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@WHO Weekly epidemiological update on COVID-19 - 23 November 2021

The Virus remains an exogenous uncertainty that is still not resolved #COVID19

Globally, the numbers of weekly COVID-19 cases and deaths have increased for more than a month.

During the week of 15-21 November 2021, nearly 3.6 million confirmed new cases and over 51 000 deaths were reported, reflecting a 6% increase for cases and deaths as compared to the previous week.

The European Region reported an 11% increase in new weekly cases, while the other regions reported a decrease or incidence similar to the previous week.

The largest proportionate decrease was reported from the South-East Asia Region (11%), followed by the Eastern Mediterranean Region (9%).

While the Western Pacific Region and the Region of the Americas reported relatively stable case incidence, they both reported large increases in new weekly deaths, 29% and 19% respectively.

In contrast, the African and the South-East Asia regions reported a 30% and 19% decrease in new weekly deaths.

The highest numbers of new cases were reported from

United States of America (558 538 new cases; similar to the previous week’s figures)

Germany (333 473 new cases; a 31% increase)

United Kingdom (281 063 new cases; an 11% increase)

Russian Federation (260 484 new cases; similar to the previous week’s figures)

Turkey (163 835 new cases; a 9% decrease).

Last week, more than 60% of all reported cases and deaths from #COVID19 globally were once again in Europe- @DrTedros @WHO

19-JUL-2021 Many Folks seem to feel we are in the final Act of the COVID-19 Play. I would be limit short that particular narrative.

COVID-19 infections are still rising in 53 countries. @ReutersGraphics

They fancied themselves free, wrote Camus, ―and no one will ever be free so long as there are pestilences

18 countries are still near the peak of their infection curve

Portuguese cases rising despite an 88% vaccination rate (so north of 95% of the over-12 population). Seems like a test case for the limits of vaccination in reducing transmission. @Birdyword

Data suggest that before the arrival of the Delta variant, vaccines reduced transmission by about 60%. With Delta, that has dropped to about 40% @DrTedros @WHO

Viruses exhibit non-linear and exponential characteristics

Currency Markets at a Glance WSJ

JPMorgan revised up their fourth-quarter GDP tracking estimate to an annualized 7% from 5% following today’s data. Morgan Stanley economists took their running forecast up to 8.7% from 3%. @lisaabramowicz1

Euro 1.1214
Dollar Index 96.729
Japan Yen 115.39
Swiss Franc 0.9336
Pound 1.3349
Aussie 0.72045
India Rupee 74.481
South Korea Won 1189.61
Brazil Real 5.6069
Egypt Pound 15.7095
South Africa Rand 15.888

World Of Finance

$DXY has spent the entire week so far fully outside its upper weekly BB. If it closes that way, it will be a first since July of '97. @jfhksar88

$EURUSD @FXPIPTITAN 1.1214

$GBPUSD @FXPIPTITAN 1.3349

JAMIE DIMON: I REGRET AND SHOULD NOT HAVE MADE CHINA COMMENT @zerohedge

World Of Finance

Longing on a large scale makes history. wrote Don DeLillo

Commodities

Commodities

Commodity Markets at a Glance WSJ

Commodities

Gold INO 1793.00

Commodities

Crude Oil INO 78.24

Minerals, Oil & Energy

Sub Saharan Africa

WHO regional overviews Epidemiological week 15-21 November 2021 African Region .@WHO

19-JUL-2021 Many Folks seem to feel we are in the final Act of the COVID-19 Play. I would be limit short that particular narrative.

Following a decline since late June 2021, the case incidence in the African Region appears to have stabilized in the past two weeks, with over 13 000 new cases reported during the week of 15-21 November.

However, 14 of the 49 countries in the Region (29%) reported an increase of >10% in new cases as compared to the previous week

highest numbers of new cases reported from

South Africa (3498 new cases; 5.9 new cases per 100 000 population; an 82% increase)

Ethiopia (1408 new cases; 1.2 new cases per 100 000; an 11% decrease)

Réunion (1308 new cases; 146.1 new cases per 100 000; a 77% increase).
The Region reported the largest decline (30%) in new weekly deaths, with 385 new deaths reported this week.

The majority of countries reported a decrease in weekly deaths; however, an increasing trend was observed in nine countries

highest numbers of new deaths reported from

South Africa (96 new deaths; <1 new death per 100 000 population; a 39% decrease)

Ethiopia (59 new deaths; <1 new death per 100 000; a 28% decrease)

Algeria (38 new deaths; <1 new death per 100 000; a 6% increase).

Fourth wave? Confirmed Covid-19 cases had been at their lowest across Africa since May 2020, until a jump in cases saw numbers nearly doubled to 6k @ONEAftershocks @David_McNair

COVID-19 Resurgence Map % Change in new cases per million (7 day average)

Fourth wave? Confirmed Covid-19 cases had been at their lowest across Africa since May 2020, until a jump in cases saw numbers nearly doubled to 6k. Yesterday, S. Africa reported 12 times the number of cases just one week prior. @ONEAftershocks

Drinking the Kool-Aid

Africa is currently reporting a million new infections about every 91 days @ReutersGraphics

Increase of #COVID19 in Gauteng continues @rid1tweets

All countries are currently below the peak of their infection curve.

If our hands bleed from thorns, it means that the rose is near. @SahleWorkZewde

Ostensibly, #AbiyAhmed is waging an ‘African’ war against his own people who, as a matter of an inconvenient fact, are Africans themselves. @reda_getachew

The falcon cannot hear the falconer

https://bit.ly/3Bk45Gj

Turning and turning in the widening gyre
The falcon cannot hear the falconer;
Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;
Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,
The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere The ceremony of innocence is drowned;
The best lack all conviction, while the worst Are full of passionate intensity.

Let's meet at the war front, he wrote The time has come to lead the country with sacrifice. @Reuters

9-JUL-2021 :: His Army has been defeated and now he is sending conscripts to slaughter whilst his Adversaries are fighting for their existence.

https://j.mp/3Bk45Gj

Despite his public declaration to lead forces in the battlefield, our forces have no clue which front he is in charge of now. @reda_getachew

November 8, 2020 .@PMEthiopia has launched an unwinnable War on Tigray Province.

https://j.mp/35ekJJr

Ethiopia which was once the Poster child of the African Renaissance now has a Nobel Prize Winner whom I am reliably informed

PM Abiy His inner war cabinet includes Evangelicals who are counseling him he is "doing Christ's work"; that his faith is being "tested". @RAbdiAnalyst

@PMEthiopia has launched an unwinnable War on Tigray Province.

Ethiopian PM Abiy Ahmed says he will lead the army from the frontline in their war against the Tigray people. @Sentletse

19-JUL-2021 :: In the Horn of Africa the Prime Minister of Ethiopia who cloaked his messianic zeal in the language of Mandela 1994 is unlikely to last more than twelve months.

Former President of Chad, Idriss Déby was allegedly killed in a battle recently.
Idriss may have been taken out by his Generals. History tends to repeat itself.

Does the reinstatement of the prime minister reverse the coup? @Smith_JeffreyT

This increases the population of the East African Community by 46%, from 195m to 285m. @RencapMan

No. The military retains overall control, and by prescribing a technocratic cabinet, the agreement further sidelines #Sudan’s political parties and the pro-democracy protest movement.

Kinshasa is Africa's third-largest urban area after Cairo and Lagos.It is also the world's largest Francophone urban area (surpassing Paris in population]

Kenya was 28% of the old group, but will now be 19% after #DRCongo joins, while Congo is nearly a third (31%) of the EAC combined population.

According to a projection (2016) the population of Kinshasa will increase significantly, to 35 million by 2050, 58 million by 2075 and 83 million by 2100

In GDP terms though, #DRCongo adds 23%, pushing EAC up from $238bn to $294bn. @RencapMan