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Satchu's Rich Wrap-Up
 
 
Thursday 05th of August 2021
 
Morning
Africa


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These are all the connections in a bit of mouse brain the size of a grain of sand @technolgyreview
Misc.


The map and underlying data set, which are now freely available to the public, depict more than 200,000 neurons and half a billion neural connections contained inside a cube of mouse brain no bigger than a grain of sand.

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Mullah Omar: I am considering two promises. One is the promise of God, the other is that of Bush. The promise of Bush is that there is no place on earth where you can hide that I cannot find you. We will see which one of these two promises is fulfilled. h
Law & Politics





VOA: Do you know that the US has announced a war on terrorism?

Omar: I am considering two promises. One is the promise of God, the other is that of Bush. The promise of God is that my land is vast. 

If you start a journey on God's path, you can reside anywhere on this earth and will be protected... 

The promise of Bush is that there is no place on earth where you can hide that I cannot find you. 

We will see which one of these two promises is fulfilled.

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The Secret Life of Mullah Omar Bette Dam
Law & Politics




The confusions about the Taliban movement are perhaps embodied most strikingly in a single man: Mullah Muhammad Omar. 

The group’s notorious supreme leader came to the world’s attention first for demolishing his country’s giant Buddha statues, and then for his refusal to hand over Osama bin Laden in the wake of the September 11th attacks.

Upon the fall of the Taliban government in 2001, he effectively vanished, becoming one of the most wanted men in the world, along with bin Laden. 

The U.S. placed a ten million-dollar bounty on his head, but was unable to find him.

“Mullah Omar is gone, but he is alive with us, and we are fighting in his name and in his spirit.”

The story that emerges is that the U.S., and almost everyone else, had it wrong. 

After 2001, Mullah Omar never stepped foot in Pakistan, instead opting to hide in his native land— and for eight years, lived just a few miles from a major U.S. Forward Operating Base that housed thousands of soldiers.

he remained the Taliban’s spiritual lodestar, a fact that may seem puzzling to outsiders but becomes sensible when we consider his appeal in terms of the type of ascetic, Sufi-inspired religiosity common in the southern Afghan heartlands.

This type of charisma was based not on eloquence or fiery soundbites, but rather by cultivating the perception of an otherworldly, selfless, guileless persona that seemed to many Talibs the antidote to the corrupted materialism around them. 

The contrast to the worldly Osama bin Laden could not be greater.

I’ve pieced together Mullah Omar’s life after 2001. He never lived in Pakistan. Instead, he spent the remainder of his life in a pair of small villages in the remote, mountainous province of Zabul.

“If we spoke, we spoke very softly,” Jabbar Omari said. “We put pillows and straw against the door, so nobody could hear us.” 

Once, Jabbar Omari asked Mullah Omar if he missed his family, and he simply shook his head.

He offered to bring his son Yaqub to visit, but Mullah Omar refused.

Another time, Jabbar Omari remarked to his companion, “Look at us. We cannot go anywhere.” 

Mullah Omar only replied, “It is a blessing from God that we can be here.”

There wasn’t much for Jabbar Omari to do except to prepare the meals and clean dishes. 

Mullah Omar preferred to eat and pray alone, and occasionally, even cooked for himself.

Often, the two men would only interact when washing their hands and feet in the kitchen before prayer. 

He didn’t talk much, and had stopped articulating any wishes or ambitions, Jabbar Omari said.

He only asked for his supply of henna, which he regularly used to color his graying beard, and naswar, the local tobacco that he often put behind his lower lip.

In early 2013, Mullah Omar fell ill. He started coughing and vomiting and told Jabbar Omari that he would not recover.

Jabbar Omari made shurwa soup, one of his favorite dishes, to try to re-energize him, but he could no longer eat. 

To Jabbar Omari, Mullah Omar seemed to have resigned himself to his fate. When Jabbar Omari insisted on getting a doctor, he refused.

According to Zargay, Ustaz offered to drive Mullah Omar to hospitals in Pakistan, but he declined.

On April 23, 2013, Mullah Omar passed away. 

That day, Jabbar Omari told me, the hot, dry lands of southern Afghanistan experienced something he’d never seen before: a hail storm.

I assumed it was hagiographic bluster, but later I found a U.S. army publication referring to that day: “More than 80 Task Force Falcon helicopters were damaged when a sudden unprecedented hailstorm hit Kandahar Airfield April 23, where nearly half of the brigade’s helicopters were parked.”

As far as we know, Mullah Omar never attempted to actively rally his own troops after the fall of the Taliban. 

Nor did he ever attempt to admonish the Taliban for their own crimes against civilians.

Instead, he simply removed himself from the practical world.

Ironically, this appears to have served the interests of both the Taliban and the United States.

The Taliban utilized him to unify and cohere a disjointed movement, while the U.S. policy in Afghanistan was linked ultimately to the idea that Mullah Omar and bin Laden were in league together.

In this way, Mullah Omar’s importance lay in what he represented to both sides, not in what he actually did.



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The Taliban can seize power in Afghanistan again, but this time they can’t turn off the lights @AirMailWeekly @saadmohseni [I hope so]
Law & Politics


When my siblings and I returned from Melbourne to Kabul two decades ago, the media landscape was stripped bare. 

The Taliban had banned television, radio, and newspapers. 

Journalists from across the world had descended on Afghanistan to cover the U.S.-led war, but ordinary Afghans had no means by which to know what was happening in a nearby province, let alone the outside world.
We began our journey by setting up a low-powered FM radio station in Kabul. Within three years, with a $500,000 investment (of which $220,000 was a grant from the United States Agency for International Development), we established dozens of media outlets, including Tolo TV, one of Afghanistan’s most popular television channels, which is now seen by millions across the country.
Afghanistan now has the most independent media of all the countries that surround it. 

There are hundreds of radio and television stations and print and online publications. 

Our news programs—and those of our best competitors—fearlessly report on the conflict, on the brutality of the Taliban, and on the corruption of politicians, and give the young people and women of Afghanistan a voice that was long denied to them.
Our entertainment channels promote culture, a soccer league, stand-up comedy, and pop music in the same country where the Taliban beat women, banned music, and carried out public executions in soccer stadiums. 

These gains weren’t granted to us. Afghans fought hard to win and defend them.

Over the past year, the Taliban and other armed groups have stepped up what Human Rights Watch described as a campaign of “threats, intimidation, and violence.” 

Three women media workers were killed in March in the eastern city of Jalalabad. 

Our journalists continue to report on the violence consuming the country, the human-rights violations taking place, and the desperate humanitarian needs of Afghan people trapped in the conflict.

Our entertainment channels promote culture, a soccer league, stand-up comedy, and pop music in the same country where the Taliban beat women, banned music, and carried out public executions in soccer stadiums.
We are being forced to rethink how we operate in such a hazardous environment, but we won’t give up. 

Even exile is preferable to plunging Afghanistan back into a media blackout. And it’s important to remember that such blackouts are now full of holes.
Afghanistan will not go back to the country it was under the Taliban. It now has the youngest population outside of sub-Saharan Africa. Afghans now live in towns and cities. 

The majority of our youth are literate and receiving an education, and have access to the Internet. More Afghans than ever accept the rights of women and minorities. 

The country’s media revolution has forever changed the way Afghans see themselves and each other, and how they engage with the wider world.
Our investigative-news teams have exposed corruption, including the Kabul Bank scandal and alleged ballot-box stuffing during the 2014 presidential elections. 

Our interviewers have confronted senior government officials on their track records in front of live audiences, including the president. 

At election time, we host presidential debates where candidates have their feet held to the fire. We have asked Pakistan’s and Iran’s foreign ministers questions that their own media cannot.
Our entertainment programming has revived Afghanistan’s cultural traditions—clothes, design, and artistry—and pushed the boundaries in a country where women were once banned from appearing in public without a man. 

Roya Sadat, the famed Afghan filmmaker who was behind 2017’s A Letter to the President, which Afghanistan submitted for best foreign-language film for the 2018 Oscars, has produced several drama series that tell the country’s stories to a new generation.
Six years before The Voice hit U.S. television screens, Afghan Star began discovering and promoting women singers and rappers. 

The show is now in its 15th season, and several winners have established their careers as beloved musicians across the region. 

Early on, we sometimes went too far in terms of stereotyping certain people and making fun of religious and political icons. But something worked.
Ever since the Soviet invasion, four decades ago, many Afghans were forced to leave the country or spend their early lives abroad. 

The media has helped many of them re-discover their country, its history, its culinary traditions, and its humor. Travelogues now take viewers on journeys to forgotten places of heart-stopping natural beauty.
Bridging the rural-urban divide, we have given voice to tribal elders who compellingly recount the oral histories of their provinces. 

A program devoted to local eateries in faraway villages provokes the gastronomic envy of people in the cities—and the millions of Afghans in the diaspora, who remain connected to their country through our streaming platforms.
Making fun of powerful people is a risky business in many parts of the world. But in Afghanistan, ridiculing the political elite has become a treasured pastime. 

I, like so many, am appalled by the rapacious greed and notorious ineptitude that has had a hand in the re-emergence of the Taliban. 

But Afghans aren’t afraid to scrutinize those who have failed our hopes, especially through political satire in keenly watched Saturday Night Live–style comedy shows.
We are all worried about what the next few months will bring. The violence shows few signs of abating, and peace remains a distant prospect. 

Afghanistan may undergo dramatic changes that will tear at the social fabric of the country, and perhaps even tip us into an all-out civil war once more. The world can’t afford to turn away from the 38 million people of Afghanistan at this time.
The country’s media is a light that exposes the cruelties Afghans face, connects them to each other and to the world, keeps their hopes aflame. 

Afghans and the international community can play a key role in ensuring they don’t slip back into the darkness.

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Whoever Controls The Narrative Controls The World
Law & Politics


And it all left me wondering Who exactly is controlling the Console?

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Hong Kong the proverbial goose that laid golden eggs for mainland China @hofrench
Law & Politics



Hong Kong the proverbial goose that laid golden eggs for mainland China. 

Rich and powerful Western corporations used the city as a legal, financial and technological entrepot—a safe portal onto China’s vast market where they could be assured of insulation from China’s more arbitrary and politically directed legal system

With China’s rise in wealth and power continuing apace under Xi Jinping, the calculation in Beijing appears to be that China no longer needs to bow to Western conventions, or indeed preserve the modicum of political autonomy for Hong Kong that was ostensibly guaranteed for 50 years under the terms of the handover of the city from Britain in 1997.
Time has allowed me to better understand what was precious and fragile about Hong Kong, and what Beijing is so casually discarding, in terms that are quite different from the feelings I once had about Western privilege in the city. 

China is in a world-beating mood right now, one that began with the Western financial crisis of 2008 only to deepen and accelerate with Beijing’s apparent mastery of the COVID-19 pandemic, which has so badly afflicted the West. 

Beijing no longer feels that it needs a global city that is so overtly friendly to Westerners. 

China’s belief in the ability of its own people and civilization to excel by doing things in their own manner, and indeed on their own, is approaching a peak, at least in modern times.
Mainland China has been largely closed off to the world since the start of the pandemic, but even its greatest cities were never remotely as cosmopolitan as Hong Kong

And as long as the present mood in China prevails, places like Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing seem destined to be ever more narrowly construed spaces, drawing little on contact and teamwork with outsiders.
I think this will prove to be a major liability, not because Chinese people are any less capable than people from elsewhere in the world, but rather because history suggests that enduring economic dynamism and vitality comes with deepening openness, and not self-enclosure. 

Even a quick conversation with ordinary Chinese people reveals that they know this themselves. Ask them what their favorite dynasty is, and chances are they will say the Tang, who ruled from 618 to 907 with a dazzling cosmopolitanism that embraced ideas and peoples from near and far. 

With the asphyxiation of Hong Kong, China is losing the one place that best embodied this spirit today, and it is not a sentimental reaction to the squeezing out of Westerners and their influences that makes me think that the country will come to regret it.

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Joshua Wong told German Media “Hongkong ist das neue Berlin”
Law & Politics


I am sure Xi sees Hong Kong and Taiwan like a virus and he is looking to impose a quarantine just like he has imposed on Xinjiang. The Chinese Dream has become a nightmare at the boundaries of the Han Empire.

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@WHO Weekly epidemiological update on COVID-19 - 3 August 2021
Misc.



Data as of 1 August 2021

Globally, weekly cases have been increasing for more than a month, with over 4 million cases reported in the past week. 

An average of over 570 000 cases were reported each day over the past week as compared to a little over 540 000 cases reported daily the week before. 

This increasing trend is largely attributed to substantial increases in the Eastern Mediterranean and the Western Pacific Regions which reported a 37% and 33% increase respectively as compared to the previous week

Overall, the number of deaths reported this week decreased by 8% as compared to the previous week, with over 64 000 deaths reported. 

However, the Western Pacific Region and the Eastern Mediterranean Region showed a sharp increase in new deaths as compared to the previous week, 48% and 31% respectively. 

The cumulative number of cases reported globally is now nearly 197 million and the number of cumulative deaths has reached 4.2 million.

The Regions with the highest weekly case and deaths incidence rates per 100 000 population remain the same as last week: 

the Regions of the Americas (123.3 new cases per 100 000 population) 

Europe (118.4 new cases per 100 000 population) reported the highest weekly case incidence 

while the Americas and South-East Asia Regions reported the highest weekly incidence in deaths , 2.0 and 1.1 new deaths per 100 000 population, respectively.

At the country level, the highest numbers of new cases in the past week were reported by 

the United States of America (543 420 new cases; 9% increase) 

India (283 923 new cases; 7% increase)

Indonesia (273 891 new cases; 5% decrease)

Brazil (247 830 new cases; 24% decrease), 

Islamic Republic of Iran (206 722 new cases; 27% increase).


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The Virus remains an exogenous uncertainty that is still not resolved #COVID19
Misc.





We emerged from the below captioned 6 weeks ago. 



If you have a "normal" pandemic that is fading, but "variants" that [are] surging, the combined total can look like a flat, manageable situation. @spignal
https://bit.ly/38kpMcc



19-JUL-2021 :: COVID-19





Today the relative viral loads in the Delta variant infections are 1260 times higher than the 19A/19B strains infections @GuptaR_lab

Thread
We now further define Delta immune evasion using a panel of 38 monoclonal antibodies, showing significant loss of potency of NTD and RBD targeting antibodies. @GuptaR_lab 


Far from ebbing, the virus has gained virulence and you have to be a Naif to believe the Microbe is licked.



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Nations w/ most avg #COVID19 cases/day @jmlukens
Misc.



US: 90.6k
Indonesia: 36.7k
India: 34.6k
Brazil: 33.8k
Iran: 31.6k
UnitedKingdom: 25.7k
Russia: 22.5k
Turkey: 22.5k
Spain: 22.1k
France: 22.0k

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Understanding why superspreading drives the COVID-19 pandemic but not the H1N1 pandemic @TheLancetInfDis @paulchenz @MarionKoopmans @DFisman @FrankGuLab
Misc.


Two epidemiological parameters often characterise the transmissibility of infectious diseases: the basic reproductive number (R0) and the dispersion parameter (k). 

R0 describes, on average, how many individuals in a susceptible population will be infected by someone with that disease, and k details the variation in individual infectiousness. 

The smaller the k value, the greater the variation. 

That is, fewer cases cause the majority of infections, and a greater proportion of infections tend to be linked to large clusters via superspreading events. 

This phenomenon, called overdispersion in transmissibility, has been found in many infectious diseases, yet the factors that mediate it remain poorly understood.
During the COVID-19 pandemic, transmission of SARS-CoV-2 has been highly overdispersed, as 60–75% of cases infect no one and, propelled by superspreading events, 10–20% of cases cause 80% of secondary infections.

By contrast, the most recent pandemic, H1N1 in 2009, had more uniform transmission of influenza A/H1N1pdm09 and few instances of superspreading.

Both SARS-CoV-2 and A/H1N1pdm09 distributed globally over long periods of time, and they have similar modes of transmission (aerosols, contact, and droplets) and asymptomatic spread which prompts the question: 

why is there broad overdispersion in SARS-CoV-2 transmissibility during the COVID-19 pandemic but not in A/H1N1pdm09 transmissibility during the 2009 H1N1 pandemic?
Generally, k remains similar across distinct outbreaks of a virus.

Studies have documented this for SARS-CoV-2, including across disparate geographical locations with varying population demographics and behavioural norms, over different seasons, and under various public health interventions, such as during and outside lockdown.

The emerging betacoronaviruses, SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV (the aetiological agent of SARS), and Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV), show overdispersion, whereas common cold betacoronaviruses appear to have more homogeneous profiles.

Conversely, both seasonal and pandemic strains of influenza have transmitted with relatively uniform patterns over the years.

Children and adolescents contribute more to the transmission of common cold betacoronaviruses and influenza than they do to the emerging betacoronaviruses. 

However, despite the association of young age with high contact patterns and susceptibility to influenza and common cold betacoronaviruses, these viruses are infrequently involved in superspreading events.
Cumulatively, these observations suggest that behavioural, interventional, general demographic, seasonal, and other environmental factors might affect transmissibility but are not the key determinants of overdispersion for directly transmitted viruses. 

They suggest instead that k, at least in part, is an intrinsic characteristic of these viruses and, as obligate intracellular parasites, their host interactions

That is, poorly ventilated, crowded spaces with susceptible individuals facilitate superspreading, but whether a virus tends to transmit via large clusters in the first place seems to be intrinsic to that viral infection. 

Thus, the previous question can be reframed: which virological factors mediate k?
This is a long-standing question in infectious disease epidemiology, and recent work has begun to delve into the topic. 

For SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV, and A/H1N1pdm09, greater case variability in respiratory viral load during their infectious periods is associated with overdispersion.

Moreover, models of expelling viable virus via respiratory droplets and aerosols concur with the observed transmission patterns: inherently, most COVID-19 cases are minimally infectious, but highly infectious individuals are estimated to expel hundreds to thousands of virions per minute while talking, singing, or coughing

Meanwhile, a greater proportion of people infected with A/H1N1pdm09 are inherently infectious but expel virions at low rates
The mechanistic basis of these determinants of overdispersion is a promising area of study. 

For example, intrinsic case heterogeneity in shedding could arise from individual differences in susceptibility, previous exposures, immunity, or viral host factors, or could be related to phenomena associated with recent zoonotic spillover. 

In the event that common molecular mechanisms are indicated with k,14 they could guide the rational design of host-directed therapies that reduce the incidence of superspreading for those virus classes. 

As these drugs act on host pathways, they can be evaluated beforehand for safety and then tested for efficacy in the early stages of a novel outbreak. 

Furthermore, many factors relevant to individual infectiousness, including how case characteristics affect the viability of the shed virus and the distributions of expelled respiratory particles, remain unclear. 

How behaviour, environment, host, and virus interplay to affect transmission modes or infection risk is also unclear. As seen over the past year, cross-disciplinary interaction among researchers is needed to best understand these myriad matters.
Research into this nascent topic uncovers epidemiologically relevant biological insight and might provide key considerations for public health. 

When k is small, few cases transmit but are more likely to be superspreaders, meaning epidemics are infrequent but explosive. 

Overdispersion increases the likelihood of disease extinction when case numbers are low, and control measures targeting high-risk settings or individuals disproportionally curb transmission.

These measures can be particularly effective when implemented early in an overdispersed outbreak, as reflected in areas that have eliminated COVID-19, but have diminished effects on outbreaks with more uniform transmission. 

Currently, however, there is no way to predict the transmission patterns of novel viruses. Contact-tracing studies empirically characterise k,2, meaning considerable spread must have already occurred before its estimation. 

Broadly understanding the factors that mediate overdispersion, from virological to clinical and environmental, might provide early, predictive correlates for transmission patterns—including superspreading—before widespread infection by novel viruses. 

In this case, a playbook of control strategies, each specified by transmission patterns, can be developed to then specifically address outbreaks.

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Nations w/ high #COVID19 avg 2wk case/day increase @jmlukens
Misc.


Azerbaijan: 240%
Japan: 219%
Morocco: 212%
Eswatini: 209%
Turkey: 198%
Israel: 162%
US: 144%
France: 122%
Canada: 121%
Lebanon: 116%
 

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This time, cases have been confirmed in more than 35 cities in 17 of China’s 33 provinces and regions. @NBCNews
Misc.


Wuhan, a provincial capital of 11 million people in central China, is the latest city to undergo citywide testing. Three cases were confirmed there on Monday, its first non-imported cases in more than a year.

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27-JAN-2020 :: X #Wuhan- Coronavirus #nCoV2019 President Xi warned The Corona virus is ‘accelerating’ [and the] country [is] facing ‘grave situation’.
Misc.



the only explanation left is artificial DNA modification, possibly by the Wuhan Institute of Virology

Epidemiologists speak of Tipping Points. 

Malcolm Gladwell described the ‘’Tipping Point’’ as the name given to that moment in an epidemic when a virus reaches critical mass. It’s the boiling point. It’s the moment on the graph when the line starts to shoot straight upwards. 

In an article in 2014 about Ebola I called it the moment of ‘’escape velocity’’ and wrote ‘’viruses exhibit non-linear and exponential characteristics’’

Paul Virilio wrote ‘’With every natural disaster, health scare, and malicious rumor now comes the inevitable “information bomb”–live feeds take over real space, and tech- nology connects life to the immediacy of terror, the ultimate expression of speed’’
And in his book City of panic he described The city reconstructed through the use mediatized panic.

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Our findings show significant excess mortality in many countries from all over the world, both in absolute numbers, per capita terms and increase from expected mortality. @ArielKarlinsky
Misc.



Even if countries had not tested or reported COVID - it's easily detectable in excess mortality.


―They fancied themselves free, wrote Camus, ―and no one will ever be free so long as there are pestilences


―In this respect, our townsfolk were like everybody else, wrapped up in themselves; in other words, they were humanists: they disbelieved in pestilences.
A pestilence isn't a thing made to man's measure; therefore we tell ourselves that pestilence is a mere bogy of the mind, a bad dream that will pass away.
But it doesn't always pass away and, from one bad dream to another, it is men who pass away, and the humanists first of all, because they have taken no precautions


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In many countries, COVID deaths are likely heavily undercounted, with excess deaths being 2, 3, 5, 15, 30 and even 50 to 100 times higher. @ArielKarlinsky
Misc.


So while Mexico reported 235K COVID deaths, excess > 468K. Russia reported 136K, excess > 550K. Nicaragua reported 137. excess > 6900.

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International Markets
World Of Finance



I remain very bullish Long term G7 Bonds. 

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$TNX US 10-Year Treasury Yields Where-to first? 1.70% or 0.70% @Callum_Thomas
World Of Finance



Conclusions

0.70% 



Mirrors on the ceiling, The Pink champagne on ice





09-MAY-2021 ::  The Lotos-eaters However, I am resetting my target Yield to 1.25% now.


Conclusions

I believe we are now headed to < than 1% $TNX



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09-MAY-2021 The Lotos-eaters
World Of Finance



The Consensus View appears to be that the Global economy is going to accelerate big time and that its going to BOOM!  I beg to differ

Given the volume of money Printing and the extraordinary stimulus I have to say that the US Recovery is actually really weak and I believe it will be very short lived and the Penny will drop soon with the Bond Market and the Shorts will be forced to cover.


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And we become Japan: a nation pushing on strings, to no avail. @coloradotravis
World Of Finance


And the more of it we do, the less potent our monetary creating abilities. Velocity falls.

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Currency Markets at a Glance WSJ
World Currencies


Euro 1.1837
Dollar Index 92.236
Japan Yen 109.65
Swiss Franc  0.9072
Pound 1.3894
Aussie 0.7396
India Rupee 74.2275
South Korea Won 1141.66
Brazil Real 5.1702
Egypt Pound 15.700
South Africa Rand 14.3563

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WHO regional overviews - Epidemiological week 26 July - 1 Aug 2021 African Region
Africa



The Region reported relatively similar numbers of weekly cases and deaths as the previous week, with just over 182 000 new cases and over 4800 new deaths reported this week. 

The overall decrease in weekly cases reported in the Region since the middle of July has been largely driven by declines observed in South Africa. 

In contrast, many other countries in the Region continue to report increasing case incidence. 

Similarly, for mortality, the trend in the region is largely driven by a decline in new weekly deaths reported by South Africa.
The highest numbers of new cases were reported from 

South Africa (79 349 new cases; 133.8 new cases per 100 000 population; 6% decrease)

Mozambique (13 268 new cases; 42.5 new cases per 100 000; 25% increase)

Zimbabwe (11 583 new cases; 77.9 new cases per 100 000; 21% decrease).

The highest numbers of new deaths were reported from 

South Africa (2525 new deaths; 4.3 new deaths per 100 000 population; 10% decrease)

Zimbabwe (482 new deaths; 3.2 new deaths per 100 000; 4% increase)

Namibia (284 new deaths; 11.2 new deaths per 100 000; 12% increase)

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19-JUL-2021 :: Now lets turn to Africa. lets look at the Virus first
Africa



"Over the past month, #Africa recorded an additional 1 million cases. This is the shortest time it’s taken so far to add one million cases." Dr @MoetiTshidi #COVID19 @WHOAFRO
"Comparatively, it took around three months to move from 4 million to 5 million cases." - Dr @MoetiTshidi #COVID19

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Africa is currently reporting a million new infections about every 26 days @ReutersGraphics
Africa



8 countries are still at the peak of their infection curve.

Morocco & Mauritania & Eswatini at peak Gambia 98% ReUnion 96% Algeria 94% Burundi 93% Libya 91% 

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The daily test positivity in South Africa dips below 20% today, for the first time since breaching this threshold on 16 June 2021 @rid1tweets
Africa


Unfortunately it's still very high, 7-day avg at 22.6%, and not decreasing as quickly as post previous peaks, but trend is still hopeful 

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Turning to Africa
Africa


We are getting closer and closer to the Virilian Tipping Point
“The revolutionary contingent attains its ideal form not in the place of production, but in the street''
Political leadership in most cases completely gerontocratic will use violence to cling onto Power but any Early Warning System would be warning a Tsunami is coming

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''War makes for bitter men. Heartless and savage men,” Abiy said in his Nobel prize lecture. @FT @davidpilling
Africa






Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold


Turning and turning in the widening gyre
The falcon cannot hear the falconer;
Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;
Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,
The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere The ceremony of innocence is drowned;
The best lack all conviction, while the worst Are full of passionate intensity.




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9-JUL-2021 :: In the Horn of Africa the Prime Minister of Ethiopia who cloaked his messianic zeal in the language of Mandela 1994 is unlikely to last more than twelve months.
Africa




In the Horn of Africa the Prime Minister of Ethiopia who cloaked his messianic zeal in the language of Mandela 1994 is unlikely to last more than twelve months.

His Army has been defeated and now he is sending conscripts to slaughter whilst his Adversaries are fighting for their existence. 

The Contagion will surely boomerang as far as Asmara and destabilise the Horn of Africa for the forseeable future.
If I could I would be limit short the Ethiopian Birr [It trades at 60 to the $ on the black market]




"Unless there is a dramatic change soon, Ethiopia could be on a path to state failure," said Mr @Dibjir @BBCWorld



"Five years ago the Ethiopian army was the most powerful in the region. The fact it couldn't secure Tigray shows how the situation has deteriorated."





November 8, 2020 @PMEthiopia has launched an unwinnable War on Tigray Province.




‘The genie out of the bottle’ @AfricanBizMag





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In our Cabinet meeting, we have unanimously passed a bill to join the Rome Statute of the @IntlCrimCourt @SudanPMHamdok
Africa


We'll hold a joint Councils meeting to pass it into law. Justice & accountability are a solid foundation of the new, rule of law-based #Sudan we’re striving to build.

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And now we have two visions of the Future
Africa



And now we have two visions of the Future. One Vision played out on our screens, the Protestors could have been our Wives, our Children, our Daughters and Sons. 

The Other Vision is that of MBS, MBZ and Al-Sisi and its red in tooth and claw. 

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Uganda's imports from Tanzania on a 7-month surge, replacing Kenya as Uganda’s biggest source of imports in the EAC @The_EastAfrican
Africa


According to the Ministry of Finance, Bank of Uganda and Uganda Bureau of Statistics (UBOS) latest data, imports from Tanzania have capped a seven-month surge, replacing Kenya as Uganda’s biggest source of imports in the region.
Imports from Tanzania accounted for 19.2 percent of Uganda’s total imports bill in May, followed by China, India, Kenya and the United Arab Emirates, at 15 percent, 9.6 percent, 9.2 percent and 7.9 percent, respectively.
According to UBOS, major imports from Tanzania include gold, rice, trailers and semitrailers, rolled iron and non-alloy steel and dried and salted fish as well as rice and wheat.

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by Aly Khan Satchu (www.rich.co.ke)
 
 
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August 2021
 
 
 
 
 
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