeting Stiff Resistance from the Private Sector Alliance (Kepsa) and the Kenya Association of Manufacturers (KAM), who strongly oppose the intended increment, saying the move would impact negatively on the competitiveness of Kenya as an investment destination. KPLC is seeking the nod to implement an upward tariff review that will increase the prevailing electricity bills for consumers and if effected, the fixed charge is poised to jump to Sh200 from the current Sh120 starting next month and further to Sh250 in July. Kenya Power retreated 1.466% to close at 16.80 and traded 280,900 shares worth 4.73m. The Market had 258% more shares on the Offer than were traded during the Session. Kenya Power has retreated 1.754% in 2013 and has retreated 11.811% since the 14th of February. Kenya Power has to put forward a much more robust Argument and give increased Visibility around its Operations before a Tariff Hike of this Nature can be countenanced.
Kenya Power share price data here -1.754% 2013 http://www.rich.co.ke/rcdata/company.php?i=MzY%3D
East African Cables firmed 2.23% to close at 13.75 and traded 135,300 the day after Releasing its FY Earnings where FY PBT increased 62.072% to 753.243m FY PAT increased +65.8755% to 522.060m and The Dividend Pay Out was raised 25%. --
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