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Satchu's Rich Wrap-Up
Monday 26th of October 2020

In chaos theory, they say the infinitesimal flapping of a butterfly's wings can hypothetically cascade into a fierce tornado @Rainmaker1973

Scientists have actually demonstrated how some of the smallest creatures can generate surprisingly huge, intense ocean currents 

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Oct 25, 2019 We are not prepared for a pandemic. Trump has rolled back progress President Obama and I made to strengthen global health security. @JoeBiden
Law & Politics

We need leadership that builds public trust, focuses on real threats, and mobilizes the world to stop outbreaks before they reach our shores.

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It's necessary to speak to invaders in the language they know: that is, a war must be fought to deter invasion, and violence must be met by violence. Victory is needed to win peace and respect. President Xi @PDChina
Law & Politics

It's necessary to speak to invaders in the language they know: that is, a war must be fought to deter invasion, and violence must be met by violence. Victory is needed to win peace and respect. China will never cower before threats, or be subdued by suppression: President Xi

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Spain PM declares national state of emergency over outbreak @AP.
Law & Politics

He will seek the endorsement of the Parliament this week to extend the state of alarm for six months, until May.

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#Europe long term #COVID19 growth rate trending up, Yesterday total cases increased 2.94% and could reach as high as 5% by end of month if trend continues. @jmlukens

#Europe long term #COVID19 growth rate trending up, suggesting exponential increase in daily cases to continue through at least end of year.  Yesterday total cases increased 2.94% and could reach as high as 5% by end of month if trend continues.

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Arundhati Roy: ‘The pandemic is a portal’ – The Open Question is a Portal to whence.

What we know is that #COVID19 [is] unlike the flow of capital [and that] this virus seeks proliferation, not profit, and has, therefore, inadvertently, to some extent, reversed the direction of the flow.

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Revealed: how elderly paid price of protecting NHS from Covid-19 @thesundaytimes

Vivien says she was told by the doctor that her father would not be given intensive care treatment or mechanical ventilation because he “ticked too many boxes” under the guidelines the hospital was using. 

What they saw horrified them. Vivien described it as a “death ward” for the elderly in a complaint she later made to the hospital. Inside, were eight elderly men infected with the virus who she describes as “the living dead”. As they lay “half-naked in nappies” in stifling heat, it was like a “war scene”.

While the sisters sat by their father, the man in the next bed died alone. They found an auxiliary nurse in tears outside the ward. “We said, ‘Are you all right? What’s the matter?’ And she just said: ‘They’re all going to die and no one is doing anything about it.’”

Before the pandemic hit, the UK had just 6.6 intensive care beds per 100,000 people, fewer than Cyprus and Latvia, half the number in Italy and about a fifth of that in Germany, which had 29.2.

In effect, they pushed the problem into the community and care homes, where the scale of the resulting national disaster was less noticeable.

health secretary, Matt Hancock, proudly declared in an email to Conservative supporters in July. “At no point was the NHS overwhelmed, and everyone who needed care had access to that care.”

But could this claim be true?

It gave instructions that in the event of the NHS being overwhelmed, patients over the age of 80 should be denied access to intensive care and in effect excluded many people over the age of 60 from life-saving treatment

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No-one has ever produced a safe and effective vaccine against a coronavirus. Birger Sørensen, Angus Dalgleish & Andres Susrud


What if, as I fear, there will never be a vaccine. I was involved in the early stages of identifying the HIV virus as the cause of Aids. I remember drugs companies back then saying there would be a vaccine within around 18 months. Some 37 years on, we are still waiting. Prof ANGUS DALGLEISH @MailOnline

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China ‘purged’ COVID-19 data once it realised the full scale of global pandemic @SkyNewsAust
Law & Politics

Leaked data from the Wuhan Institute of Virology has indicated the Chinese Communist Party “purged” the database to drastically alter the country’s real COVID-19 figures according to former cyber security contractor Robert Potter.  

Mr Potter told Sky News he received data hacked from a database which revealed major discrepancies between official figures given to the World Health Organisation and the organic numbers emanating from China.  

“When we anaylsed that, it was a bit of a mismatch of data against what they’d been publicly putting out there to the World Health Organisation,” he said.  

“Once the story became quite a bit contentious, (and) when the Chinese Communist Party realized that the coronavirus was going to become a global pandemic, they went about purging the data.” 

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24-FEB-2020 :: What is clear is that the CCP suppressed information
Law & Politics

Where it‟s not possible to criminalize that speech, China wants to ban it through the cooperative censorship of global tech and media platforms.

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Currency Markets at a Glance WSJ
World Currencies


Dollar Index 92.939

Japan Yen 104.9080

Swiss Franc 0.905200

Pound 1.302160

Aussie 0.711200

India Rupee 73.7350

South Korea Won 1128.99

Brazil Real 5.6194

Egypt Pound 15.749000

South Africa Rand 16.26750

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Seychelles opposition wins presidency for first time in 43 years @Reuters
Law & Politics

The Seychelles elected an opposition candidate as president for the first time since 1977, authorities announced on Sunday, and winner Wavel Ramkalawan reaffirmed a pledge to hike the minimum wage after COVID-19 stifled the tourism-dependent economy.

Ramkalawan, a former Anglican priest, defeated President Danny Faure after three decades of unsuccessful runs for the presidency of the East African nation, an Indian Ocean archipelago famed for its natural beauty and rare wildlife.

Ramkalawan captured 54.9% of the vote while Faure got 43.5% in the vote held from Thursday through Saturday, the electoral commission announced.

Ramkalawan promised to continue working with Faure - an unusually good-natured transfer of power for the nearby African continent where many rulers are eliminating term limits and cracking down on political opposition.

“Mr Faure and I are good friends. And an election does not mean the end of one’s contribution to one’s motherland,” Ramkalawan said in his victory speech. 

“In this election, there were no losers, there were no winners. Our country was given the opportunity as the ultimate winner.”

Faure’s chances may have been damaged by a severe economic downturn. 

Travel restrictions imposed due to the global COVID-19 pandemic mean the Seychelles economy is expected contract by 13.8% this year, according to the International Monetary Fund.

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Based on the number of new daily confirmed #Covid19 cases, #Africa is experiencing a second wave, driven by #NorthAfrica. @NKCAfrica

In #Tunisia active cases went up 10,876 or 37% in the week to over 40,000, while #Angola’s active cases doubled in 32 days to hit 5,017 on Thursday.

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African Countries with Fast, Slow, & Growing Rates of New COVID-19 Cases @jmlukens

#Kenya 1,068 #COVID19 cases yesterday double 519/day week average.  #Botswana average daily cases increased 14x past two weeks. #Morocco 2,798 per day week average most in Africa.

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Prison Island, Tanzania @SpicesIsland

Once an outback for convicted prisoners, today Prison Island, also known as Changuu Island, is most visited for its resident colony of Giant Aldabra tortoise, an endangered species that arrived in Zanzibar as a gift from the government of the Seychelles.

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Zanzibar’s vote has already been rigged in favour of the ruling party @mailandguardian @thecontinent_ @SeifSharifHamad

Next week, citizens of the semi- autonomous state of Zanzibar will head to the polls to elect local government councillors, members of the Zanzibar house of representatives, and a new president. 

Our election will run alongside the Tanzanian general election on the same day.

Elections on our islands have always been vigorously contested.

Unfortunately, though, the democratic will of the majority has consistently been disrespected. 

For five successive elections, the current ruling party Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM) has conspired with the Zanzibar Electoral Commission (ZEC), under the direction of the Union government, to maintain its illegitimate grip on power.

Most recently in 2015, ZEC annulled the election results which reflected a decisive loss for the CCM. Citing “irregularities”, they arranged a bogus rerun in 2016 which we as the opposition boycotted, not wanting to legitimise a tick-the-box exercise designed to keep a corrupt, incompetent government in power.

This year, however, the patience of our people has run out. Zanzibar will turn out in force on October 28 to vote for a new president, and the majority will demand that the true result be respected. 

If ZEC tries to meddle with the results and repeat the events of 2015, the consequences for our archipelago, the United Republic of Tanzania and the broader region will be disastrous.

Already, it could be argued that the election in Zanzibar is not free and fair. It is estimated that almost 120,000 voters on the islands were unable to register due to being prevented from obtaining their Zanzibar IDs, a document necessary to be able to vote. 

A significant number of the voters removed from the roll or prevented from registering are located in Pemba, a stronghold of ACT-Wazalendo.

Most recently, the ZEC has provided 566,352 as the total figure of the registered voters. 

These figures are different from the data we collected at the polling stations through our agents which show that the total number of registered voters is 448,533. 

So the difference between the actual registered voters and the ZEC figures is 117,830.

We are of the belief that this figure of 117,830 are the “ghost voters” that the ruling establishment hope to turn out.

we remain resolute in our belief that October 28 remains a chance for the voice of the Zanzibar people to be heard. 

The central questions remaining, however, are whether that voice will be respected and whether the decision of the majority will be enforced.

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IMF: Remittance inflows for SSA expected to drop by about 20% in 2020 - a pressing concern, Net remittances in Nigeria dropped 40% in the second quarter. @RichardHumphri1

IMF: Remittance inflows for SSA expected to drop by about 20% in 2020 - a pressing concern, given that remittances have surpassed FDI, official development inflows in recent years. Net remittances in Nigeria dropped 40% in the second quarter.

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A culture of impunity in Nigeria’s police must stop @NewFrame_News

Forces beyond our direct control. These five words stick out like the blood on the green and white flag of Nigeria, a haunting image that came out of the country following waves of protests against police violence. 

In response to those protests, Nigeria’s law enforcement agencies meted out more violence. The culmination of that violence was the Lekki massacre, where soldiers and the police reportedly killed more than 10 people. 

The exact number of deaths hasn’t been confirmed. Government officials have only been speaking about those who were injured. 

When looking at the events leading up to this massacre, it is difficult to not surmise that the killings were part of a coordinated plan, particularly when hearing and seeing the details and accounts that have been shared by protesters who were at the Lekki tollga

These are often known by different names such as ‘the temple’ or ‘the theatre’ and are in some cases in the charge of an officer known informally as ‘O/C Torture’ (officer in charge of torture). 

In numerous cases, Amnesty International saw scars, bruises and dried blood on victims’ bodies. Many of those subjected to beatings did not receive the medical care they required. In some of these cases, the violations were allegedly ordered by high-ranking officers.”

The recent wave of protests calling for the squad to be disbanded was ignited by a video of a SARS officer shooting a young man in Delta State. 

Protests followed, with #EndSARS trending on Twitter. It was telling that the law enforcement agencies responded with thuggery when they were criticised for heavy-handedness. 

Calls to disband the SARS started in 2016, led by activist Segun Awosanya. The government made several attempts to reform the unit, but these amounted to nothing more than poor rebranding. 

That is why the protests haven’t stopped, despite the unit being officially disbanded on 18 October. There is reasonable fear that SARS operatives will be transferred to other units and police violence will remain an issue. 

#EndSARS has exposed the many problems young people face in Nigeria. Police violence is just one of them. 

At the heart of this is corruption, which has seen the police extort bribes with impunity. 

It’s a plague that sees highly qualified young people struggle to find well-paying jobs, forcing some university graduates to resort to selling goods on the streets in the continent’s biggest economy. 

The African Union (AU) released a meek statement following the Lekki massacre. The chairperson of the African Union Commission, Moussa Faki Mahamat, “strongly” condemned “the violence that erupted on 20 October 2020 during protests in Lagos, Nigeria, that has resulted in multiple deaths and injuries”.

He went on to appeal “to all political and social actors to reject the use of violence and respect human rights and the rule of law [and to] privilege dialogue in order to de-escalate the situation and find concrete and durable reforms”.

What needs to change 

The AU’s toothlessness is worrying. Governments have committed many atrocities across the continent and all the AU seems to do is “condemn” them without taking any real action

Africa is bleeding with violent state responses to protests in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Zimbabwe and Namibia. If the AU wants to sustain any popular credibility, it needs to be at the forefront of opposing state repression. 

The oppressed must organise or starve

Disbanding Nigeria’s SARS will not solve the problems the country’s young people have highlighted. 

Those responsible for the human rights violations that SARS operatives have committed over the years have to be brought to book. 

Nigeria’s Police Service Commission needs to be empowered and supported financially to improve as an oversight body that investigates and prosecutes the abuse of power by law enforcement agencies. 

The culture of impunity within which the police operate needs to come to an end. Those in charge also need to be held accountable.

It is shocking for a governor to have the nerve to say that “forces beyond our direct control” are responsible for killing around a dozen peaceful protesters. 

Solidarity from across the continent is urgently required to support the young people fighting – and being killed – for reforms in Africa’s most populous nation.

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10 NOV 14 : African youth demographic {many characterise this as a 'demographic dividend"} - which for Beautiful Blaise turned into a demographic terminator

Martin Aglo, a law student from Benin, told Reuters: “After the Arab Spring, this is the Black Spring”.

We need to ask ourselves; how many people can incumbent shoot stone cold dead in such a situation – 100, 1,000, 10,000? 

This is another point: there is a threshold beyond which the incumbent can’t go. Where that threshold lies will be discovered in the throes of the event.

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“The president’s speech was essentially a middle finger to Nigerians,” he said @bpolitics @AlakeTope @WTBClowes

“The president’s speech was essentially a middle finger to Nigerians,” he said. 

“In saying nothing of note, and refusing to show any empathy for the plight of the people he purports to govern, he has alienated a generation that is really motivated by high youth unemployment and a sharply rising cost of living.”

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21 OCT 19 :: "The New Economy of Anger"

Nose-diving economic opportunity is creating tinder-dry conditions. 

People have been pushed to the edge and are taking to the streets.

Paul Virilio pronounced in his book Speed and Politics, 

“The revolutionary contingent attains its ideal form not in the place of production, but in the street, where for a moment it stops being a cog in the technical machine and itself becomes a motor (machine of attack), in other words, a producer of speed.’’

The Phenomenon is spreading like wildfire in large part because of the tinder dry conditions underfoot. 

Prolonged stand-offs eviscerate economies, reducing opportunities and accelerate the negative feedback loop.

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After two weeks of monumental activism by the #EndSARS movement, some predict it will develop into a new national movement reflecting young Nigerians' disenchantment with the country's dominant two political parties. @Africa_Conf

The youth movement's inclusiveness – disregarding the common fault lines of class, ethnicity and religion – has given it a particular power, all the more so in a country where over 60% of the population of around 210 million is under 30. 

Youth unemployment is now running, according to the National Bureau of Statistics, at 34%, the highest for a decade. It shows the pandemic's hit to the economy and also explains the irresistible appeal of this new movement.

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KENYA A DIY debt trap 22ND OCTOBER 2020 The government has turned down debt deferral and plans to increase borrowing, prompting growing doubts about its judgement @Africa_Conf

President Uhuru Kenyatta's government insists it will not take advantage of the Debt Service Suspension Initiative (DSSI) offered by the Group of 20 wealthy nations to mitigate the effects of Covid-19. 

It has thus foregone postponement of an estimated US$900 million in external debt repayment, which could have been used to close a growing fiscal deficit and ease pressure on the declining Kenyan shilling.

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Diaspora Remittance Rose By of 21.4 Percent. @ouma_timothy
Kenyan Economy

Remittance inflows amounted to USD 260.7 million in September compared to USD 214.7 million in September 2019, an increase of 21.4 percent.

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by Aly Khan Satchu (www.rich.co.ke)
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October 2020

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