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Thursday 10th of October 2013 |
Morning Africa |
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If you are tracking the NSE Do it via RICHLIVE and use Mozilla Firefox as your Browser. 0930-1500 KENYA TIME Normal Board - The Whole shebang Prompt Board Next day settlement Expert Board All you need re an Individual stock.
The Latest Daily PodCast can be found here on the Front Page of the site http://www.rich.co.ke
It was such Fun to go and watch Hannah's School Play at Kenton College this morning.
Fathers and Daughters http://www.twitpic.com/dgqklk |
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Rich Interviews in 2013 RICH TV Africa |
Charlie Robertson Renaissance Capital's Global Chief Economist. Prof.Njuguna Ndung'u Governor, Central Bank of Kenya Ayisi Makatiani-Managing Partner-Fanisi Capital One on One with EABL Group Managing Director and CEO; Charles Ireland One on one with chief financial officer @KenyaAirways- Alex Mbugua One on one with @Kenyaairways #KQ C.E.O Dr. Titus Naikuni interview with Safaricom C.E.O @BobCollymore Interview with @KCBGroup CEO Joshua Oigara
I thoroughly enjoyed the #ManTalk Session with @AdanMohamedCS The Cabinet Secretary for Industrialisation yesterday at Safaricom
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Currency Markets at a Glance WSJ World Currencies |
Euro 1.3510 Dollar Index 80.51 Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Index reached a two-week high as congressional leaders were said to be open to a short-term increase in the nation’s debt limit. Japan Yen 97.73 Swiss Franc 0.9104 Pound 1.5940 Aussie 0.9433 India Rupee 62.03 South Korea Won 1071.83 Brazil Real 2.2058 Egypt Pound 6.8864 Saudi/GCC signalling via the FX Markets is in fact a very interesting Signifier South Africa Rand 9.9585
Conclusions
The Markets are looking to run the dollar up some, believing everyone looked over the precipice and have taken a step back.
Dollar Index 3 Month Chart INO 80.47 [The dollar climbed against the yen and the euro in the longest run of gains in a month] http://quotes.ino.com/charting/index.html?s=NYBOT_DX&v=d3&t=c&a=50&w=1
House Republican and Senate Democratic leaders are open to a short-term increase in the debt limit, said congressional aides of both parties who spoke on condition of anonymity. The movement comes after House Democrats met with PresidentBarack Obama at the White House. A small group of House Republicans are scheduled to meet with the president today.
Minutes of the Federal Reserve’s Sept. 17-18 meeting showed yesterday that most policy makers said the central bank was likely to reduce the pace of its $85 billion in monthly bond purchases this year. The gathering took place before the political deadlock over the budget and debt limit.
Euro versus the Dollar 3 Month Chart 1.3510 http://quotes.ino.com/charting/index.html?s=FOREX_EURUSD&v=d3&t=c&a=50&w=1
Dollar Yen 3 Month Chart INO 97.73 http://quotes.ino.com/charting/index.html?s=FOREX_USDJPY&v=d3&t=c&a=50&w=1
“As soon as you start to see signs of an agreement being reached on the debt ceiling, I think you see dollar-yen fly back up to 99 pretty quickly,” said Thomas Averill http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-09/euro-is-near-one-month-high-versus-pound-before-production-data.html
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“Baraawe is the heart of the area controlled by Shabab, and it is the only remaining port they have where foreign fighters can get into Somalia by sea,” said a United Nations official NYT Africa |
Sudan and South Sudan Inch Toward War By Jérôme Tubiana http://www.foreignaffairs.com/features/letters-from/sudan-and-south-sudan-inch-toward-war
From dawn until dusk, they walked the red-earth path between territory controlled by the government of Sudan to that held by the rebels -- small groups of men in jalabiyas, women in colorful clothes, and children on donkeys or their fathers’ shoulders or in baskets on their mothers’ backs. They carried jerricans that were filled with water at the start but were now dry, goats too young to walk, utensils, and weapons -- from nineteenth-century swords to rocket-propelled grenade launchers, sometimes both on one shoulder. Among the civilians walked rebel soldiers who were there to protect against depredation by government militias. The travelers' villages in the Ingessana Hills were four days back down the road and surrounded by government forces. Occasionally, a rebel car would come to pick up stragglers and drive them to the next resting spot. But the very weakest -- the oldest, the blind, those too sick to recover -- were left behind. The survivors pressed on toward El Fuj, a crossing point at the border between their war-torn homeland, the Blue Nile state in Sudan, and the new nation of South Sudan. It was one or two days farther on.
Sudan’s civil war has often been called Africa’s longest conflict. Its first stage, between 1963 and 1972, pitted rebels from the southern part of Sudan against the central government, which was dominated by a northern Arabized elite. The North granted the South a degree of autonomy in 1972, but it was not enough to paper over years of resentment. The conflict resumed in 1983, with the creation of the Sudan People's Liberation Movement/Army (SPLM/A). Although the movement had “liberation” in its title, its leader, John Garang, a charismatic southerner, advocated “diversity in unity” rather than the South’s separation. Less appealing in the deeper south, this relatively modest agenda was popular within border regions on the northern side of the eventual Sudan–South Sudan border, including Blue Nile state and the Nuba Mountains of South Kordofan.
In 2005, after 20 years of a brutal war, Khartoum and the rebels signed a peace agreement that granted the South (but not Blue Nile or South Kordofan) the right to self-determination. By 2011, most southerners had lost faith in unity and voted for independence. North of the new 1,250-mile border between North and South Sudan, some of the South Kordofan and Blue Nile rebels, now calling themselves the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement-North (SPLM-N), vowed to fight on. In June 2011, just after losing local elections and with one month to go before South Sudan’s independence, they once again picked up their guns and war resumed, first in South Kordofan then in Blue Nile. Since then, nearly 200,000 Sudanese civilians have made their way across the border to refugee camps in South Sudan.
For many of them, the idea that they are even crossing a border is a foreign notion. The placement of the new border was supposed to be based on provincial boundaries that existed in 1956, the year of Sudan’s independence. But those boundaries had never stopped moving before or since -- sometimes for good reason, such as facilitating the movements of nomads or access to a watercourse. Suddenly transformed into a solid border, though, the 1956 line looks ratherarbitrary. Traveling along it, one mostly meets minorities afraid of being more marginalized than ever in what remains of Sudan and nomads scared of losing their grazing rights in South Sudan. As a result, African Union mediators have insisted that the new line become a “soft border,” one that gives rights to people on both sides of the fence: freedom of movement, trade, residence, farming and grazing, or even the right to vote and of dual citizenship. That idea is appealing, but making it work will require much more from both Khartoum and Juba than the current chronic low-grade warfare.
One main reason for the deadlock over disputed parts of the border regions is that the governments in Khartoum and Juba are both fragile and wary of turning border people into rebels. An important site in their game is the so-called Mile 14, a territory that was the subject of thorny negotiations in 2012.
In the dry season, Mile 14, which spans 14 miles from north to south and 125 miles east to west, is a mostly empty plain inhabited by sedentary Dinka cattle herders but also grazed by Arab nomads from the North. I drove across the yellow grass until I reached the river the Arabs call Bahr al-Arab, the “river of the Arabs,” and that the Dinka call Kiir. The snaking waterway, edged with lush greenery, is the northernmost permanent watercourse west of the Nile. The steel hulk of a bridge linking both banks still served as a crossing point for northern traders and nomads in spite of the three southern tanks pointing their guns northward. The tanks are an artifact of South Sudan’s late 2010 strategy of arming that disputed part of the border.
When the Rizeigat Arabs, who live in the North, asked Khartoum to respond to what they saw as an invasion of their homeland by southern tanks, they were told to send their camels and armed herdsmen. The command might sound dismissive, but its message was clear: Get ready to “make a war,” as one Arab leader told me. Since then, tensions have intensified, with Rizeigat militias sometimes fighting against forces from South Sudan. The multiplication of cross-border incidents prompted another round of peacemaking between Juba and Khartoum, which, in September 2012, agreed to demilitarize the borderlands, including the whole of Mile 14. After months of dragging its feet, the southern army began to evacuate the disputed zone in March 2013. According to the United Nations, the troops soon came back.
Both sides know that the area will never be demilitarized. Repeated commitments by Juba to stop harboring northern rebels are unlikely to satisfy Khartoum or end rebellions in Sudan. With South Sudanese authorities not fully willing or able to prevent SPLM-N and allied Darfur factions from going back and forth across the new border, Sudanese rebels are at home in the borderlands. They claim to control 40 percent of the invisible line.
Another reason both Khartoum and Juba hesitate to make too many concessions on the border is that both are rightly worried about turning disgruntled people from the borderlands into rebels. As much as the Dinka from the border areas were the vanguard of the SPLM/A during the civil war, Arab tribes such as the Rizeigat formed the bulk of the paramilitary forces used by Khartoum to fight the rebels in South Sudan and later in Darfur. Increasingly feeling they were both manipulated and not adequately rewarded, Arab fighters joined the SPLM/A (several hundred are reportedly still in South Sudanese ranks). Some have now turned up among the northern rebel groups as well.
Even at the height of the conflict that led to the division of Sudan, peaceful exchanges between border communities never ceased. Throughout the war, Arab nomads such as the Misseriya secretly traded with the rebels in both the south and the north. Some of those suq-al-salam (“peace markets”) still survive today -- but barely.
It is impossible to build a durable peace between Sudan and South Sudan, and within both countries, through separate piecemeal fixes. By their own acknowledgement, international players, in particular African Union mediators, have focused on the relations between Sudan and South Sudan. After having tried everything possible to prevent or solve new conflicts between the two countries, they increasingly realize that peace will remain fragile as long as both governments remain undermined by internal divisions and conflicts with rebels. Both states should work to re-establish trust with their citizens, in particular in the borderlands. Border communities are aware that they matter; their lands are among the most populated, and their livestock, water, oil, and cross-border trade make them some of the wealthiest people in either country. Nevertheless, they feel abandoned by their governments. In Sudan in particular, an inclusive national dialogue could lead to their empowerment. Recent unrest in Khartoum itself makes this solution more and more popular among Sudanese from all sides and among international players.
Back in war-torn Blue Nile, at the triple border of Sudan, South Sudan, and Ethiopia, a local tribal chief, Uweisa Madi Zima, told me, “We’re not educated people and don’t understand much about politics. But the government that will treat us well will be our father, be it South or North Sudan.” Conclusions
The Sudan has become the Epicentre of a Proxy War with the US standing behind South Sudan and China foursquare behind Khartoum.
A boy pushes his bicycle in front of a building destroyed in 2011 in the Abyei region, September 14, 2013. (Andreea Campeanu / Courtesy Reuters) http://www.foreignaffairs.com/features/letters-from/sudan-and-south-sudan-inch-toward-war
Angola Bulldozers Give Slum Dwellers New Life Amid Oil Boom Bloomberg http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-08/angolan-bulldozers-drive-slum-dwellers-to-new-life-amid-oil-boom.html
Francisco Antonio, a 55-year-old bricklayer, smiled while his children removed furniture ahead of government bulldozers preparing to smash his concrete house.
“Crime is a big issue here,” said Antonio, a self-employed father of six who’s lived for 25 years in Sambizanga, a hillside settlement near the port that’s one of the poorest parts of Luanda, the capital. “Some people may not agree, but what the government is doing is good.”
The Angolan government has accelerated the razing of slums since the removals began in 2001, after rural people sought refuge during a 27-year civil war. It’s moving residents to the Zango development zone, constructed by Brazil’s Odebrecht SA about 40 kilometers (25 miles) inland.
By doing so it’s also helping meet demand for prime real estate as the middle class in Africa’s second-largest crude oil producer expands. Mercer ranks the city as the world’s most expensive for expatriates.
Luanda, which had a population of 500,000 before Angola’s independence from Portugal in 1975, is jammed with more than 6 million residents. It’s Africa’s fifth-largest city after Cairo, Lagos, Kinshasa and Johannesburg; more than two-thirds of residents live in shantytowns known as musseques, according to Luanda-based Development Workshop, an aid group formed in 1981. Office space in central Luanda is selling at about $1,000 per square meter (10.76 square feet) for undeveloped land and between $7,500 and $10,000 for space in buildings even after an eight-year construction boom and the global economic slowdown, according to Daniel Esteves, a real estate agent at Luanda-based Empreendimentos e Mediavso Imobilisria Lda. Banks including Standard Bank Group Ltd. have established offices in the city.
The government is giving the slum residents the choice of a house elsewhere or cash, the equivalent of $150 per square meter of their current accommodation, according to residents including Anitemia Fernandes, an unemployed 24-year-old who moved to a two-bedroom house in Zango from one half the size in Sambizanga. Her new one-story concrete home, which is painted purple, has indoor plumbing and a small yard. Each block has its own color.
The government shipped belongings and bussed in residents in a “process handled very well,” unlike the past when people were treated like “cattle in trucks,” Fernandes said.
Infrastructure to house more than 2 million people is under construction in a 54-square-kilometer (21-square-mile) area of the city including the neighborhoods of Cazenga, Rangel and Sambizanga, Bento Soito, director of the government’s Technical Office for Urban Redevelopment, said in a May 23 interview with state news agency Angop. The process could take 15 to 20 years, he said. Soito declined to comment when called by Bloomberg.
The state has yet to fully meet a 2008 promise to build one million houses by 2012 because of slow implementation and the world economic downturn, Allan Cain, executive director of Development Workshop, said. Despite government pressure, banks are reluctant to provide mortgages because the poor lack land titles and collateral, he said.
Slum clearances began in Boa Vista, after rainy season landslides killed residents. A road is only now being built in the empty space. Advocacy groups, such as New York-based Human Rights Watch, criticized removals, saying they were forced evictions without warning or adequate compensation. Residents ended up in tents at Zango before houses were built.
“If I had a choice I would rather remain here than go somewhere else,” said Joao Carlos, 45, ataxi driver who’s lived in Sambizanga since birth. “Sambizanga is close to the city, it’s close to everything. I can’t believe I’m leaving.”
The government also leveled the slums of Dimuca and Campismo to expand a railway yard and a brewery drainage system.
Angola’s $114 billion economy will probably expand 6.5 percent this year, according to the central bank, as companies such as Total SA (FP), Chevron Corp. (CVX) and BP Plc (BP/)pump about 1.8 million barrels a day of crude from offshore fields.
The government is attempting to diversify away from oil, which makes up 97 percent of exports and 80 percent of tax revenue. A dependence on oil worker expatriates contributes to prices such as the $6,500 a month to rent a two-bedroom apartment in Luanda, according to Mercer.
There’s been no census since 1970 and the World Bank estimates the population at 21 million. The elite steer Porsches and Range Rovers past slums like Sambizanga, which hold much of the 54 percent of the national population that the United Nations estimates live on less than $1.25 a day.
Residents were given no choice about the timing of their moves. Their chief concern on reaching Zango were children missing classes and consistent electricity.
“The government should have waited for the school year to end in November,” Nini Tavares, an unemployed 30-year-old, said in an interview at her new two-bedroom house. “My 6-year-old daughter can’t go to school,” she said.
Mara Baptista, Sambizanga district administrator, and Agostinho Silva, vice president of the Luanda administrative commission, were unavailable to comment after repeated visits to their offices and telephone calls over the past month.
Compensating slum residents with new accommodation is complicated because only 7 percent have formal property deeds and even the wealthy lack them after the war’s turmoil, according to Cain. Titles are granted by provinces, a long, expensive process only available in the few areas with approved plans, Cain said in an e-mailed response to questions.
“Most urban residents with weak or non-existent tenure rights benefit little from increasing land values,” Cain said. “They’re susceptible to being forcibly removed.”
Authorities should consider informal occupation documents granted by local chiefs, known as sobas, to ease the process, while removals are less painful than they used to be, he said.
Back in Sambizanga, a reporter plucked his BlackBerry from the dust after thieves tossed it away as they tried, unsuccessfully, to escape police near Antonio’s house overlooking dozens of ships and stacks of red, green and blue freight containers.
Antonio said he’s keen to move to a safer place with more space, plumbing and better sanitation. He said he expects to receive two small houses in Zango, just like his nephew got.
“The cleaning-up process is going smoothly,” he said. “I haven’t seen any discontent or demonstrations so far.”
Office space in central Luanda is selling at about $1,000 per square meter even after an eight-year construction boom http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-08/angolan-bulldozers-drive-slum-dwellers-to-new-life-amid-oil-boom.html
More than two-thirds of residents in Luanda live in shanty-towns called musseques, according to Development Workshop, an aid group formed in 1981. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-08/angolan-bulldozers-drive-slum-dwellers-to-new-life-amid-oil-boom.html
South Africa All Share Bloomberg +12.20% 2013 http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/JALSH:IND
Dollar versus Rand 6 Month Chart INO 9.9582 http://quotes.ino.com/charting/index.html?s=FOREX_USDZAR&v=d6&t=c&a=50&w=1
Egypt Pound versus The Dollar 3 Month Chart INO 6.883 [Friends with deep Pockets have established a Presence here] http://quotes.ino.com/charting/index.html?s=FOREX_USDEGP&v=d3&t=c&a=50&w=1
Egypt EGX30 Bloomberg +8.70% 2013 http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/CASE:IND
Nigeria All Share Bloomberg +36.76% 2013 http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/NGSEINDX:IND
Ghana Stock Exchange Composite Index Bloomberg +71.91% 2013 [Record Highs] http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/GGSECI:IND
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Extremist Group Gains Foothold Among Kenyans NYT Kenyan Economy |
Outside of Somalia itself, Kenya sends more fighters to the Shabab than does any other country, analysts say. Young Kenyan men have ridden buses to the border in large numbers for years, local Muslim leaders say, drawn by payments of up to $1,000 to cross into Somalia and fight for the group.
“The growing number of militants in Kenya,” said J. Peter Pham, director of the Africa Center at the Atlantic Councilin Washington, “is a serious concern — or ought to be — for both U.S. policy makers and their Kenyan counterparts.”
“A day after the killings,” said Abubaker Shariff Ahmed, a fundamentalist cleric in Mombasa, “a group of boys came to me and they said, ‘Sheik, find us a way to communicate with Al Shabab. We want to help, but we don’t have weapons.’ ”
Mr. Ahmed, a middle-aged man in a white cap and hennaed goatee, was one of three Kenyan supporters of the Shabab listed by the United States Treasury Department last year, accused of acting as a “recruiter and facilitator” for the group. In an interview on a rooftop here, Mr. Ahmed denied the charges, saying that when youth from the area ask him for help joining the Shabab he tells them not to go.
“Al Shabab has started investing more in building out its own network in Kenya,” said Katherine Zimmerman, senior analyst at the Critical Threats Project of the American Enterprise Institute. “There is an Al Shabab network that extends down through Kenya and into Tanzania.”
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TPS @SerenaHotels in Sh400m makeover Kenyan Economy |
The hospitality firm has over the last two years carried out refurbishments of its facilities across the region.
Refurbishments of two of the firm’s facilities, the Mara Serena Safari Lodge and the Sweetwaters Serena Camp in Nanyuki, have seen the company spend about Sh396.5 million ($4.5 million) over the last two years.
“The needs and expectations of our clients are dynamic ones. With this particular project the new public areas of the Mara Serena Safari Lodge have thus been under active construction for well over a year with the goal of maintaining the lodge as the best in its category in the Masai Mara game reserve, meeting all the needs and expectations of our clients,” said Prince Amyn Aga Khan.
The prince is the chairman of the executive committee of the Aga Khan Fund for Economic Development, which has a significant stake in the Serena Hotels.
Refurbishments at the Mara Serena have seen the construction of a gym and spa while accommodation at the Sweetwaters facility has been expanded. The company is also rehabilitating the Serengeti Serena and has completed the refurbishment of the Kigali Serena Hotel.
In the upcoming financial year, the company is also planning to refurbish its Dar es Salaam facility.
The first phase of a three-year extension plan to the Nairobi Serena Hotel, in which the company will construct an underground parking lot and renovate existing bedrooms, will commence in 2014.
“This is part of a five-year plan. As a company, we realised that the days when people went on Safari to see the big five are gone,” said Serena Hotels managing director Mr Mahmud Jan Mohamed.
Mr Jan Mohamed noted that the local tourism industry is in dire need of product diversification, especially with the challenges posed by security concerns in the region.
Criticism has been lodged against overdevelopment in certain segments of the industry, especially in the beach product, that has seen Kenyan tourism industry players compete on price rather than quality.
With fears that Kenya’s safari product may be similarly eroded, construction of new lodges in the Maasai Mara has been halted by the county government of Narok.
Speaking at the Mara Serena Safari Lodge Wednesday, Narok governor Mr Samuel Tunai said the county has banned the construction of new lodges and camps in the game reserve and is currently carrying out an audit of existing facilities.
“The mushrooming of so many camps and so many lodges in the Mara is a development challenge. We have made up our minds that there will be no more developments in the Mara,” said Mr Tunai.
Mr Jan Mohamed said the industry should diversify its tourism circuits into Western Kenya and the Tsavo as part of initiatives to ensure that the Safari product is not eroded.
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11-JUN-2012 :: TPS @SerenaHotels Kenyan Economy |
MY memories of the Serena start in Mombasa years back when the manag- ing director Mahmoud Jan Mohamed was the manager. I was then a teenager and remember losing my heart to a girl, who would beat me at table tennis, in a bikini. That table tennis Table is still there.
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Marshalls EA reports FY 2013 Earnings here Kenyan Economy |
Par Value: 5/- Closing Price: 12.00 Total Shares Issued: 14,393,106 Market Capitalization: 0 EPS: 0 PE: 0.000
Swot Analysis FY Through March 2013 versus FY Through march 2012 FY Revenue 230.463m versus 234.306m FY Cost of Sales [176.182m] versus [172.254m] Other Operating Income 15.216m versus 7.434m FY Administrative Expenses [138.191m] versus [102.982m] FY Loss Before Tax [110.029m] versus [165.527m]
Conclusions
Marshalls is essentially opaque.
Marshalls EA reports FY 2013 Loss of 110.029m versus FY 2013 Loss 165.527m http://www.rich.co.ke/media/docs/Marshalls%20(EA)%20Ltd%20-%20End%20of%20year%20results.pdf
Apache is poised to exit a deep-water block off Kenya after the US independent decided to abandon its exploration effort in the East African country http://www.upstreamonline.com/live/article1339844.ece
The company now intends to relinquish its 50% stake in Block L-08 – its sole Kenyan asset – after finding only non-commercial volumes of gas with its Mbawa-1 well last year.
Kenya Shilling versus The Dollar Live ForexPros 85.604 http://j.mp/5jDOot
Nairobi All Share Bloomberg +40.01% 2013 http://www.BLOOMBERG.COM/quote/NSEASI:IND
The Nairobi All Share snapped a winning Sequence where it had set 4 consecutive All Time Closing Highs and eased 0.583% to close at 132.82. The All Share had accelerated +7.1715% and with some Violence since Westgate and over 12 Sessions through this morning and was overdue a Correction. The All Share remains +40.01% in 2013.
Data released by the exchange for up to end of September shows the NSE equity turnover for the nine months to September 2013 stood at Sh115.4 billion, compared to Sh86.8 billion for the full year 2012 http://www.businessdailyafrica.com/NSE-turnover-hits--Sh115bn/-/539552/2025624/-/c78wg6z/-/index.html
“Foreign investors have raised their bets on Kenya since the stock market entered a bull market in May 2012. The bull market has been relentless,” said investment analyst and chief executive of Rich Management, Aly-Khan Satchu.
Foreign investor purchases up to September stand at Sh70.2 billion, double the buys up to September last year which stood at Sh35.1 billion and already outstripping the 2012 full year foreign buys of Sh54.3 billion.
In terms of foreign investor sales, the trend is similar, with the sales of up to September 2013 (Sh47.5 billion) more than doubling those of up to September 2012 (Sh21.8 billion), and also up on the 2012 full year sales of Sh32.6 billion.
Nairobi ^NSE20 Bloomberg +19.67% in 2013 http://j.mp/ajuMHJ
The Nairobi NSE20 is +19.67% in 2013 and the index is now within 84 points of its 2013 and Multi Year Closing High from earlier in the Year.
Every Listed Share can be interrogated here http://www.rich.co.ke/rcdata/nsestocks.php
Google Earth Saves Kenyan Elephants With Drones in Maasai Mara http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-09/google-earth-saves-kenyan-elephants-with-drones-in-maasai-mara.html
Standing in his flatbed truck, Marc Goss touches “take off” on his iPad 3 and a $300 AR Drone whirs into the air as his latest weapon to fight elephant poachers around Kenya’s Maasai Mara National Reserve.
“It’s an arms race,” said Goss, whose green khaki clothing shields him from thorny acacia branches in the 30,000 hectares (74,132 acres) of savanna he protects. “We’re seeing larger numbers of poachers.”
Besides the almost 2 foot-long drone, Goss and other conservationists are using night-vision goggles and Google Earth to halt the decline of Kenya’s wildlife, which helps attract $1 billion a year in tourism. With elephant ivory sold for as much as $1,000 a kilogram in Hong Kong, Kenya is facing its most serious threat from poaching in almost a quarter of a century, according to the United Nations.
At least 232 elephants have been killed in the year to Sept. 30, adding to 384 last year from a population of 40,000. Demand for illicit ivory from expanding economies such as China and Thailand has doubled since 2007, according to the UN Environment Programme.
Goss’s patch borders the Maasai Mara National Reserve, where semi-nomadic tribesmen, known as the Maasai, wearing checked-red robes herd their cows. On a warm morning he squints through the bush at a tusk-less elephant carcass surrounded by 10 of its grieving family members in the hills above the village of Aitong.
“It’s pretty grim,” Goss, a 28-year-old Kenyan who manages the Mara Elephant Project, said as he stood 50 meters (55 yards) from the carcass. “It’s an elephant without a face. It’ll be eaten by Hyenas now.”
“Drones are basically the future of conservation; a drone can do what 50 rangers can do,” said James Hardy, a fourth-generation Kenyan and manager of the Mara North Conservancy. “It’s going to reach a point where drones are on the forefront of poaching. At night time we could use it to pick up heat signatures of poachers, maybe a dead elephant if we’re quick enough.”
East Africa is a key battleground against the poaching of elephants, whose numbers in Africaare estimated between 419,000 and 650,000, according to the 178-nation Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora, better known as Cites.
Elephants in the Maasai Mara #Fairmont Safari Club #Video 641 days ago http://www.twitpic.com/84alg2
Elephants in the Maasai #Mara #Fairmont safari club http://www.twitpic.com/84a76s
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N.S.E Today |
The Nairobi All Share eased 0.557% and has retreated 1.137% over 2 sessions and since setting an All Time High on Tuesday. The All Share had rallied +7.1715% over 12 sessions through October 8th. I do not expect the Correction Phase to be anything other than shallow, orderly and mild. The Nairobi NSE20 firmed 0.99 points to close at 4947.00. Equity Turnover was 617.136m of which 57.967% was transacted in Safaricom. There were 22 Winners and 15 Losers today.
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N.S.E Equities - Agricultural |
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N.S.E Equities - Commercial & Services |
Safaricom eased a further 1% [making that a 4.225% Drawdown over 2 sessions and off an All Time Closing High of 9.40 on Tuesday this week] to close at 9.00 and traded 39.745m shares worth 357.736m and 57.967% of the Total Volume traded at the Exchange. Safaricom is +78.21% in 2013. The Bull Trend is very much in tact and The Chart Pattern has been a classic Bull Formation since January 2012; i.e higher Highs and higher Lows. We are currently in a long overdue Price Correction ahead of a move towards 10.00 and probably coincident with the Release of the H1 Earnings.
TPS Serena rallied +2.11% to close at 48.50 and traded 3,900 shares. TPS Serena is deeply oversold at these Levels and Sell Side Volumes real scrappy. Whilst Kenya Tourism Revenues were -10% in H1 2013 versus H1 2012, Serena accelerated H1 2013 Profit After Tax +17.078%. TPS Serena is a geographically diversified Business and because it represents the only listed Tourism Proxy, it tends to react quite sharply to an event such as Westgate. I have a Fair Value Price of not less than 60.00.
LongHorn Kenya rallied 3.65% to close at 14.20. LongHorn Kenya announced a Publishing Deal with Malkiat Singh and Mr. Muli of Lonhorn was quoted as saying;
“Mergers and acquisitions is one of the main strategies but we currently do not have any firm in our sight. We want to first consolidate our enhanced business before making the decision to acquire any other firm.”
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N.S.E Equities - Finance & Investment |
Equity Bank closed unchanged at 36.25 and traded 1.907m shares worth 69.49m. Equity Bank is +52.63% in 2013 and has corrected 2.684% off a Record Closing High reached on Tuesday 8th October. Kenya Commercial Bank closed unchanged at 49.25 and traded 500,100 shares. Kenya Commercial Bank is +65.54% in 2013 and 0.5005% below a Record Closing High reached on Tuesday 8th October. Barclays Bank firmed +0.56% to close at 18.10 and traded 500,100 shares. There was Buy Side Demand at the Closing Bell for 345% more shares than were traded during the session and underpinning the Price. COOP Bank closed unchanged at 17.10 and traded 1.251m shares worth 21.426m.
Liberty Kenya Insurance rallied +3.0172% to close at 11.95 and traded 30,800 shares. Liberty Kenya trades on a 6.974 Trailing PE and accelerated H1 2013 PAT +50.051%. It was good to catch up with Mike Du Toit the Managing Director over a Coffee this morning.
Liberty Kenya share price data and H1 2013 Earnings http://www.rich.co.ke/rcdata/company.php?i=NTc%3D
Par Value: Closing Price: 11.95 Total Shares Issued: 273680000.00 Market Capitalization: 3,174,688,000 EPS: 1.72 PE: 6.744
H1 2013 Earnings through June 2013 versus June 2012 H1 PBT 481.540m versus 340.747m +41.3189% H1 PAT 378.276m versus 252.097m +50.051% H1 EPS 0.73 versus 0.49 +48.979%
BRITAM EA closed unchanged at 9.45 and traded 2.455m shares worth 23.295m. BRITAM has traded 7.42m shares over the last 2 sessions.
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N.S.E Equities - Industrial & Allied |
EABL eased 1.74% to close at 338.00 and traded 73,100 shares worth 24.716m. EABL had rallied +21.126% 1st September through 8th October and the correction will be mild and shallow ahead of a run towards 360.00.
Mumias Sugar firmed +1.35% to close at 3.75 and was trading at Session Highs of 3.85 +4.05% at the Closing Bell. Mumias Sugar traded 403,000 shares worth 1.527m. All the Negative News is baked into the Price.
KenolKobil rallied 3.75% to close at 8.30 and traded 133,100 shares. There was Buy Side Demand at the Finish Line for 1,730% more shares than were traded during the Session. Recent Heavy Volumes confirm a Buyer or Buyers has absorbed all and any Supply Overhang at 8.00. Total Kenya firmed a further 1.25% to close at 25.25 and traded 64,000 shares. Total Kenya has rallied +38.356% since the 1st of October.
Olympia Capital rallied +7.69% to close at 4.90 and traded 48,500 shares.
Express was high ticked +6.85% to close at 3.90 on 500 shares.
BOC Kenya was the biggest Loser at the Exchange today and retreated 8% to close at 115.00 on light trading of 600 shares.
GEMS
Home Afrika rallied by its Daily Limit to close at 8.25 +10.00% and traded heavy volume of 2.841m shares worth 23.438m. Home Afrika has rebounded +32% since October 1st but admittedly off a 2013 Low. The Heavy Volume seen on this Rebound is an important Price Discovery Signal.
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