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Satchu's Rich Wrap-Up
Friday 17th of July 2020

Ecclesiastes 1:2-11 2 11 There is no remembrance of former things,[c] nor will there be any remembrance of later things[d] yet to be among those who come after.

Vanity[a] of vanities, says the Preacher,

vanity of vanities! All is vanity.

3 What does man gain by all the toil

at which he toils under the sun?

4 A generation goes, and a generation comes,

but the earth remains forever.

5 The sun rises, and the sun goes down,

and hastens[b] to the place where it rises.

6 The wind blows to the south

and goes around to the north;

around and around goes the wind,

and on its circuits the wind returns.

7 All streams run to the sea,

but the sea is not full;

to the place where the streams flow,

there they flow again.

8 All things are full of weariness;

a man cannot utter it;

the eye is not satisfied with seeing,

nor the ear filled with hearing.

9 What has been is what will be,

and what has been done is what will be done,

and there is nothing new under the sun.

10 Is there a thing of which it is said,

“See, this is new”?

It has been already

in the ages before us.

11 There is no remembrance of former things,[c]

nor will there be any remembrance

of later things[d] yet to be

among those who come after.

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06-APR-2020 :: The Way we live now
World Of Finance

It certainly is a new c21st that we find ourselves in. There is a luminous and Fairy Tale feel to life in quarantine and as you know most fairy tales have an oftentimes dark and dangerous and unspoken undercurrent. I sit in my study and its as if my hearing is sharpened. I hear the Breeze, birdsong, Nature in its many forms and the urban background noise which was once the constant accompaniment to daily life has entirely retreated. The Nights are dark, the stars are bright and the neighbiours long gone.

There is a Passage in V.S Naipaul's A Bend in the River

“Going home at night! It wasn't often that I was on the river at night. I never liked it. I never felt in control. In the darkness of river and forest you could be sure only of what you could see — and even on a moonlight night you couldn't see much. When you made a noise — dipped a paddle in the water — you heard yourself as though you were another person. The river and the forest were like presences, and much more powerful than you. You felt unprotected, an intruder ... You felt the land taking you back to something that was familiar, something you had known at some time but had forgotten or ignored, but which was always there.You felt the land taking you back to what was there a hundred years ago, to what had been there always.” ― V.S. Naipaul, A Bend in the River

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Israel keeps blowing up military targets in Iran, hoping to force a confrontation before Trump could be voted out in November, sources say
Law & Politics

Israel is involved in an extended campaign to pressure or damage Iran before President Donald Trump could be voted out in the November election, a former Israeli defense official and a current EU intelligence official have told Insider.

Israeli intelligence has been responsible for a series of bombings and fires at Iranian military facilities in recent weeks, including an explosion that destroyed much of a major nuclear centrifuge installation.

Iran has seen weekly incidents including explosions at a missile-production facility on June 22; the Natanz nuclear facility, Iran's largest uranium-enrichment facility , on July 2; and an important shipyard in the port city of Bushehr on Wednesday.

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The Escalation of 'Shadow War'
Law & Politics

“This is an aggressive show of force and an outright provocation that could trigger another Middle East war.”

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02-JUN-2020 :: Fast Forward
World Of Finance

However, what I am noticing is a metastatic expansion of this Protest

I would argue that Civil unrest levels are now globally at unprecedented levels that COVID19 was a circuit breaker and that ‘’Risk’’ is now blinking amber and that there remains a remarkable complacency around this risk which Paul Virilio described thus

“The revolutionary contingent attains its ideal form not in the place of production, but in the street, where for a moment it stops being a cog in the technical machine and itself becomes a motor (machine of attack), in other words, a producer of speed.’’

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BREAKING: Gvt accuses "Russian actors" of interference in election. @LOS_Fisher
Law & Politics

"The govt has concluded that it is almost certain that Russian actors sought to interfere in the 2019 General Election through the online amplification of illicitly acquired and leaked Government documents."

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NEW: Russian Foreign Ministry hits back at UK govt on claims of interference in 2019 election. @PaulBrandITV
Law & Politics

“The statement is so foggy and contradictory that it is almost impossible to understand it. If it’s inappropriate to say something then don't say it. If you say it, produce the facts”

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22-JUN-2020 :: I thought to myself This all has the Imprimatur of the "political technologist of all of Rus." And non linear War Specialist Vladislav Surkov.
Law & Politics

Putin's system was also ripe for export, Mr Surkov added. Foreign governments were already paying close attention, since the Russian "political algorithm" had long predicted the volatility now seen in western democracies.

With a flourish he sponsored lavish arts festivals for the most provocative modern artists in Moscow, then supported Orthodox fundamentalists, dressed all in black and carrying crosses, who in turn attacked the modern-art exhibitions. @TheAtlantic

"It was the first non-linear war," writes Surkov in a new short story, "Without Sky," published under his pseudonym and set in a dystopian future after the "fifth world war":

"My portfolio at the @KremlinRussia_E and in government has included ideology, media, political parties, religion, modernization, innovation, foreign relations, and ..." - here he pauses and smiles - "modern art."

A ceaseless shape-shifting that is unstoppable because it is undefinable Adam Curtis

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In the reference scenario, the global population was projected to peak in 2064 at 9·73 billion (8·84–10·9) people and decline to 8·79 billion (6·83–11·8) in 2100. @TheLancet

The reference projections for the five largest countries in 2100 were India (1·09 billion [0·72–1·71], Nigeria (791 million [594–1056]), China (732 million [456–1499]), the USA (336 million [248–456]), and Pakistan (248 million [151–427]).

 Findings also suggest a shifting age structure in many parts of the world, with 2·37 billion (1·91–2·87) individuals older than 65 years and 1·70 billion (1·11–2·81) individuals younger than 20 years, forecasted globally in 2100.

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@realDonaldTrump throws Hong Kong under the bus @asiatimesonline @WilliamPesek
Law & Politics

On Tuesday, US President Donald Trump said he will end Washington’s special trade status with Hong Kong. 

What he really communicated, though, is that Asia is now in the most dangerous phase of his off-the-rails presidency.

Trump, after all, was AWOL in 2019 when China tried to impose an extradition bill on Hong Kong. 

The countless protestors who waved American flags and sang the “Star-Spangled Banner” in the streets heard deafening silence from Trump’s White House. 

Then, the phase one trade deal with Beijing was all that mattered.

Silence also largely met Beijing’s decision in June to impose by fiat a chilling, vaguely written national security law. 

Now, as Trump’s White House comes out swinging, it’s painfully obvious why: He’s losing the war on Covid-19 and very likely the one against Joe Biden, who polls show is thrashing the “America First” president.

Consider, for a moment, how a smart and competent US leader could’ve handled Chinese President Xi Jinping’s Hong Kong clampdown.

Last year, US officials would have shown solidarity with young democracy activists. 

Last month, the US would’ve conferred with other world powers, perhaps using the Group of Seven (G7) infrastructure, to call out Beijing’s actions. 

More recently, Trump could have been standing with Hong Kongers clamoring for full suffrage.

instead, he threw them under the proverbial bus.

Hours after Trump’s maneuver, Hong Kong’s pro-democracy opposition vowed to fight China’s sweeping new national security law. Why isn’t Trump’s secretary of state, Mike Pompeo, voicing support?

Trump’s announcement Tuesday, which drew a rebuke from Beijing, exacerbated the uncertainty for businesses, including banks, in the wobbly financial hub. 

He also signed legislation to sanction Chinese officials quashing dissent in the former British colony and the banks with which they deal. 

No one in Beijing likes the trade war, but the more Trump destroys America’s soft power, the more space there is for China to position itself as an alternative.

China, remember, is using the chaos of the Trump era to meet long-sought goals. 

This includes for Hong Kong, on which a succession of Chinese leaders sought to impose anti-sedition laws since the early 2000s. Beijing didn’t dare when George W Bush or Barack Obama was in the White House.

But Trump is a man so desperate for a win – any win – on the world stage that he’d sell out most allies for even a perfunctory China trade deal

When would Xi have had a better crack at taming Hong Kong?

Former National Security Advisor John Bolton’s book The Room Where It Happened detailed how Trump tried to pull a Ukraine-like quid pro quo with Xi. Talk about Trump showing his hand to Xi’s Communist Party.

Should Taiwan be worried? With Trump so out of his depth geopolitically speaking, and willing to do virtually anything to beat Biden, why wouldn’t Xi figure now is as good a time as any to make a move on Taipei?

Of all the things Hong Kong thought it might experience in 2020, being at the center of a Trump-Xi proxy war probably wasn’t among them. 

Trump’s move will disrupt tens of billions of dollars worth of trade and investment – and it raises more questions than it offers answers about what he might do next in Asia.

Pompeo, Trump’s geopolitical hatchet man, seems an odd messenger to be complaining about opacity, media freedom and the rule of law. 

One could make the same critique of the America that Trump has been fashioning since January 2017.

The fact that Pompeo is participating so enthusiastically in the Chinafication of America makes his Hong Kong rebukes hard to take at face value.

As scandals and investigations mount, a caged and paranoid Trump is desperate to change the narrative. 

What better way than an escalating trade war that cheers Trump’s base and trolls Xi at the same time?

Trump says he’s wielding “powerful new tools to hold responsible the individuals and the entities involved in extinguishing Hong Kong’s freedom.”

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02-JUN-2020 :: Fast Forward it has come to a Put Up or Shut Up moment Matters India Taiwan South China Sea et al
Law & Politics

It has come to a Put Up or Shut Up moment Matters India Taiwan South China Sea et al. 

Neither Side have an ‘’Off Ramp’’ and the US Electoral Cycle and the ‘’Wolf Warrior’’ Strategy all point at more intensity rather than less.

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Another rise in daily global cases to over 250k/day shows growth continues - or is even accelerating again. @video4me

South Africa⁶ overtook Mexico⁸ and Chile⁷ yesterday.

>5%: Cameroon⁶³ Costa Rica⁷⁵ Madagascar⁹¹

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A Second Coronavirus Death Surge Is Coming @TheAtlantic

There is no mystery in the number of Americans dying from COVID-19.

Despite political leaders trivializing the pandemic, deaths are rising again

The seven-day average for deaths per day has now jumped by more than 200 since July 6, according to data compiled by the COVID Tracking Project at The Atlantic. By our count, states reported 855 deaths today, in line with the recent elevated numbers in mid-July.

The deaths are not happening in unpredictable places. Rather, people are dying at higher rates where there are lots of COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations: in Florida, Arizona, Texas, and California, as well as a host of smaller southern states that all rushed to open up.The deaths are also not happening in an unpredictable amount of time after the new outbreaks emerged. Simply look at the curves yourself. Cases began to rise on June 16; a week later, hospitalizations began to rise. Two weeks after that—21 days after cases rose—states began to report more deaths. 

That’s the exact number of days that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has estimated from the onset of symptoms to the reporting of a death.In the United States, the rising severity of the current moment was obscured for several weeks by the downward drift of cases, hospitalizations, and deaths resulting from the spring outbreak in northeastern states. 
Even though deaths have been rising in the hardest-hit states of the Sun Belt surge, falling deaths in the Northeast disguised the trend.It is telling that despite outbreaks all over Texas in recent weeks, the border region has been leading the state in deaths per capita.There was always a logical, simple explanation for why cases and hospitalizations rose through the end of June while deaths did not: It takes a while for people to die of COVID-19 and for those deaths to be reported to authorities.

So why has there been so much confusion about the COVID-19 death toll? The second surge is inconvenient for the Trump administration and the Republican governors who followed its lead, as well as for Mike Pence, the head of the coronavirus task force, who declared victory in a spectacularly incorrect Wall Street Journal op-ed titled, “There Isn’t a Coronavirus ‘Second Wave.’”

“Cases have stabilized over the past two weeks, with the daily average case rate across the U.S. dropping to 20,000—down from 30,000 in April and 25,000 in May,” Pence wrote. 

In the month since Pence made this assertion, the seven-day average of cases has tripled
As my colleague Robinson Meyer and I put it at the time, “Without testing, there was only one way to know the severity of the outbreak: counting the dead.” 

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A Reconstructed Historical Aetiology of the SARS-CoV-2 Spike Birger Sørensen, Angus Dalgleish & Andres Susrud Immunor & St Georges University of London

Being physically located on the surface of the Spike protein greatly increases the infectivity and pathogenicity of the virus, enabling these inserts to participate in binding to co- receptors/negatively charged attachment receptors or even, as we have discovered, to the negatively charged phospholipid heads on the cell membrane. 

Such a result is typically the objective of gain of function experiments to create chimeric viruses of high potency. Therefore this is a strong indicator of manipulation

3. The concentration of positive charge is on the receptor binding domain near the receptor binding motif at the top of the Spike protein. 

As with (2) this is more elegantly explained by an hypothesis of purposive manipulation than one of natural evolution. 

As can be seen in Figure 2 (side view) of the Spike trimer, the majority of the positive charged amino acids are located near or on the top of the spike protein giving the receptor binding domain a pI=8.906, while the Cov-2 specific Cys538-Cys590 bridge brings in additional charge from 526-560 (with even higher pI=10.03) via the Cys391-Cys525 to positions right next to the receptor binding motif (where the ACE2 receptor is located). 

It is this which facilitates the dual mode capability, allowing binding to ACE2 and/or to co- receptors/attachments receptors. 

We posit that such ACE2 independent attachment and infectivity is happening and is evidenced clinically by the Covid-19 disease pattern. 

It is also reported by Zhou et al (2018). The receptors that are the most likely to be involved are CLEC4M/DC-SIGN (CD209) – see discussion point (5) below.

4. The Spike is so configured that it can bind to cell tissue without use of the ACE2 receptor. 

Clinically it is widely observed that the Covid-19 virus compromises the functions of olfaction and bitter/sweet receptors, erythrocytes, t-cells, neurons and various tissues such as intestine epithelia. These different targets do not engage and use ACE2 receptor binding. 

The concentration of high positive charge in and around the top of the Spike protein and the potential to use opposite charged attachment-/co-receptors can facilitate binding and infection in the general mode of action for infectivity that we published in detail in QRBD. 

In 2018 Zhou P et.al. 2018 found that a new Corona virus which they named SADS (Swine Acute Diarrhoea Syndrome) could infect the intestine and kill piglets without use of ACE2, aminopeptidase N (APN) or dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) receptors.[9] 

We have done a blast analysis of the SADS Spike S1 protein and could find no trace of ACE2 RBM. The significance of this will become clear in the next point and the next section.

This new Cys-Cys property inserted into the SARS-CoV-2 Spike does not exist in SARS-CoV and hence could not provide such charge enhancement onto the RBD and co-receptor binding by natural evolution.

Since, regrettably, international access has not been allowed to the relevant laboratories or materials, since Chinese scientists who wished to share their knowledge have not been able to do so and indeed since it appears that preserved virus material and related information have been destroyed, we are compelled to apply deduction to the published scientific literature, informed by our own biochemical analyses.

Therefore we hypothesise the reconstructed historical aetiology of the Spike as follows:

In 2008, Dr Zheng-Li Si and WIV colleagues successfully demonstrated technical capabilities to interchange RBD’s between bat SARS-like and human SARS viruses. 

Building upon this, the 2010 work (Hou et al, 2010) perfected the ability to express receptors on human cells. 

On these foundations, the central Gain of Function work that underpins the functionalities of SARS-CoV-2 took place, carrying the WIV spike and plasmid materials to bond successfully to a UNC Chapel Hill human epithelial cell-line. 

This work (Menachery et al) produced a highly infectious chimeric virus optimised to the human upper respiratory tract. 

In convergent support of this hypothesis, both Lu (Lu et al, 2020) and Jia (Jia et al, 2020) have now, in January and April 2020, shown that SARS-CoV-2 has a bat SARS-like backbone but is carrying an RBD from a human SARS and Zhan et al have, like us, noted unusual adaption to humans from the first isolate. 

In the 2015 Chapel Hill work it was only ACE2 receptors that were discussed. 

However, in 2018 Zhou P. et al demonstrated capabilities to clone other 6 receptors like APN and DPP4 and to test and compare these against the (intestine) tissue specific SADS-CoV identified. 

Then, in the 2019-20 Covid-19 pandemic, profuse symptoms indicating compromise of the bitter/sweet receptors are reported. 

Taken all together, this implies that by employing insights gained after 2015, as just deduced, a further optimization of the 2015 chimeric virus for additional binding to receptors/co-receptors such as bitter/sweet specific upper airway epithelia receptors occurred. 

That would help to explain the otherwise puzzling high infectivity and pathology associated with SARS-CoV-2 and hence also help to explain the social epidemiology of its spread.

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I am convinced that the only ‘’zoonotic’’ origin was one that was accelerated in the Laboratory.

There is also a non negligible possibility that #COVID19 was deliberately released – Wuhan is to the CCP as Idlib is to the Syrian Regime – and propagated world wide.

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.@WHO experts will travel to #China this weekend to work together with their Chinese counterparts to prepare scientific plans for identifying the zoonotic source of #COVID19. @DrTedros

“An inquiry that presupposes — without evidence — that the virus entered humans through a natural zoonotic spillover and that fails to address the alternative possibility that the virus entered humans through a laboratory accident, will have no credibility,” said Richard Ebright, a molecular biologist at Rutgers University in New Jersey.

“To have any credibility and any value, an investigation must address the possibility that the virus entered humans through a laboratory accident and must also address the further possibility that the ability of the virus to infect humans was enhanced through laboratory manipulation — ‘gain-of-function research of concern’.”

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Dear @MaEllenSirleaf & @HelenClarkNZ The starting point of your enquiry has to be precisely what is being precluded below because “If they can get you asking the wrong questions, they don't have to worry about answers.” #COVID19

I am convinced that the only ‘’zoonotic’’ origin was one that was accelerated in the Laboratory.

There is also a non negligible possibility that #COVID19 was deliberately released – Wuhan is to the CCP as Idlib is to the Syrian Regime – and propagated world wide.

According to Daszak, the mine sample had been stored in Wuhan for six years. Its scientists “went back to that sample in 2020, in early January or maybe even at the end of last year, I don’t know. They tried to get full genome sequencing, which is important to find out the whole diversity of the viral genome.”

However, after sequencing the full genome for RaTG13 the lab’s sample of the virus disintegrated, he said. “I think they tried to culture it but they were unable to, so that sample, I think, has gone.”

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U.S. Attorney General William Barr took aim at Hollywood companies, including @Disney as well as large technology firms like @Apple Alphabet’s @Google and @Microsoft over company actions with China @Reuters
Law & Politics

“Corporations such as Google, Microsoft, Yahoo, and Apple have shown themselves all too willing to collaborate with the (Chinese Communist party),” Barr said. 

He added that Hollywood has routinely caved into pressure and censored their films “to appease the Chinese Communist Party.”

The companies and the Chinese Embassy in Washington did not immediately comment. Apple declined comment.

“I suspect Walt Disney would be disheartened to see how the company he founded deals with the foreign dictatorships of our day,” Barr said in a speech at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Museum in Michigan.

Barr chided U.S. companies for being too willing to take steps to ensure access to the large Chinese market.

“The Chinese Communist Party thinks in terms of decades and centuries, while we tend to focus on the next quarterly earnings report,” Barr said. 

“America’s big tech companies have also allowed themselves to become pawns of Chinese influence.”

Barr’s was the latest attack on China from President Donald Trump’s administration before his November re-election bid.

In recent months, U.S.-China ties have dipped to their lowest ebb in decades, strained over issues ranging from the global coronavirus pandemic and China’s massive trade surpluses, to Beijing’s suppression of pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong, its military buildup in the South China Sea and treatment of minority Muslims.

Barr suggested that Apple iPhones “wouldn’t be sold (in China) if they were impervious to penetration by Chinese authorities.” He suggested American tech companies were imposing a “double standard.”

Barr noted after China imposed a new national security law on Hong Kong, Facebook, Google, Twitter In and LinkedIn, announced that they would temporarily suspend compliance with governmental requests for user data.

“If they stand together, they will provide a worthy example for other American companies in resisting the Chinese Communist Party’s corrupt and dictatorial rule.”

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Currency Markets at a Glance WSJ
World Currencies

Euro 1.1393

Dollar Index 96.234

Japan Yen 107.13

Swiss Franc 0.9444

Pound 1.2549

Aussie 0.6987

India Rupee 75.10

South Korea Won 1204.69

Brazil Real 5.3314

Egypt Pound 15.958

South Africa Rand 16.7222

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23-SEP-2019 :: I, therefore, am putting out a ‘’conviction’’ Buy on Netflix at Friday’s closing price of $270.75. $NFLX
World Of Finance

My Mind kept to an Article I read in 2012 ‘’Annals of Technology Streaming Dreams’’ by John Seabrook January 16, 2012. 

“This world of online video is the future, and for an artist you want to be first in, to be a pioneer. With YouTube, I will have a very small crew, and we are trying to keep focused on a single voice. There aren’t any rules. There’s just the artist, the content, and the audience.”

“People went from broad to narrow,” he said, “and we think they will continue to go that way—spend more and more time in the niches— because now the distribution landscape allows for more narrowness’’.

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India on Friday became the third country in the world to record more than one million coronavirus cases, behind only the United States and Brazil

India recorded 34,956 new infections on Friday, taking the total so far to 1.004 million, with 25,602 deaths from COVID-19, federal health ministry data showed. 

That compares to some 3.6 million cases in the United States and 2 million in Brazil - both countries with populations under 400 million.

The million cases so far recorded likely left out many asymptomatic ones, he said. “It’s a gross underestimate.”

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Russian Economy Faces Deep Recession Amid Global Pandemic and Oil Crisis, Says New @WorldBank Report
Emerging Markets

Fueled by a COVID-19 triggered deep global recession, Russia’s 2020 GDP growth is projected to contract by 6 percent, an eleven-year low, with a moderate recovery in 2021-2022, according to the World Bank’s latest Russia Economic Report 

The decline of Russian economic growth is further exacerbated by plummeting crude oil prices that dropped 53 percent between January and May 2020.

In 2020, overall household consumption is expected to shrink by 4.9 percent, and gross fixed capital investment by 8 percent. 

Through April and May 2020, negative growth was reflected in most sectors, with manufacturing contracting 8.6 percent in this period; mineral-resource extraction decreasing by 8.4 percent, resulting in rapid shrinking of industrial production; and the transport sector experiencing a 7.7 percent contraction, driven by falling trade volumes since the beginning of the year.

“There are immediate impacts of the pandemic-driven recession, such as the steep rise in unemployment, the drop in real wages, reduced fiscal revenues, and a weakened banking sector,” said Apurva Sanghi.

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Even in the most optimistic recovery scenario, full-year tourist arrivals are set to be down at least 60% YOY, presenting economic challenges for large EMs @iif
Tourism, Travel & Transport

Even in the most optimistic recovery scenario, full-year tourist arrivals are set to be down at least 60% YOY, presenting economic challenges for large EMs where #tourism contributes significantly to employment and GDP

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Zimbabwe’s economy is expected to shrink by 4.5% this year owing to the fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic finance minister said on Thursday.

The crucial mining sector will contract by 4%, Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube added in a mid-term budget speech, although he projected that GDP would rebound to 7.4% growth in 2021.

Ncube added that inflation was expected to gradually decline to 300% by December, compared with 737.36% currently.

Zimbabwe’s economy was in a mess even before COVID-19 struck, with rampant inflation, chronic shortages of food, foreign currency and medicines, all worsened by a drought that scorched crops.

“With regards to the domestic economy, the impact of the pandemic is ... lower commodity demand and... prices, reduced tourist arrivals due to travel restrictions ... currency volatility, high inflation,” Ncube told parliament.

Exports, however, seemed to remain resilient, despite the COVID-19 shock, declining only slightly to $1.53 billion in first five months of this year against $1.56 billion in the same period of last year.

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Covid-19 studies paint horrifying picture of jobs, food crisis

A dozen academic papers released on Wednesday have laid bare the extent of the damage wrought by Covid-19 on employment levels, healthcare access and food security.

The grim picture in a nutshell: three million South Africans lost their jobs between February and April and almost half the population ran out of money to buy food.

The weighted data identified that 17 million people were employed in February 2020 but only 14 million were employed in April 2020.  This means that 3 million fewer people  were employed in April compared with February, an 18% decline. 

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Africa has a Problem COVID-19 pandemic in Africa is now reaching ‘full speed’ @AP #COVID19

Africa has a Problem COVID-19 pandemic in Africa is now reaching ‘full speed’ @AP #COVID19 and it’s good to prepare for the worst-case scenario, the Africa Centers for Disease Control and Prevention chief said 

’We’ve crossed a critical number here,” he said of the half-million milestone. 

“Our pandemic is getting full speed.”

Cumulative total of *reported* #COVID19 cases in Africa @Covid_Africa 

From 1st case to 100,000 cases: 98 days 100,000 to 200,000 cases: 18 days 200,000 to 300,000 cases: 12 days 300,000 to 400,000 cases: 9 days 400,000 to 500,000 cases: 7 days

South Africa is the Precursor for the rest of Africa

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Cumulative total of *reported* #COVID19 cases in Africa @Covid_Africa

From 1st case to 100,000 cases: 98 days 

100,000 to 200,000 cases: 18 days 

200,000 to 300,000 cases: 12 days

300,000 to 400,000 cases: 9 days

400,000 to 500,000 cases: 7 days

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On the 10-MAY-2020 : Africa was at 56,000 confirmed #COVID19 cases continent

The number of confirmed cases in Africa has been rising by about 30% a week over the past month, but is set to incline steeply now.

There was a lot of FOX News level, mathematically illiterate magical thinking about Africa and how it was going to dodge a ‘’Silver Bullet’’

That thinking is now debunked. Africa is playing ''Whack a Mole'' with a blindfold on

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02-MAR-2020 :: The #COVID19 and SSA and the R Word

We Know that the #Coronavirus is exponential, non linear and multiplicative.

what exponential disease propagation looks like in the real world. Real world exponential growth looks like nothing, nothing, nothing ... then cluster, cluster, cluster ... then BOOM!

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10-MAY-2020 :: The worrying development is Transmission Hotspots #COVID19 and the Spillover Moment

Kano in Nigeria for example

Western Cape growing at an alarming rate @sugan250388

Someone with close knowledge of the medical profession said it was almost impossible to secure a hospital bed in several cities.

The Aga Khan hospital in Dar es Salaam had a well-equipped ward for 80 coronavirus patients, but several were dying each night, he said.

The Question for SSA is whether these Transmission Hot Spots expand and conflate?

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Patrice Lumumba was ousted from Congo's presidency by Joseph Mobutu in Sept. 1960. @Unseen_Archive
Law & Politics

In Jan. 1961 Mobutu--wishing to be rid of Lumumba--sent him to Katanga, where he was executed by a firing squad. Moise Tshombe was there when he died.

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by Aly Khan Satchu (www.rich.co.ke)
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July 2020

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