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Friday 04th of October 2013 |
Morning Africa |
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The Latest Daily PodCast can be found here on the Front Page of the site http://www.rich.co.ke
Macro Thoughts
Home Thoughts
"Wherever you are is the entry point" -- Kabir
"If you don't break your ropes while you're alive, do you think ghosts will do it after?" -- Kabir |
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Al-Shabaab Terrorists in Kenya Attack Seen as U.S. Threat Bloomberg Law & Politics |
Al-Shabaab, the Somali terrorist group behind a four-day attack on a Nairobi shopping mall, threatens U.S. embassies and interests in Africa and potentially on U.S. soil as well, counterterrorism analysts told Congress.
The Westgate Mall attack last month showed al-Shabaab's growing capacity to conduct sophisticated operations requiring careful planning and reconnaissance, Seth Jones, associate director for international security and defense policy at Rand Corp., told the House Foreign Affairs Committee.
That ability, coupled with the group's use of online social media and "Jihad rap" recruitment videos on Google Inc. (GOOG)'s YouTube.com to attract young Americans, is a concern, Jones said at a panel hearing yesterday.
"Al-Shabaab has the capacity to strike outside Somalia," he said. "They have an interest in targeting the United States, and three, they've been recruiting inside America. You put all those together and, yes, there's reason for concern."
By 2012, almost a quarter of the group's attacks targeted Kenya, which contributed troops to a United Nations peacekeeping mission in Somalia, known as AMISOM and operated by theAfrican Union. As part of its duties, AMISOM supports the Somali government that al-Shabaab seeks to topple.
While Jones said the group hasn't shown interest in exporting terror attacks to the U.S. right now, he and other witnesses told the committee about the risk that Somalis already in the U.S. could become part of a domestic plot.
There are 50 American members of al-Shabaab and there may be more, said Representative Michael McCaul, a Texas Republican.
An Alabama man known as Abu Mansoor Al-Amriki, or "the American," helped lead the group until internal disputes led to his death last month in an ambush in Somalia that the Associated Press said was ordered by al-Shabaab. The U.S. Somali population is estimated at 100,000 by the U.S. Census Bureau.
"The risk to the homeland is definitely there," said Don Borelli, chief operating officer of the Soufan Group, a New York-based consulting firm that provides strategic intelligence services to governments and businesses. "I don't know if it's higher today than it was a month ago."
Borelli told the committee he fears that if radicalized Somali-Americans hold a U.S. "blue passport, they can come back and re-integrate and we have a very dangerous situation."
The militia's diffuse leadership structure makes it harder to dismantle or destroy, David Kilcullen, a former U.S. State Department adviser on counterterrorism, said in his book, "Out of The Mountains: The Coming Age of the Urban Guerrilla."
"the Somali militia made their command and control node invulnerable by not having one," Kilcullen said.
Al-Shabaab has carried out almost 550 terrorist attacks since 2007, according to the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism, in College Park, Maryland
"Al-Shabaab means 'the youth,'" said Richard Downie, deputy director of the Africa program at the Center for Strategic and Independent Studies, a Washington research group. "It attracts a lot of people who are media-savvy and uses media to powerful effect."
The Internet's reach allows al-Shabaab to recruit globally.
"The Internet does not know the boundary between Somalia and San Diego," Borelli said. The U.S. shouldn't make the same mistake it made in the early days of al-Qaeda and "see it only as a local group," he said.
Conclusions
Reflections on #Westgate, #Samanthalewthwaite The White Widow From Monday's Wrap Up Commentary http://www.rich.co.ke/rctools/wrapup.php?dt=MjAxMy05LTMw
#Westgate happened more than a week ago and to date there is no Grand Unified Theory. There are competing Narratives and it is this Pot Pourri of Narratives which is leaving many of us uncertain. Earlier This week I characterised it as a @BP Moment. Kenya's share of Voice was at a Level heretofore never experienced. The World's Media was camped on our Doorstep. I found myself watching the #Live Feed, trawling Eyewitness Accounts, reading the Al-Shabaab Twitter Handles [Twitter knocked them down about 4x only for it to bounce back under a different Handle]. In fact, Al-Shabaab live tweeted #Westgate and the Cabinet Secretary's Bona Fides was undermined by the real time rebuttals issued by Al-Shabaab and on Twitter. The latency of the responses leads to me place the Author of the Twitter Handles on the scene in #Westgate for an as yet undetermined time.
"Westgate: 14hr standoff relayed in 1400 rounds of bullets & 140 characters of vengeance & still ongoing. Gd morning Kenya!"
Another read ''Here are 2 of the Mujahideen inside #Westgate mall, unruffled and strolling around the mall in such sangfroid manner.''
I kept thinking to myself 'sangfroid' is such an unusual word. It means coolness of mind; calmness; composure a kind of cold bloodedness under Pressure. I kept thinking to myself that Sangfroid is a Quality highly prized in the Military. Thats a word the Daughter of a Military Man might know. Nishet tells me, I think this is a Woman. And I said Thats exactly it.
Another Tweet says ''I am Titanium.'' referencing a David Guetta Song, whose lyrics read and are practically a Taunt
David Guetta - Titanium ft. Sia http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JRfuAukYTKg
The Lyrics http://www.azlyrics.com/lyrics/davidguetta/titanium.html
[Sia:] You shouted out But I can't hear a word you say I'm talking loud not saying much I'm criticized but all your bullets ricochet You shoot me down, but I get up
[Chorus:] I'm bulletproof, nothing to lose Fire away, fire away Ricochet, you take your aim Fire away, fire away You shoot me down but I won't fall I am titanium You shoot me down but I won't fall I am titanium
And therefore, I am putting Samantha Lewthwaite at the Scene and I think she live tweeted from inside #Westgate for an as yet undetermined Period. And I think she signalled her Presence and is probably seeking some kind of recognition. Finally, there is a Tweet I recall about taking a walk. And I remember when my Phone was stolen at Westlands roundabout, The Thief ran into a Tunnel. I think She was in there, she live tweeted from inside and then she escaped through a Tunnel.
VIDEO: The escape route tunnel used by terrorists after shopping centre massacre http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/nairobi-attack-escape-route-tunnel-2314873
My Friend Aidan Hartley tweeted ''what use would Samantha Lewthwaite be when shooting starts? She's a bogey woman in a burkha, a media construct'' and ''Yes immoral! like plucked eyebrows & lipstick sulky selfies in hijab.''
Samantha Lewthwaite http://i.telegraph.co.uk/multimedia/archive/02356/hijab_2356692c.jpg
And I thought to myself, thats a whole new Audience. In fact, that is the Audience. It's not in Mogadishu, its in Minneapolis, London, its the Diaspora.
From Yesterdays response to @HoFrench 's Article in Foreign Policy http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2013/10/02/demography_is_destiny_africa_al_shabab?page=0,0
Interestingly, I think the #Westgate Attackers might well represent an Al-Shabaab 2.0. The Extraordinary thing is how Al-Shabaab are able to leverage the new Digital World to such outstanding effect. The Linguistics around their Tweets speak powerfully to the fact that Al-Shabaab's Audience is no longer in Mogadishu, its in the Diaspora Communities in the West in Minneapolis, London et al. The Direction of their Digital Voice speaks volumes to the Internationalisation of this Group.
#Westgate from @CNBCAfrica's #Nairobi Bureau on the 19th Floor 10 days ago http://www.twitpic.com/deneco
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@SpeakerBoehner @BARACKOBAMA STUBBORNLY REFUSING TO END CRISIS I CREATED POSTED BY ANDY BOROWITZ Law & Politics |
WASHINGTON (The Borowitz Report)--Speaker of the House John Boehner (R-Ohio) said that he was disappointed after meeting with President Obama at the White House on Wednesday afternoon, telling reporters, "The President is stubbornly refusing to end the crisis I created."
"Government is about teamwork," Mr. Boehner continued. "I've done my part by putting together an entirely optional crisis that has shut down the government and will throw thousands out of work. Now it's up to the President to do his part by ending it."
Mr. Boehner said that he was "flabbergasted" that the President was looking to him to bring the current government shutdown to an end: "So after doing all of the hard work to push the country to the brink, I'm supposed to pull it back, too? How about you pitching in a little, Mr. President?"
The House Speaker said that he hoped he did not have to manufacture another entirely avoidable crisis over the debt ceiling in order to stir the President to action. "Quite frankly, orchestrating these unnecessary stalemates takes a lot of energy and I could really use a rest," he said.
But Mr. Boehner seemed pessimistic that the President "got the message."
"Because of my actions, thousands of federal workers have already been furloughed," he said. "How many more people do I have to throw out on the street before the President wakes up?"
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Currency Markets at a Glance WSJ World Currencies |
Euro 1.3626 it reached $1.3646, the highest level since Feb. 4 Dollar Index 79.70 Japan Yen 97.06 The dollar headed for a third weekly decline against the yen Swiss Franc 0.8983 Pound 1.6165 Aussie 0.9442 Australia's dollar climbed 1.3 percent since Sept. 27 India Rupee 61.445 South Korea Won 1069.60 Brazil Real 2.2078 Moody's said yesterday in a statement as it cut the outlook on the nation's Baa2 rating, the second-lowest investment grade. The economy will grow at annual rates of "just over" 2 percent in 2013 and 2014 Egypt Pound 6.8922 South Africa Rand 10.0007
For the week, the dollar has dropped 1.2 percent versus the yen and 0.8 percent against Europe's shared currency.
The first partial government shutdown in 17 years has delayed three economic releases this week, including the monthly payrolls report and the official jobless rate, which had been scheduled for release today.
U.S. lawmakers still need to agree on raising the debt limit to avoid a default after Oct. 17.
"The big problem is the issue with the debt ceiling, and then really, it's the effect the shutdown has on data releases, which means the Fed has nothing to work with," said Kara Ordway, a currency strategist at City Index Group Ltd. in Sydney. "Tapering is going to be pushed further and further back, and that's bad for the dollar."
The dollar has dropped 4.5 percent in the past three months, the most among 10 developed-market currencies tracked by Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Indexes, paring its gain this year to 2 percent.
The euro has risen 1.4 percent over three months, while the yen has fallen 1.3 percent. For the year, the euro is up 5.7 percent, the best performer on the indexes, and the yen has fallen 10 percent, making it the worst performer.
Conclusions
@SpeakerBoehner's Strategy impairs the Dollar and Dollar Assets.
Dollar Index 3 Month Chart INO 79.70 http://quotes.ino.com/charting/index.html?s=NYBOT_DX&v=d3&t=c&a=50&w=1
Euro versus the Dollar 3 Month Chart 1.3626 http://quotes.ino.com/charting/index.html?s=FOREX_EURUSD&v=d3&t=c&a=50&w=1
Dollar Yen 3 Month Chart INO 97.06 http://quotes.ino.com/charting/index.html?s=FOREX_USDJPY&v=d3&t=c&a=50&w=1
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ENI of Italy Considers Large Gas Project in Mozambique NYT Africa |
ENI, the Italian oil company, and its partners in Mozambique are strongly considering building a floating liquefied natural gas platform to export a portion of the gas they have discovered in the waters there
ENI and Anadarko are in the early stages of designing an onshore liquefied natural gas facility in a remote area called Afungi in Cabo Delgado Province in the northern part of Mozambique. The facility will use gas from the fields in their two blocks that are geologically connected.
The onshore LNG plant is likely to be one of the largest in the world with, over time, at least 10 units, with a capacity of five million metric tons each. The potential floating operation would be a small fraction of the size, but it reflects a major new push by the industry to find cheaper and more efficient ways to produce the natural gas that is locked under the sea.
If things go smoothly, ENI and Anadarko expect gas to begin flowing around the end of 2018. Total development costs for the drilling and onshore export facilities are estimated to be around $50 billion.
A floating facility costing several billion dollars would provide ENI with an alternative export route that evades a lot of onshore hurdles. In floating LNG, the gas goes directly from the wells to the vessel, which is a very large boat bristling with processing equipment. ENI would export from the southern part of its block known as Area 4.
Maputo Boom Town The Star http://www.rich.co.ke/media/docs/040NSX0406.pdf
GREETINGS from the Serena Polana, Maputo. I can confirm that Maputo is the land of wonderful and flavoursome tiger prawns. The Architecture is also deliciously retro. By the way, the Polana was built in 1922 and the flavour is fabulously Riviera and very swanky. It is less than 4 hours by plane from Nairobi and surely set to be the most of in things and places to visit. Of course, Mozambique has popped large onto the global radar because of gas reserves that have been discovered offshore and in the deep sea.
I have said before, that I believe the eastern seaboard of Africa is clearly the last great energy prize in the c21st and I believe this lake of hydrocarbons stretches from Mozambique up through Tanzania, Kenya and Somalia. We remain in the early stage of this discovery process but Mozambique is further along the curve.
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"They are afraid of the people, they are really nervous." So replied an Angolan friend, a journalist since the 1970s Africa |
"They are afraid of the people, they are really nervous." So replied an Angolan friend, a journalist since the 1970s, when I asked him why his country's police had been holding a 17-year-old boy in solitary confinement without visitors or access to lawyers since mid-September. Manuel Chivonde Nito Alves, the teenager in question, was charged with defamation and arrested on 12 September in the capital, Luanda. Not long before, he had visited a printing shop where he ordered 20 T-shirts to be printed with the words "Ze Dú/ Out/ Disgusting/ Dictator". Ze Dú is the nickname for president José Eduardo dos Santos, who begins his 35th year in power this month. On the back of each T-shirt, the young activist wanted the phrase: "Angolan people/ when the war/ is necessary and urgent in Angola/ to change the dictatorial government."
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Bizarre African Lake Natron Turns Flamingos Into Stone Africa |
ABritish photographer who specializes in documenting regions of East Africa has found one more place to add to your list of places not to go swimming.
Nick Brandt recently took a series of photographs at Lake Natron, in northern Tanzania, showing birds that have been turned to stone by the highly toxic chemical composition of the lake's waters.
While water temperatures in the hellish lake can reach 140 degrees Fahrenheit, it's the extreme alkaline quality of the water that renders it uninhabitable except by a single breed of alkaline-resistant fish and some algae.
The lake is named after the naturally occurring substance natron which consists primarily of sodium carbonate with a lesser degree of sodium bicarbonate, also known as baking soda. The composition of the lake's waters is similar to natron.
Natron was often used by ancient Egyptians to mummify corpses.
Scientists believe that birds see the glassy surface of the waters as a landing area, but then they sink into the lake and can't escape because of the water's thick, heavy quality. Once trapped, they, in effect, mummify.
Flamingos use the lake's perimeter as a nesting grounds and feed off the blue-green algae that lives on the surface. Because the lake is so hot and caustic, no other animals come near the place, allowing the flamingos to remain safe from predators.
Brandy recovered carcasses of the dead birds and arranged them into poses, creating a series of eerie images.
"I could not help but photograph them," Brandt said. "No one knows for certain exactly how they die, but it appears that the extreme reflective nature of the lake's surface confuses them, and like birds crashing into plate glass windows, they crash into the lake."
Nick Brandt Photography Lake Natron http://blu.stb.s-msn.com/i/19/E0D5107D3FC2DE892C01ADBFEB4_h316_w628_m5_cQSnbHBrq.jpg
Lake Magadi #Kenya http://www.twitpic.com/cv2fhw
Clouds reflected in Lake Magadi http://www.twitpic.com/cv2hvi
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End of the line for Kenya's 'lunatic Express' Kenyan Economy |
SOUNDBITE 2: Aly-Khan Satchu (man), economic analyst (English, 24 sec): "Africa suffers from an enormous infrastructure deficit, Kenya in particular. Kenya's main geo-political advantage is that it's a pivot state, it's a transit state. A number of land-locked country's route to the sea is via Kenya. And if you want to maintain, and embed, and entrench that advantage, you've really got to have some 21st century infrastructure."
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Mombasa Nairobi Railway 648 Days Ago Kenyan Economy |
Maktau Gate Exit Tsavo West #Kenya 406 days http://www.twitpic.com/amobyi
Kenya is looking East, but not for comfort http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/comment/kenya-is-looking-east-but-not-for-comfort-8851837.html
In March last year, a clear sign emerged of power shifts in Kenya. The French ambassador, Etienne de Poncins, publicly complained that accessing the then president, Mr Mwai Kibaki, was almost impossible for Western diplomats.
Mr Kibaki, who has since retired, responded through his spokesman saying that he was not unreachable "to any nation that works for the good of the Kenyan people".
In the last 10 years of Kibaki rule, Kenya, like most African countries, has not hidden its preference for China to the traditional allies like United Kingdom, France and America.
In March this year, Mr Uhuru Kenyatta succeeded him. He wasted no time in following in Mr Kibaki's footsteps.
For the new president, though, it is understandable. Together with his deputy, William Ruto, he is facing crimes against humanity charges at theInternational Criminal Court in The Hague, Netherlands.
Western countries have said they can have only essential contact with the Kenyan leaders owing to the charges. China, on its part, does not care what crimes you are accused of. To them, business interests come first.
President Kenyatta and his deputy have succeeded in portraying China as the true friends of Kenya and western countries as the enemies.
A few days after US president, Barack Obama, skipped Kenya during his Africa visit, Mr Kenyatta embarked on a tour of Russia and China. Some observers saw this as a coded message to the US president.
But a look at the recent events paints a different picture. When Jomo Kenyatta International Airport was gutted by fire in August, it is US and UK governments that came through.
President Obama called his Kenyan counterpart offering to help them get the airport operational and secure as quickly as possible.
Indeed, those who passed via the airport can attest that the tents - which were used as a temporary terminal -, were branded 'USAID'.
The FBI joined in the investigations of the cause of the fire. The British donated x-ray equipment to boost the security. China was nowhere to be seen. No. Actually, they were there -constructing the new US$ 654 million (£404 million) terminal.
The script was no different after the September 21 terror attack on Westgate Mall. World leaders, including Obama and UK Prime Minister David Cameron, called Mr Kenyatta to express sympathy.
The FBI and Scotland Yard are currently assisting Kenyan investigators with a forensic probe.
Indeed, when he announced that the siege had come to an end, President Kenyatta gave a list of "many friends throughout the world who came through with moral support and offers of various forms of assistance".
Mr Kenyatta thanked President Yoweri Museveni (Uganda), Jakaya Kikwete (Tanzania), Paul Kagame (Rwanda), Salva Kiir (South Sudan) and Pierre Nkurunziza (Burundi) saying they called daily to encourage Kenyans.
"Other African and global leaders, including presidents Goodluck Jonathan of Nigeria, Jacob Zuma of South Africa, and Hailemariam Desalegne, Prime Minister of Ethiopia, as well as United States president Barack Obama, the prime ministers of Israel and Britain have also expressed their sympathies and best wishes," added President Kenyatta.
Although the country was in deep mourning, it did not take long before some people like blogger, Robert Alai, noticed that China was not on the list.
He tweeted: "China missing from President Uhuru's mentions. But #isorait (it's alright). #WestgateAttack."
This touched off a big discussion on Twitter. This should serve as a lesson for the leadership to know who the true friends of Kenya are. As they say, a friend in need is a friend in deed.
Moving forward, though, I do not see a change in policy by the Kenyan government especially with China willing to give Mr Kenyatta and Mr Ruto a shoulder to lean on over their ICC cases.
Conclusions
#Westgate http://www.twitpic.com/deneco essentially places President @UKenyatta and Kenya at the Frontline of the Global War on Terror and this will mark a Trend Change in US, UK and Europe's relations with the Kenyatta Government. Aly-Khan Satchu Nairobi
19-AUG-2013 ::@UKenyatta rebalances towards China http://www.rich.co.ke/media/docs/036NSX1908.pdf
Professor Felipe Fernández-Armesto explains why 'The precocity of the Indian Ocean as a zone of long-range navigation and cultural exchange is one of the glaring facts of history', made possible by the 'reversible escalator' of the monsoon.'
I have no doubt that the Indian Ocean is set to regain its glory days. China's dependence on imported crude oil is increasing and the US' interestingly is decreasing. I am also certain the Eastern Seaboard of Africa from Mozambique through Somalia is the last Great Energy Prize in the c21st. [President Kenyatta probably posed the question to Vladimir Putin, whether Russia felt it had a role to play in this Energy Great Game in East Africa]. Therefore, the control of the Indian Ocean becomes kind of decisive and with control China can be shut down quite quickly. A Sine qua non of President Barack Obama's pivot to Asia is US/NATO Power Projection over the Indian Ocean.
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Unilever plans new manufacturing plant in Kenya Kenyan Economy |
Anglo-Dutch consumer goods firmUnilever said on Thursday it plans to invest 150 million euros ($203.9 million) in a new manufacturing plant in Kenya that will help it access the east African market. Unilever's Global Chief Executive, Paul Polman, said the firm's planned investment will cater for the company's expanding interests in the region, including in Ethiopia and Tanzania. Polman met Kenya's President Uhuru Kenyatta at State House Nairobi, as part of a visit to review his company's interests in the country and consult government and business leaders.
He said his company has identified Kenya as one of the three strategic hubs in Africa, alongside Nigeria and South Africa.
Unilever also plans to expand its existing factories in the lush hill-top farmlands of Kericho to increase the amount of teas processed to 50,000 tonnes per year from 30,000 tonnes.
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"Under the terms of the shareholders' agreement signed with the GOK at the time of the acquisition, Essar Energy has the right, under certain conditions, to exercise a 'put option' that offers the government a chance to buy Essar Energy's 50 per cent Kenyan Economy |
Kenya's ARM Cement sees profit up 35 pct this year due regional growth Reuters http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/10/03/kenya-arm-idUSL6N0HT1TL20131003
NAIROBI, Oct 3 (Reuters) - Second biggest Kenyan cement firm ARM Cement expects earnings to grow at a slightly faster rate this year after a new plant in Tanzania has pushed up capacity, its chief executive said on Thursday.
East African cement consumption is growing thanks to vibrant economies, drawing in foreign firms like Nigeria's Dangote Cement, which plans a $400 million plant in Kenya.
The market remains competitive, even if governments are looking to spend on projects like roads, ports and airports.
"This year we are looking at increasing our top line and bottom line by 35 percent over last year and next year we expect a similar growth," Pradeep Paunrana told Reuters in his office, referring to his expectations for profitability and sales.
ARM posted a 31 percent jump in pretax profit in 2012 to 1.76 billion shillings ($20.29 million).
Demand for cement in east Africa is expected to rise due to the large infrastructure projects planned by governments.
ARM's new cement grinding plant in Tanzania's commercial capital of Dar es Salaam, commissioned a year ago, had added 750,000 tonnes of production capacity to the existing 1 million tonnes in Kenya, Paunrana said. Another plant in Tanga, which will be able to make 1.2 million tonnes a year of clinker, used in cement making, was nearing completion and it will start production early next year.
"The economy and the construction sector was at a standstill for 25 years in Tanzania. When it opened up about 10-12 years ago, cement consumption rate was growing at a faster rate than even Kenya," Paunrana said, alluding to long socialist rule.
Tanzania, whose annual consumption stands at 3.2 million tonnes compared with Kenya's 4.7 million tonnes, was growing at a rate of 14 percent per year, he said.
ARM, one of the top 12 largest firms by market value on the Nairobi bourse, spent close to $200 million on the Tanzanian investments, raised through a mix of debt and equity.
ARM will turn its sights on Rwanda, where it hopes $15-20 million in planned investments will help double its share to about a third of the 450,000 tonnes a year market, he said.
The investment in the Great Lakes region will be part of a $250-300 million investment over three years that will include a new cement and clinker plant in Kitui in eastern Kenya.
"We have a lot of support and we will be making some kind of announcement very shortly on fund raising," he said.
Despite his optimism, Paunrana warned foreign firms eyeing a bonanza that they faced a competitive market, with falling margins, forcing firms to control costs aggressively.
"If we were building our plants at $400-500 million a throw, then it would be impossible to compete in this market," he said.
"Everybody in the cement business and the construction sector is looking at the same set of economic data and the prospects so it is a very competitive area."
A tonne of cement costs $280-$350 in Nigeria, leaving firms with a margin of $90. In Kenya it costs as little as $110, leaving firms with a margin of less than $25, he said.
"The biggest challenge to the growth of the cement industry in east Africa remains power," he said, blaming low supply and ageing grids for frequent blackouts that disrupt production.
Athi River Cement share price data here +62.946% 2013 http://www.rich.co.ke/rcdata/company.php?i=MjY%3D
Par Value: 5/- Closing Price: 73.00 Total Shares Issued: 495300000.00 Market Capitalization: 36,156,900,000 EPS: 2.51 PE: 29.084
A mineral extraction and processing company which manufactures lime, cement and other industrial fertilizers.
H1 Turnover 6.499126b versus 5.073987b +28% H1 PBT 1.015317b versus 0.790962b +28% H1 PAT 0.702825b versus 0.550183b +28% Annualised EPS 2.83 versus 2.23 Group generated 2b of Cashflow H1
Conclusions
Execution has been flawless ever since I started following this Share.
Kenya Shilling versus The Dollar Live ForexPros 86.401 http://j.mp/5jDOot
Nairobi All Share Bloomberg 36.2007% in 2013 2013 http://www.BLOOMBERG.COM/quote/NSEASI:IND
The Nairobi All Share retreated 0.36% during the 2 sessions immediately after the Westgate Attack. Subsequently the All Share has rallied +4.0173% since the 24th of September in an extraordinary and even counterintuitive Bull Move to a 5+ Year high.
Nairobi ^NSE20 Bloomberg +17.057% in 2013 http://j.mp/ajuMHJ
Every Listed Share can be interrogated here http://www.rich.co.ke/rcdata/nsestocks.php
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Muslim cleric gunned down in KenyaBy GALGALO BOCHA Kenyan Economy |
Sheikh Ibrahim Rogo, the successor to a controversial Muslim cleric killed last year, was Thursday night together with three others gunned down by unknown assailants in the Kenyan coastal city of Mombasa.
Mr Rogo was heading home from a mosque where he had been preaching when their vehicle was sprayed with bullets, killing four of its five occupants.
He succeeded the fiery Sheikh Aboud Rogo, who was killed in similar circumstances in August last year, leading to days of deadly riots in Mombasa. Aboud had been linked to Somali extremist group Al-Shabaab, which saw him placed on a UN sanctions list.
The killing of Sheikh Ibrahim Rogo took place less than a kilometre from the Bamburi police station.
The others in the vehicle were identified as Gadaffi Mohammed, a carpenter, Issa Abdalla, his brother in law and the driver, and a Mr Omar Abu Rumeisa.
One passenger, Salim Aboud, survived the attack by playing dead.
Salim Aboud said they were heading home in their Toyota van when people on foot started shooting at their car until it veered off the road.
"We have finished them," Mr Salim Aboud heard them say as he pretended to be dead. The assailants are said to have sped-off in a saloon car.
Muslim leaders including controversial Sheikh Abubakar Sheriff alias Makaburi who arrived at the scene later pointed an accusing finger at the Anti Terrorism Police Unit (ATPU).
"The ATPU were here, why have they run way? What are we going to do next and why are they killing us? We have not killed any one but the police are killing innocent Muslims," said Mr Makaburi.
"This actions are being led by Americans and Israelis, Sheikh Ibrahim was not at Westgate during the attack. Western governments do not want Muslims to talk about Jihad. It is part and parcel of Islam, kill us all," he said.
An attack by Al-Shabaab militants on the popular Nairobi shopping centre of Westgate led to a four-day dramatic siege that led to the deaths of at least 67 people.
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Kenyan police officers at the scene where four people including a Muslim cleric were gunned down on along the coastal Mombasa-Malindi highway on October 4, 2013. Kenyan Economy |
03-SEP-2012 :: Coast problems are deeper than Riots http://www.rich.co.ke/media/docs/036NSX0309(1).pdf
The week before last, we had driven through Tsavo West, exited the park deep near the Tanzania border, driven to Diani and thoroughly enjoyed ourselves. In fact, the phrase 'halcyon days' [ A period of calm, often nostalgic: "halcyon days of yore", "halcyon days of youth"] best described that week. We saw elephants in the morning and in the evening we were walking barefoot on the beach. I met a fellow named Volcker who told me that If I came back in February, he would take me swimming with the whale sharks and I thought to myself, this is a blessed place and if we marketed it right, the whole world would want to come.
Then, last week, on the 27th of August, Aboud Rogo Mohammed was shot on the always busy Bamburi Road, not far from Pirates. This proved the spark that ignited a tinderbox and I watched events unfold with trepidation. We now exist in a 24/7 always on world and for a moment it looked like Mombasa was morphing into Waziristan and tsunami of travel advisories would be winging their way through the air.
Domenico Fanizza & Ragnar Gudmundsson @IMFNews #MindSpeak https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6FRwlD0BKuw
Ups and Downs are physiological in a Floating exchange rate says Domenico Fanizza @IMFNews #Kenya http://www.twitpic.com/dfrxhs
30-SEP-2013 :: Helping Kenya to Become an Emerging Market @IMFNews Ragnar Gudmundsson and Domenico Fanizza http://www.rich.co.ke/rcfrbs/docs/MindSpeakKenya.pdf
I thank My Guests Domenico Fanizza and Ragnar Gudmundsson@IMFNews #Mindspeak #Kenyatakeoff @interConNairobi http://www.twitpic.com/dfhbyl
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