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Tuesday 11th of October 2016 |
Morning, Africa |
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If you are tracking the NSE Do it via RICHLIVE and use Mozilla Firefox as your Browser. 0930-1500 KENYA TIME Normal Board - The Whole shebang Prompt Board Next day settlement Expert Board All you need re an Individual stock.
The Latest Daily PodCast can be found here on the Front Page of the site http://www.rich.co.ke |
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Paul Virilio Africa |
“The reconciliation of nothing and reality and the suspension of time and space by high velocities replace the exoticism of journeys with a vast expanse of emptiness.” ― Paul Virilio
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Ethiopia Losing Appeal for Foreign Investors as Attacks Spread Law & Politics |
Ethiopia’s attraction as a favorite new destination for foreign investors is fast dissipating as businesses owned by Nigerian billionaire Aliko Dangote and Dutch flower growers come under attack in growing political unrest.
The government declared a six-month state of emergency Sunday to deal with protests by ethnic Oromo and Amhara communities that began 11 months ago over dispossession of their land, political marginalization and state repression. The security forces have killed about 700 people during the demonstrations, according to the Association for Human Rights in Ethiopia. The government says the attacks are being orchestrated by “foreign elements.”
Last year, investors had been touting Ethiopia as a hot new investment destination, lauding the way the government has ramped up infrastructure spending and embraced foreign capital to propel economic growth at the fastest pace on the continent. That appeal is losing its luster as the protests present the biggest challenge to Ethiopia’s ruling coalition since it gained power by force a quarter of a century ago.
“The issues that need to be resolved are big, and investors will be wary as to whether the current government will be able to address them,” Jared Jeffrey, a political analyst at NKC Africa Economics, said by e-mail. “The longer it takes for the necessary reforms to be made the more fragile the state will become and the higher the risk to investors.”
Conclusions
This is an inflexion point and the Regime must be hoping for the Kapucinski moment. I just think Repression no longer looks like an optimal regime strategy.
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May 2015 ''The revolutionary contingent attains its ideal form not in the place of production, but in the street'' Law & Politics |
PAUL Virilio (born 1932) is a French cultural theorist and urbanist.
In his book ‘Speed and Politics’ he says: “The revolutionary contingent attains its ideal form not in the place of production, but in the street, where for a moment it stops being a cog in the technical machine and itself becomes a motor (machine of attack), becomes in other words a producer of speed.’’
As we look around the world today, we can see a battle for the ‘street’ from the streets of Bujumbura to the streets of Baltimore. In November last year, I wrote about Ouagadougou’s signal to sub-Saharan Africa and concluded that: We need to ask ourselves how many people can incumbent shoot stone cold dead in such a situation – 100, 1000, 10000?
This is another point: there is a threshold beyond which the incumbent cannot go. Where that threshold lies will be discov- ered in the throes of the event.
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The contrast between the strident US rhetoric against Russia and the studied indifference on the part of Ankara makes a hugely significant fault line in the Syrian war. Law & Politics |
The contrast between the strident US rhetoric against Russia – with US Secretary of State John Kerry threatening to try Russians for war crimes – and the studied indifference on the part of Ankara makes a hugely significant fault line in the Syrian war.
With Syrian forces having entered the eastern parts of Aleppo, the rebels are virtually trapped with all supply lines cut. Moscow has said it is open to the idea mooted by the UN to evacuate the rebels from Aleppo and end the fighting. If the plan takes off, Turkey has a key role to play on the ground. This is one thing.
Again, Russia has virtually imposed a ‘no-fly zone’ over Syria with its latest deployments of advanced missile defense systems. The Russian Defense Ministry openly warned on Thursday that foreign aircraft and missiles risk being shot down, since Russian personnel deployed in Syria cannot be endangered.
“That is why any missile or air strikes on the territory under control of the Syrian government will create an obvious threat for Russian military… The crews on duty will hardly have the time to calculate the missile’s flight path or try to find out their nationality,” Russian spokesman Gen. Igor Konashenko said in a hard-hitting remark.
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Merkel pledges support for Niger to fight human traffickers, militants Reuters Africa |
Merkel, under intense political pressure at home for allowing nearly a million migrants into Germany last year, was on the second leg of a three-country African tour that started in Mali and will finish in Ethiopia.
She admitted after meeting Niger's President Mahamadou Issoufou that her goal of stabilising African countries by creating better economic conditions, thereby tackling one of the root causes of migration, could only be reached in the long term.
"But this cannot be an excuse for not trying to achieve short-term success," Merkel told a news conference.
She said Germany would support Issoufou's government with 77 million euros ($86 million) to combat people-smuggling and illegal migration in the central Agadez region.
Germany would also help Niger's armed forces in their fight against militant Islamists by offering military vehicles and other equipment worth 10 million euros, she said.
Issoufou welcomed Merkel's pledge, but said more money from EU countries was needed to tackle the migration challenge. "We need massively more aid," he said.
The chancellor has described Africa, with its population of 1.2 billion people, as "the central problem" in the migration issue. Last month she said the EU needed to establish deals with North African countries along the lines of its agreement with Turkey to curb migrant flows across its territory to southeast Europe.
Merkel will travel on to Ethiopia on Tuesday, on the last leg of her first extended trip to Africa since 2011.
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The rand is on the verge of bucking a five-year losing trend. @Business Africa |
Instead of holding a trajectory that has seen it lose more than 50 percent of its value against the dollar since 2011, South Africa’s currency may be about to end a pattern of annual declines, according to Informa Global Markets, which analyzes technical trends.
With developed-market central bank policies pushing yields on $11.6 trillion worth of debt to below zero as of end-September, a wall of money from investors seeking returns is flooding emerging markets, helping the rand gain 13 percent against the dollar this year.
“The trendline is under attack,” said Kamran Sheikh, a London-based technical analyst at IGM. “We have not yet seen any significant rebound from the recent lows near the trendline. Basically, we are witnessing a correction of the entire 2011-2016 bull run” for the dollar against the rand, “so we have ample room for further downside.” The multi-year trendline drawn from the rand’s 2011 low was at 13.3315 by the end of last week.
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Nigeria's banking industry is experiencing a "full-blown financial crisis" as failed fiscal and monetary policies lead to a credit crunch, according to Arqaam Capital. Africa |
Unity Bank Plc and Skye Bank Plc are close to being insolvent, while lenders FBN Holdings Plc and Sterling Bank Plc “will need a dilutive capital hike,” Jaap Meijer and Tarek Sleiman, analysts at the Dubai-based investment bank and brokerage, said in an e-mailed note on Monday. Capital ratios are set to worsen because of currency depreciation and souring loans, they said. Calls to Unity weren’t immediately returned and Skye didn’t reply to questions.
“Our acid test reveals seven under-capitalized banks” with a deficit of as much as 1 trillion naira ($3.2 billion) in the financial system, Meijer and Sleiman said. A stress test identified FBN as the most under capitalized lender with Unity, Diamond Bank Plc, Skye, FCMB Group Plc, Sterling and Fidelity Bank Plc also showing deficits if they were to fully provide for non-performing loans, according to Arqaam.
Moody’s Investors Service said on Monday that Nigeria’s five biggest banks share common credit challenges related to the economic slowdown. Moody’s expects non-performing loans to increase to about 12 percent over the next 12 months. The ratio of non-performing loans to total credit rose to 11.7 percent at the end of June from 5.3 percent at the end of 2015, the Abuja-based Central Bank of Nigeria, which requires banks keep the measure below 5 percent, said in a report on its website.
The five largest lenders, which together hold 57 percent of the country’s banking assets, “are able to absorb all losses under our severe stress scenario,” Moody’s said. Guaranty Trust Bank Plc showed “the greatest resilience” and the other four banks were Zenith Bank Plc, Access Bank Plc, United Bank for Africa Plc and First Bank of Nigeria Ltd., the ratings company said.
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Bob Diamond's Misadventures in Africa Africa |
The ex-Barclays boss went looking for redemption. It hasn’t gone well. Just wait, he says: “This isn’t five-minute rice.”
Bob Diamond is shifting restlessly on the sofa, his Brioni jacket draped behind him. He’s in his corner office, high up in the Seagram Building, a modernist icon on Park Avenue in Manhattan. He faces one of Takashi Murakami’s smiley face flower motifs, which perfectly captures the former Barclays boss’s signature optimism. He’s needed plenty of that in recent years as he’s tried to build a banking empire across sub-Saharan Africa. That daunting experience can be summed up by another eye-catching work of art, which is hanging in the reception area: a Pamela Rosenkranz metallic emergency blanket.
During an interview that lasts more than an hour, Diamond acknowledges the challenges the company he founded, Atlas Mara, has faced amid Africa’s weakening economies. And he bemoans its share price, which has tumbled 68 percent since it went public in December 2013. No matter. His defense is a work of performance art. Frequently leaping to his feet—grabbing a golf club or a wad of bills from his wallet—he’s theatrically dismissive of past failings and resolute about a future that will prove him right. He insists he and Atlas Mara are just getting started: “This isn’t five-minute rice.”
John Vitalo, Atlas Mara’s CEO, says the company is looking to expand in Nigeria, enter Kenya, and eventually have operations in 12 to 15 African markets.
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How Imperial bosses operated ghost accounts @BD_Africa Africa |
Imperial Bank’s principal shareholder and chairman Alnashir Popat used ghost accounts to move depositor funds that were then used to pay his foreign currency loans, newly released information on insider dealings that led to the lender’s collapse shows.
FTI Consulting, the US firm that conducted a forensic audit on the bank, says Mr Popat and his co-directors were direct beneficiaries of the scandal that was unearthed upon the sudden death last year of former Imperial Bank managing director Abdulmalek Janmohamed.
Imperial Bank’s receiver manager, the Kenya Deposit Insurance Corporation (KDIC), says in fresh court filing that the directors allowed use of fictitious accounts to facilitate transactions on their behalf and thereafter benefited from the said accounts.
It accuses the directors of allowing “settlement of foreign currency liabilities owed by Alnashir Popat, the first defendant, by way of funds transfer from
accounts linked to the fraudulent activity”. It is not clear from the court papers how much money of the depositor funds were used to settle Mr Popat’s debts.
The directors are further accused of “allowing use of fictitious customer accounts to facilitate transactions on their behalf, and thereafter benefiting from the said accounts and transactions, which accounts were used to conceal fraudulent activity at the bank.”
This is the first time that Imperial Bank directors have been directly linked to the mega theft, which has all along been attributed to Mr Janmohamed.
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N.S.E Today |
The news that The Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan had been served with a warrant for Arrest roiled SA Asset prices with the Rand crashing up to 3.71% lower versus the Dollar. FinMin Gordhan presciently said the following at the Financial Times Africa 2016 conference last week. ''As long as I am in my position I have confidence of President Zuma says but it can end with 1 phone call'' He was kindly asked to switch off his Phone for the duration of the interview. The British Pound was last at 1.2271 versus the Dollar. The Nairobi All Share closed lower. The NSE20 Index retreated -17.02 points to close at 3241.92. Equity Turnover slowed from 1.01b previously to clock 636.963m.
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N.S.E Equities - Commercial & Services |
Kenyan pilots' union [KALPA] has called for an indefinite strike beginning Oct. 18 to protest what it described as poor management at Kenya Airways, the union's general secretary said on Tuesday.
"We have no confidence in the airline's recovery," said the circular from Capt. Paul Gichinga, the head of the Kenya Airline Pilots Association (KALPA).
"KALPA's members will from 5:00 a.m. (local time) Tuesday 18th of October down their tools until a comprehensive change of guard at Kenya Airways is effected."
Kenya Airways closed unchanged at a 3 month high of 4.20 with 120,700 shares changing hands. recent revelations have not slowed a recent price rebound.
Safaricom eased -1.23% to close at 20.00 and traded 9.580m shares worth 192.473m. Safaricom has been a Bull Outlier for 4 years now.
TPS Serena retreated -4.76% to close at 18.00 and traded 954,300 shares. A Significant shareholding has been changing hands at these levels of -28.00% Year To Date.
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N.S.E Equities - Finance & Investment |
KCB Group retreated -2.702% to close at 27.00 and traded 1.460m shares. KCB has spoken of seeking partnerships across the digital Fintech space.
"Today we announce the death of brick and mortar for transactions in banking," said Dr. James Mwangi at a press briefing.Equity Group
Equity Group firmed +1.68% to close at 30.25 on good volume action of 3.760m shares worth 113.868m.
Standard Chartered closed unchanged at 180.00 and traded 8,200 shares. StanChart has seriously outperformed its big Cap Peers and is positive through 2016.
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N.S.E Equities - Industrial & Allied |
EABL was the most actively traded share at the Securities Exchange today and firmed +0.35% to close at a 10 week high of 283.00 and traded 713,100 shares worth 202.287m. EABL is +5.677% in 2016 and considerably outperforming the benchmark Indices.
KenGen saw strong volume of 3.620m shares and tacked -0.72% lower to close at 6.85 but was trading at 7.00 +1.45% a 5 month high. This is a bullish chart formation which is being affirmed by significantly upscaled volume action of late. KPLC rallied +3.78% to close at 9.60 and traded 28,000 shares with very little showing on the supply side.
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