Welcome to RICH.CO.KE - Satchu's Wrapup

Cheetah Boys Maasai Mara

Samburu National Reserve. Photo by @just_sham_it

If these wings don’t fail me I’ll meet you anywhere. Johnny Cash @Annette40003454

The Way We Live Now

Political Reflections

New @IpsosMORI poll * 45% of Britons think Brexit has had a negative impact on the UK * 28% think it has had a positive impact @BruceReuters

The democratization of authority spurred by the digital revolution has flattened cognitive hierarchies along with other hierarchies, and political decision-making is now driven by often weaponized babble. @FukuyamaFrancis

Unsold fish are rotting on docks, seafood companies are hitting the wall, but Jacob Rees-Mogg says what matters is that fish are now ‘happier’ because they’re ‘British’ @TobyonTV

Covid sparks the largest fall in UK population since the second world war as immigrants return home. London alone has lost 700k people. @MattGarrahan

The Pandemic and Political Order @ForeignAffairs @FukuyamaFrancis

Another reason for pessimism is that the positive scenarios assume some sort of rational public discourse and social learning.

Yet the link between technocratic expertise and public policy is weaker today than in the past, when elites held more power.

Sep 22, 2016 Good Evening from Putney High Street

“This is the era of information bankruptcy,,” he told the @FT

04-JAN-2021 :: we are witnessing massive decline in the cognitive capacity of leadership and a steep decline in the intellectual capacity of the corpus.

"More Republicans could have voted to impeach Trump had they not been intimidated with death threats. It's the hallmark of a cult. The focus of any cult is on its leader and his family — not its ideas." @EdwardGLuce

"Time is a flat circle. Everything we have done or will do we will do over and over and over again- forever."

“Making masks a culture war issue was the dumbest thing imaginable,” said an Advisor to President Trump but remember it was also a culture war issue during the Spanish Flu.

The Virus and The Economy

In 1720 Marseille allowed a ship from plague-ridden Cyprus into port, under pressure from merchants who wanted the goods and didn’t want to wait for the usual quarantine.

More than half the population of Marseille died in the next two years

Ibn Khaldun explained the intrinsic relationship between political leadership and the management of pandemics in the pre-colonial period in his book Muqaddimah

Historically, such pandemics had the capacity to overtake “the dynasties at the time of their senility, when they had reached the limit of their duration” and, in the process, challenged their “power and curtailed their [rulers’] influence...”

Rulers who are only concerned with the well-being of their “inner circle and their parties” are an incurable “disease”.

States with such rulers can get “seized by senility and the chronic disease from which [they] can hardly ever rid [themselves], for which [they] can find no cure”

Chancellor Merkel pronounced “You cannot fight the pandemic with lies and disinformation...the limits of Populism are being laid bare.”

And wherever You care to turn whether it is the US under Trump, the United Kingdom under Boris Johnson, we are witnessing massive decline in the cognitive capacity of leadership and a steep decline in the intellectual capacity of the cognitive capacity of the corpus.

We live in an Era of gobbledygook debate, a moment of complete combustion. Just open your social media account and its a torrent of bite sized nonsense.

This is the Achilles Heel which the Sun Tzu Maestro Xi Jinping understood and the Viral War he launched was a perfectly aimed Bullet.

Weekly epidemiological update - 12 January 2021 @WHO

"More Republicans could have voted to impeach Trump had they not been intimidated with death threats. That's not how an institutional party behaves. It's the hallmark of a cult. The focus of any cult is on its leader and his family — not its ideas."

The Spinning Top

World Of Finance

04-JAN-2021 :: 'Reported'' Daily numbers are in the 650,000 to 750,000 daily range and set to undergo an exponential Phase Shift higher this month.

Following two weeks of low reporting, likely due to the year-end holiday period, the overall upward trend seen in earlier weeks has resumed, with just under 5 million new cases reported last week globally.

The number of new deaths has also shown a similar trend, with over 85 000 reported last week, an 11% increase

All regions apart from South-East Asia showed an increase in new cases, with the Western Pacific, Africa and the Americas reporting increases of over 30%.

The Region of the Americas accounted for 51% of all new cases and 45% of all new deaths globally in the past week.

The European Region had a lower increase in new cases (10%), however still accounts for over a third of new cases globally. In South-East Asia, the decline in new cases and new deaths seen since the end of November 2020 continues.

Although the Eastern Mediterranean Region is showing an 11% increase in new cases, new deaths have fallen by 9%, continuing a downward trend since a peak in mid-November.

The African Region reported 175 000 new cases and 4300 new deaths, an increase of over 30% in new cases and new deaths, far exceeding previous peaks in July 2020.

The Western Pacific also reported an increase of more than 30% in new cases, while the number of new deaths also rose by 14%.

In the past week, the five countries reporting the highest number of cases were the United States of America (with 1 786 773 cases, a 35% increase)

the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland (417 620 cases, a 22% increase)

Brazil (313 130 cases, a 24% increase)

the Russian Federation (165 167 cases, continuing last week’s decrease with an 12% decrease)

Germany (142 861 cases, reversing last week’s decrease with a 15% increase)

Data from #Covid19 worldwide on January 14: + 733,461 cases in 24 hours, i.e. 93,088,325 in total @CovidTracker_fr

Weekly deaths exceed 20k this week as predicted previously CFR rebounds to historical levels close to 1,5% Weekly deaths likely to exceed 25k in February New cases approaching 1,8 million weekly @euromaestro

Data from #Covid19 worldwide on January 14: + 733,461 cases in 24 hours, i.e. 93,088,325 in total + 14,964 deaths in 24 hours, i.e. 1,994,415 in total

22-MAR-2020 :: To watch the Daily Briefing is to understand that the Control Machine has a Novice, a hubristic Ignoramus in charge of the Console

A reality TV star botched the response to a global pandemic #COVID19

Finland- Variant B117: 10.0% per day (2.5% of infections at the beginning of the season and 6.5% of infections at the end of the season) @jukka235

Malcolm Gladwell ‟Tipping Point‟ moment in an epidemic when a virus reaches critical mass. It‟s the boiling point. It‟s the moment on the graph when the line starts to shoot straight upwards.

COVID-19 2wk avg case/day increase @jmlukens

CEO of Covid-19 vaccine maker @moderna_tx warned Wednesday that the coronavirus will be around “forever.” @CNBC

#Malawi: 678%

#Mozambique: 605%

#Zambia: 470%

#Lesotho: 443%

#Ireland: 307%

#Cuba: 168%

#Spain: 155%

#Portugal: 135%

#UAE: 126%

Moderna CEO Stephane Bancel appeared to agree Wednesday that Covid-19 will become endemic, saying “SARS-CoV-2 is not going away.”

“We are going to live with this virus, we think, forever,” he said during a panel discussion at the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference.

The Vaccine Story Is Another Myth

Salvation through vaccination would be dangled like a cat toy in front of fearful populations, each vaccine proving futile @MichaelPSenger

No-one has ever produced a safe and effective vaccine against a coronavirus. Birger Sørensen, Angus Dalgleish & Andres Susrud

What if, as I fear, there will never be a vaccine. I was involved in the early stages of identifying the HIV virus as the cause of Aids.

I remember drugs companies back then saying there would be a vaccine within around 18 months. Some 37 years on, we are still waiting. Prof ANGUS DALGLEISH @MailOnline

And if those mutations render drugs and vaccines ineffective, which is possible, we'll be in a lot more trouble. @AliNouriPhD

501Y.V1 = UK 501Y.V2 = South Africa 501Y.V3 = Brazil Countries where @AstraZeneca conducted Phase 3 trials: UK South Africa Brazil @L0gg0l

5/These are just a few of the many mutations this virus is accumulating. Every time it replicates, we give it the opportunity to mutate. And if those mutations render drugs and vaccines ineffective, which is possible, we'll be in a lot more trouble.

The ''warp speed'' Vaccine Roll Out is chasing the coat Tails of the Virus.

“In a sense, Israel has become like a very large clinical trial,” Hadassah Medical Center virologist Rivka Abulafia-Lapid told @timesofisrael

1 year ago: WHO's most infamous tweet, reporting China had found "no clear evidence" of human-to-human transmission @BNODesk

“If they can get you asking the wrong questions, they don't have to worry about answers.” ― Origin of the #CoronaVirus #COVID19

Preliminary investigations conducted by the Chinese authorities have found no clear evidence of human-to-human transmission of the novel #coronavirus (2019-nCoV) identified in #Wuhan, China.

"WHO team will need to consider the hypothesis that the virus was accidentally released from the lab, says epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch of the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health: @R_H_Ebright

“There's always more to it. This is what history consists of. It is the sum total of the things they aren't telling us.”

“A paranoid is someone who knows a little of what's going on. ”

04-JAN-2021 :: Today only the Paid for Propagandists and Virologists and WHO will argue that there is a ''zoonotic'' origin for COVID19. There is no natural Pathway for the Evolution of COVID19.

'Otherwise, the report won't have done its job.'"

Interesting piece by @angie_rasmussen in @NatureMedicine calling the #COVID19 lab leak hypothesis a "ridiculous conspiracy theory" @JamieMetzl

It is remarkable that the Propaganda is still being propagated more than a year later. There is no natural Pathway for the Evolution of COVID19.

The Algorithmic Master [Blaster] and Sun Tzu Maestro '' ''The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting''

‘’Zoonotic’’ origin was one that was accelerated in the Laboratory.

It is impossible to ignore the introduction of a PRRA insert between S1 and S2: it sticks out like a splinter. This insert creates the furin cleavage site

There is also a non negligible possibility that #COVID19 was deliberately released

"The claim that the polybasic furin cleavage site in SARS-CoV-2 has been experimentally inserted is not too far‐fetched." @TheSeeker268

However, after sequencing the full genome for RaTG13 the lab’s sample of the virus disintegrated, he said. “I think they tried to culture it but they were unable to, so that sample, I think, has gone.”

$DXY Dollar Index Chart @1sttimetwitt 90.365

According to Daszak, the mine sample had been stored in Wuhan for six years. Its scientists “went back to that sample in 2020, in early January or maybe even at the end of last year, I don’t know. They tried to get full genome sequencing, which is important to find out the whole diversity of the viral genome.”

International Markets

World Of Finance

Currency Markets at a Glance WSJ

World Currencies

Euro 1.2137

Dollar Index 90.365

Japan Yen 103.72

Swiss Franc 0.88869

Pound 1.3671

Aussie 0.77849

India Rupee 73.0275

South Korea Won 1098.23

Brazil Real 5.1970

Egypt Pound 15.6558

South Africa Rand 15.1524

World Currencies

$EURUSD 1hr Chart: See Chart @FXPIPTITAN 1.2137

World Currencies

Commodities

Commodities

Commodity Markets at a Glance WSJ

Commodities

Crude Oil Chart INO 53.05

Commodities

Sub Saharan Africa

Africa is recording more than 30,000 new COVID cases per day, compared to 18,000 per day in the first wave @JNkengasong @AfricaCDC @geoffreyyork

A slow burning Fuse and we all know by now ''viruses exhibit non-linear and exponential characteristics'

New cases jumped by 32% in the week of Jan. 4-10, compared to previous week.

"With an average daily new case count of more than 25,000 in the last 14 days, #Africa, is experiencing a second wave which is higher than the peak experienced last July." - @MoetiTshidi #COVID19 @WHOAFRO

"The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function." - Professor Allen Bartlett

Zambia record 1,700 #COVID19 cases yesterday above 1,215/day avg up 470% past 2wks @jmlukens

Weekly epidemiological update - 12 January 2021 The African Region reported 175 000 new cases and 4300 new deaths, an increase of over 30% in new cases and new deaths @WHO

Countries w/ new record COVID-19 daily cases

#Indonesia: 11,557

#Portugal: 10,698

#UAE: 3,382

#Malaysia: 3,337

#Zambia: 1,700

#Uruguay: 1,514

#Malawi: 591

#Congo: 476

#Comoros: 234

#Eritrea: 209

CoViD19-ΛFЯICΛ: Update: Jan 14, 2021 - 09:10 am Confirmed: 3 143 378 (+ 36625 including Sudan's backlog) Actives: 502 288 (+ 11428) @NCoVAfrica

Weekly epidemiological update - 12 January 2021 The African Region reported 175 000 new cases and 4300 new deaths, an increase of over 30% in new cases and new deaths, far exceeding previous peaks in July 2020

In the past week, the African Region reported the highest percentage increases in both cases and deaths compared to the previous week.

Over 174 000 new cases and over 4300 deaths were reported, increases of 34% and 31% respectively.

Cases in the Region have been increasing since mid-September 2020 but steeper increases have been observed since late November.

The highest numbers of new cases were reported in South Africa (125 287 new cases; 211.2 new cases per 100 000 population; a 27% increase)

Nigeria (8315 new cases; 4.0 new cases per 100 000; a 49% increase)

Zimbabwe (6008 new cases; 40.4 new cases per 100 000; a 293% increase).

The countries reporting the highest number of new deaths in the past week were South Africa (3649 new deaths; 6.2 new deaths per 100 000; a 37% increase)

Zimbabwe (106 new deaths; 0.7 new deaths per 100 000; a 194% increase)

Zambia (72 new deaths; 0.4 new deaths per 100 000; a 620% increase).

In Zimbabwe, the positivity rate has climbed to 36%. @geoffreyyork

Confirmed: 3 143 378 (+ 36625 including Sudan's backlog)

Actives: 502 288 (+ 11428)

Deaths: 75 716 (+ 1223)

Recoveries: 2 563 198 (+ 23974)

According to @NCoVAfrica Peak Daily Infections was 24th July 2020 and 20,873

Africa is currently reporting a million new infections about every 45 days @ReutersGraphics

15 countries are still at the peak of their infection curve. @ReutersGraphics

Drinking the Kool-Aid We are not there yet. The exponential moment is still in front of us. #COVID19

Turning to Africa the Spinning Top

This is Metekel on January 12, 2021 in @AbiyAhmedAli's #Ethiopia @wolde_yes

Democracy from Tanzania to Zimbabwe to Cameroon has been shredded.

We are getting closer and closer to the Virilian Tipping Point

“The revolutionary contingent attains its ideal form not in the place of production, but in the street''

Political leadership in most cases completely gerontocratic will use violence to cling onto Power but any Early Warning System would be warning a Tsunami is coming

10 NOV 14 : African youth demographic {many characterise this as a 'demographic dividend"} - which for Beautiful Blaise turned into a demographic terminator

http://bit.ly/2PoFJTD

Martin Aglo, a law student from Benin, told Reuters: “After the Arab Spring, this is the Black Spring”.We need to ask ourselves; how many people can incumbent shoot stone cold dead in such a situation – 100, 1,000, 10,000?

This is another point: there is a threshold beyond which the incumbent can’t go. Where that threshold lies will be discovered in the throes of the event.

The Event is no longer over the Horizon.

Africa's longest-serving leaders: Via Johnson @jmollel

Music star-turned-lawmaker Bobi Wine arrived at the polling station, flanked by armed police in black uniforms, bulletproof vests and helmets, to vote in the Ugandan presidential elections @Reuters

Africa's longest-serving leaders: Ugandans head to the polls on Thursday for an election in which President Yoweri Museveni is seeking to extend his 34-year rule by another five years. Via Johnson

Seychelles is struggling to pay state workers as the government faces a revenue shortfall triggered by the coronavirus pandemic @bpolitics

10-MAY-2020 :: For example Tourism – I believe it is stopped out through Q4 2021 [even with a Vaccine]

Seychelles is struggling to pay state workers as the government faces a revenue shortfall triggered by the coronavirus pandemic.

The Treasury ran out of cash this month as tourists, the nation’s main source of income, stayed away because of the Covid-19 disease.

The slump in arrivals forced the government to borrow 500 million Seychellois rupees ($23.6 million) from the central bank to cover immediate expenses, according to Finance minister Naadir Hassan.

“If the finance ministry does not take measures to raise funds, we will not have money to pay wages for the next quarter,” Hassan told reporters in Victoria, the capital, on Wednesday.

The Treasury is working “on some avenues” to enable the government to meet all of its obligations in the first quarter, he said, without providing further details.

Preliminary estimates show that government expenses for the year will amount to 12 billion rupees. Revenue in 2021 is forecast at 7.5 billion rupees, leaving the Treasury with a shortfall of 4.5 billion rupees, Hassan said.

Oct 31, 2015 The Beach The Seychelles

#Benin raised 1 billion euros split between an 11-yr tranche yielding 5.125% and a 31-yr paying 7.25%. @paulWallace123

The Spinning Top The real challenge is the Economic Emergency.

#Benin's the first African government to enter the #Eurobond market this year. It raised 1 billion euros yesterday -- split between an 11-yr tranche yielding 5.125% and a 31-yr paying 7.25%. The market's clearly open for African issuers seen as solid.

December 9, 2019 Time to Big Up the Dosage of Quaaludes

The real challenge is the Economic Emergency.

The latest Regional Economic Outlook for Sub-Saharan Africa projects economic activity in the region to decline by 3.0% in 2020 and recover by 3.1% in 2021. @IMFNews

The IMF is so bright eyed and bushy tailed and I want some of whatever Pills they are popping.