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If you are tracking the NSE Do it via RICHLIVE and use Mozilla Firefox as your Browser. 0930-1500 KENYA TIME Normal Board - The Whole shebang Prompt Board Next day settlement Expert Board All you need re an Individual stock.
The Latest Daily PodCast can be found here on the Front Page of the site http://www.rich.co.ke |
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Bitcoin Isn't Viable: Morgan Stanley Africa |
Morgan Stanley doesn't believe that cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC) will be a viable currency in the future, still seeing them more like investment vehicles than anything else.
The firm argues that Bitcoin is a "more inconvenient way to pay" for goods and services than using a debit or credit card.
"Most regulators and investors view cryptocurrencies more as assets than actual currencies. Their values are too volatile and too hard to actually use for payment for most to consider them currencies. Our conversations with some merchants indicate that, while cryptocurrencies might actually be attractive for them to operate their businesses, they find that the cryptocurrencies are far too volatile to be used," Morgan Stanley said.
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I find Wilson Airport like a magic portal to another world Africa |
I did not take the ‘ox-cart’ but an aeroplane from Wilson. The airport was once located on the outskirts of Nairobi but today it is in the city. It is very retro and has a style from a bygone era, which is to be treasured in this 21st Century of ours. I find Wilson Airport like a magic portal to another world.
The Samburu National Reserve is located on the banks of the Ewaso Ng'iro river in Kenya; on the other side of the river is the Buffalo Springs National Reserve in Northern Kenya. It is 165 km² in size and 350 kilometers from Nairobi and ranges in altitude from 800 to 1230m above sea level.[1] Geographically, it is located in Samburu County.
In the middle of the reserve, the Ewaso Ng'iro flows through doum palm groves and thick riverine forests and provides water without which the game in the reserve could not survive in the arid country.
The Samburu National Reserve was one of the two areas in which conservationists George Adamson and Joy Adamson raised Elsa the Lioness made famous in the best selling book and award winning movie Born Free.
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'A reckoning for our species': the philosopher prophet of the Anthropocene Africa |
few years ago, Björk began corresponding with a philosopher whose books she admired. “hi timothy,” her first message to him began. “i wanted to write this letter for a long time.” She was trying to give a name to her own singular genre, to label her work for posterity before the critics did. She asked him to help define the nature of her art – “not only to define it for me, but also for all my friends, and a generation actually.”
It turned out the philosopher, Timothy Morton, was a fan of Björk. Her music, he told her, had been “a very deep influence on my way of thinking and life in general”. The sense of eerie intimacy with other species, the fusion of moods in her songs and videos – tenderness and horror, weirdness and joy – “is the feeling of ecological awareness”, he said. Morton’s own work is about the implications of this strange awareness – the knowledge of our interdependence with other beings – which he believes undermines long-held assumptions about the separation between humanity and nature. For him, this is the defining characteristic of our times, and it is compelling us to change our “core ideas of what it means to exist, what Earth is, what society is”.
Morton’s peculiar conceptual vocabulary – “dark ecology”, “the strange stranger”, “the mesh” – has been picked up by writers in a cornucopia of fields, from literature and epistemology to legal theory and religion.
Part of what makes Morton popular are his attacks on settled ways of thinking. His most frequently cited book, Ecology Without Nature, says we need to scrap the whole concept of “nature”. He argues that a distinctive feature of our world is the presence of ginormous things he calls “hyperobjects” – such as global warming or the internet – that we tend to think of as abstract ideas because we can’t get our heads around them, but that are nevertheless as real as hammers. He believes all beings are interdependent, and speculates that everything in the universe has a kind of consciousness, from algae and boulders to knives and forks. He asserts that human beings are cyborgs of a kind, since we are made up of all sorts of non-human components; he likes to point out that the very stuff that supposedly makes us us – our DNA – contains a significant amount of genetic material from viruses. He says that we’re already ruled by a primitive artificial intelligence: industrial capitalism. At the same time, he believes that there are some “weird experiential chemicals” in consumerism that will help humanity prevent a full-blown ecological crisis.
Morton’s theories might sound bizarre, but they are in tune with the most earth-shaking idea to emerge in the 21st century: that we are entering a new phase in the history of the planet – a phase that Morton and many others now call the “Anthropocene”.
For the past 12,000 years, human beings lived in a geological epoch called the Holocene, known for its relatively stable, temperate climes. It was, you might say, the California of planetary history. But it is coming to an end. Recently, we have begun to alter the Earth so drastically that, according to many scientists, a new epoch is dawning. After the briefest of geological vacations, we seem to be entering a more volatile period.
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It's going to be cash for the province's Democratic Unionists all the way. Law & Politics |
The Catholics of Northern Ireland will have no say in this. They chose abstentionism and thus cut themselves out of the parliamentary debates. But who in Sinn Fein would ever vote for May’s Government? It’s going to be cash for the province’s Democratic Unionists all the way. The amount will not be stated, but who knows – we may even see the secret offer of a tunnel or a bridge between Ulster and Scotland.
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Currency Markets at a Glance WSJ World Currencies |
Euro 1.1144 The IMF says the euro area’s economic recovery “has gained momentum” Dollar Index 97.54 Japan Yen 1.1123 Japan's central bank maintains policy balance rate at -0.1% Swiss Franc 0.9753 Pound 1.2766 Aussie 0.7583 India Rupee 64.655 South Korea Won 1134.54 Brazil Real 3.2749 Egypt Pound 18.1425 South Africa Rand 12.8913
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Oil very close to this year's low (intraday) @DavidInglesTV 44.70 Last Commodities |
West Texas Intermediate for July delivery was at $44.43 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, down 3 cents, at 11:11 a.m. in Hong Kong. Total volume traded was about 30 percent below the 100-day average. The contract lost 27 cents to $44.46 on Thursday, the lowest since Nov. 14.
Brent for August settlement fell 1 cent to $46.93 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. Prices are down 2.6 percent this week. The global benchmark crude traded at a premium of $2.26 to August WTI.
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08-MAY-2017 :: a Crude Oil Price Target of $32.00 a Barrel. @TheStarKenya Commodities |
The OPEC “Go-Go” days of Sheikh Yamani, his prayer beads and delphic pronouncements belong to yesteryear. Mohammed Sanusi Barkindo, the current OPEC secretary-general, is a poor imitation of Yamani and is playing with a set of cards that is stacked against him. Reserves have been depleted from Abuja to Riyadh, from Luanda to Caracas and in all the oil producing capitals in the world. So many capitals are fiddling while sitting on a tinderbox and playing with matches. e deputy Crown Prince was quoted on Al-Arabiyya about Iran: “How can I communicate with them while they prepare for the arrival of al-Mahdi al-Montazar?”
We have experienced a precipitous downside move and, in my opinion, the exponential recent momentum is signalling there is further to go. My price target is $32.00 a barrel. Crude oil prices in extremis move exponentially. is move has all the ingredients for turning exponential. Some thought they found a floor Friday, but I expect them to be rudely awakened.
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Russia Stocks Are Trump Trade Gone Wrong as Sanctions Risk Grows Emerging Markets |
Russian stocks headed for their biggest slump in 17 months after the U.S. senate signaled it’s ready to expand sanctions against the Kremlin.
The country’s benchmark Micex Index dropped 3.3 percent by 3:13 p.m. in Moscow on Thursday, extending a decline since a record high reached in January to more than 20 percent. The Senate voted overwhelmingly to add the Russia measure to a bill sanctioning Iran amid a probe into the Kremlin’s meddling in last year’s presidential election. A 2.9 percent drop in Brent crude this week has also contributed to declines.
Russian local-currency debt also retreated, with the yield on five-year notes climbing four basis points to 7.86 percent. The cost of insuring Russian sovereign debt against default advanced four basis points to 162 basis points, the highest since April 21. The ruble weakened 0.2 percent to 57.56 versus the dollar.
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Analysis: Lungu does a Mugabe, as Zambia follows Zimbabwe's disastrous path Africa |
Recent events prove that Lungu is following Mugabe, and in chronological order. In 2015, Lungu stated that he was learning a lot from Mugabe. All evidence is that he has done so, and is now emulating Mugabe’s “how to be an autocrat”.
If he is successful in his attempts, Zambia will follow Zimbabwe in that same exact order, sliding down, from beacon to demon.
It will not take long either, and it is very, very bad news for everybody. As international human rights consultant Jeff Smith put it, these are dark and dangerous days for Zambia.
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Investors have become "battle-hardened" in their quest for yield, Union Bancaire Privee Ubp SA, with issuance from the continent reaching $12.7 billion in 2017, already a full-year record. Africa |
Such is the demand for African Eurobonds these days that not even army mutinies are scaring investors. That may not be the case for much longer.
Investors have become “battle-hardened” in their quest for yield, according to Union Bancaire Privee Ubp SA, with issuance from the continent reaching $12.7 billion in 2017, already a full-year record. Less than a month after soldiers rebelled in Ivory Coast, the West African nation attracted $10 billion of orders in a sale of $2 billion of securities on June 8, while Egypt and Senegal drew around $20 billion between them for deals in May.
For investors inured to the continent’s political risks, the boom may soon be over, according to Standard Bank Group Ltd., which recommends bondholders start reducing their overweight African exposure. The market may turn as the Federal Reserve raises rates, driving U.S. Treasury yields higher and reversing flows to risky assets.
“The bull market is living on borrowed time,” Dmitry Shishkin, an analyst at Standard Bank in London, said in a note to clients on June 12. “We probably still have a few weeks, if not a couple of months, during which U.S. Treasury weakness is likely to be limited. However, we think we should slowly start preparing for that eventuality.”
While African yields soared on U.S. President Donald Trump’s surprise election victory in November, they have since plummeted 140 basis to around the lowest since Aug. 2015, according to Standard Bank indexes. Still, the average rate of 6.25 percent for African government debt is almost 100 basis points more than what investors get for the riskiest emerging-market sovereign notes, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Egypt issued $7 billion of notes and Nigeria, struggling to get out of recession, sold $1.5 billion in its first offering of international securities since 2013. Nigerian lenders also made a comeback, with Zenith Bank Plc and United Bank for Africa Plc raising $1 billion between them. Kenya and Nigeria are among governments considering new deals, while the International Monetary Fund said last month that Tanzania would lower its borrowing costs if it issued.
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Miners Tumble as South Africa Escalates Black Ownership Rules Africa |
Companies including Anglo American Plc and Sibanye Gold Ltd. dropped after South Africa increased the minimum black ownership requirement for local mines and set a 12-month deadline for compliance with the new rules.
The Department of Mineral Resources will raise the requirement from the current 26 percent to ensure more proceeds from the country’s natural resources flow to the black majority, Mining Minister Mosebenzi Zwane said on Thursday in Pretoria, the capital. The new minimum applies regardless of whether they have previously sold shares or assets to black investors that later divested.
Sibanye dropped 7.4 percent at 12:58 p.m. in Johannesburg, while Kumba was 6.2 percent lower. Anglo American declined 6 percent in London.
“The new charter is significantly worse for the mining industry than the original draft,” Peter Leon, the Africa co-chair at Herbert Smith Freehills LLP, said by phone on Thursday. “It’s poorly considered and raises serious questions about the government’s commitment to the protection of property rights.”
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Tanzania's Acacia Spat Shows Deepening Battle With Business Africa |
Tanzanian President John Magufuli’s escalating battles with business risk alienating the very investors he needs to drive his multi-billion dollar industrialization policy.
On Monday, the 57-year-old leader ratcheted up his dispute with miners by accusing Acacia Mining Plc of operating illegally in Tanzania and insisting the government is owed billions of shillings of unpaid taxes. It’s the latest in a series of broadsides against private investors who are being unnerved by his administration’s stance and its lack of consultation on policy. Shares in Acacia, which denies any wrongdoing, slumped as much as 16 percent.
“It’s negative that you have these uncertainties playing out in the market, especially at a time when you’re relying on growth and infrastructure development to be supported by private sector activity,” said Lisa Brown, a risk analyst at Rand Merchant Bank in South Africa.
“Regulatory uncertainty and higher operating costs will test the viability of future projects in a range of sectors, likely leading foreign investors to reconsider future investment, which will weigh on the country’s long-term growth prospects,” it said in a research note.
Government revenue collection in the past financial year suggests a slowdown in private sector activity and increased stress, according to RMB’s Brown. Confusion over structural adjustment of the economy and lack of clear communication from the government has resulted in slower decision making, especially on new and expansionary investment, she said.
Magufuli said after receiving the mining audit on Monday that he’s fighting an economic war and while he welcomed investment to Tanzania, companies should share their profit with the country.
“We want investors,” he said. “But you can’t have investment that is exploitation.”
The latest dispute with Acacia represents an “unprecedented escalation” by the government toward the mining industry, said Ahmed Salim, an analyst with Dubai-based Teneo Strategy.
That’s left investors worried about where Magufuli might turn his attention next, according to RMB’s Brown.
“No one knows whether he’s going to move onto other sectors and what it means for future investment,” she said.
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'Devil weeds' threaten wildebeest migrations in Serengeti New Scientist Africa |
WITH names like “devil’s weed” and “famine weed”, perhaps it’s little wonder that these invasive plant species threaten to disrupt one of the great wonders of the natural world: the annual migration of 2 million animals across the savannahs of eastern Africa.
That’s the grim message from a survey of the spread of invasive plants in the Serengeti-Mara ecosystem, focusing on six species that pose the most serious threat to the migrating animals.
Initially planted for decoration at tourist lodges in Kenya’s Masai Mara National Reserve, the invasive plant species have spread into savannah grasslands, displacing natural vegetation (Koedoe, DOI: 10.4102/koedoe.v59i1.1426).
This is bad news for the migrating beasts that depend on native plants for food. “Rampant invasions in the Serengeti-Mara ecosystem will certainly reduce forage production, leading to drastic declines in the populations of wildebeest, zebras and other large grazing mammals,” says Arne Witt of CABI Africa in Nairobi, Kenya. “These invasive plants are toxic or unpalatable, meaning there’s less forage available for wildlife to feed on.”
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De Beers finds some of its most valuable diamonds on the Atlantic Ocean seabed off the coast of Namibia, and it's betting there are a lot more to be discovered. Africa |
The world’s biggest diamond producer has spent $157 million on a state-of-the-art exploration vessel that will scour 6,000 square kilometers (2,300 square miles) of ocean floor for gems, an area about 65 percent bigger than Long Island. The Anglo American Plc unit mines in the area in a 50-50 joint venture with the Namibian government.
The vessel will scan and sample the seabed to identify the most profitable areas for De Beers’s ships, which suck up diamonds before they’re flown by helicopter to the shore. The strategy will help the company maintain annual production of at least 1.2 million carats for the next 20 years, Chief Executive Officer Bruce Cleaver said in an interview.
Those stones are “very important to our global mix and to our customers who are looking for higher-value diamonds,” Cleaver said.
Namibia’s diamonds, which have been washed down the Orange River from South Africa over millions of years and deposited in the ocean, are key to De Beers because of their high quality. While not the biggest, the gems have few flaws after being broken from larger stones on their way to the sea bed. Only the strong and good quality ones survive, Cleaver said.
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Parliament has approved a Sh77.3 billion ($750 million) loan guarantee for Kenya Airways Kenyan Economy |
“Pursuant to the provisions of Article 213 of the Constitution, and sections 50 and 58 of the Public Finance Management Act (CAP 412C), this House notes Sessional Paper No. 3 of 2017 on government guarantee in support of restructuring of Kenya Airways, and approves the Government of Kenya guarantee of $ 750 million, to the US Exim Bank and 11 local banks, for the restructuring of Kenya Airways PLC,” Aden Duale, Leader of Majority, said in the Motion.
Conclusions
The Stumble lower in Kenya Airways shares was triggered by a Genghis Capital report which spoke of the Local Banks ending up with about 33% of the Equity and an exponential dilution of existing shareholders. I is egregious and inconceivable that Banks who lent to Kenya Airways with their eyes wide open and at commensurate interest rates should end up with the Lion's share of the equity in the NEWCO. It is also a perfect example of self-harm to dilute long suffering shareholders by such a crazy amount and speaks to the fact that minority shareholders [79,000] had no representation at the negotiations whilst the Banks were surely well represented. The Banks now have a GOK guarantee and that should be it. The GOK has to revisit the ratio structure. Kenya Airways which had stumbled -30.93% in June through this morning rebounded by the daily maximum of +9.38% to close at 5.25 with 384,700 shares traded and unserviced Buy Side Demand of just shy of 2m shares. The raison d'être for this rebound was Investors began to factor in that the current proposal will not fly.
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Greed and lies in battle for electoral body's ballot tender Kenyan Economy |
A vicious tender war over the printing of ballots for this year's General Election is afoot, sucking in wheeler-dealers, politicians, members of the First Family and, most recently, opposition leader Raila Odinga.
Jubilee on Thursday denied an allegation that President Uhuru Kenyatta and members of his family were involved in the procurement of ballots.
It also increasingly became clear, from the revelations made by their political rivals, that the National Super Alliance does not have clean hands in the affair.
It was claimed they are fronting Paarl Media of South Africa who are alleged to have met Mr Odinga on various occasions.
The two printing companies having been clashing for printing contracts around Africa. In some places such as Uganda, the two companies actually shared the job.
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